Cancer mortality in Russia and Ukraine: validity, competing risks and cohort effects.
(1/235)
BACKGROUND: The dramatic increase in mortality in Russia and Ukraine in the late 1980s and 1990s has been due to increases in certain causes of death, particularly cardiovascular disease and accidents and violence. In contrast, there has been a slight fall in mortality from cancer. METHODS: This paper presents an analysis of trends and patterns in cancer mortality and examines four possible explanations for its recent fall: changes in data collection; cohort effects; competing mortality from other causes of death; and improvements in health care. RESULTS: All contribute to some extent to the observed changes, with each affecting predominantly different age groups. There is evidence of a significant underrecording of cancer deaths among the elderly especially in rural areas and of significant changes in coding practices in the early 1990s. Competing mortality from cardiovascular diseases and accidents can explain some reduction in male deaths from cancer in middle age. Birth cohort effects can explain some reduction among males after early middle age and among females at all ages. The impact of changes in health care are more difficult to identify with certainty but there is evidence of reduced deaths from childhood leukaemia. IMPLICATIONS: Recent changes in mortality in Russia are complex and their understanding will require a multidisciplinary approach embracing demography, epidemiology and health services research. (+info)
Maternal supplemental and dietary zinc intake and the occurrence of neural tube defects in California.
(2/235)
The authors investigated the association between maternal preconceptional supplemental and dietary zinc intake and risk of neural tube defects (NTDs) in a population-based case-control study conducted between 1989 and 1991 in California. Cases were 430 NTD-affected fetuses/infants, and controls were 429 randomly selected non-malformed infants. Mothers reported their preconceptional use of vitamin, mineral, and food supplements, and completed a 98-item food frequency questionnaire. Increased total preconceptional zinc intake was associated with a reduced risk for NTDs (quintile 5 vs. quintile 1, odds ratio (OR) = 0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.43, 0.99). Phytate intake, a constituent of the diet known to impede zinc absorption, appeared to modify the zinc - NTD association. In addition, increased servings of animal products, the most bioavailable food source of zinc, was associated with a reduced risk for NTDs (quintile 5 vs. quintile 1, OR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.32, 0.76). Risk estimates for zinc intake were changed little after controlling for multiple sociodemographic factors and total folate intake, but were attenuated after controlling for nutrients highly correlated with dietary sources of zinc, such as protein. In sum, the analyses indicate that risk of NTDs in infants and fetuses decreased with increasing maternal preconceptional zinc intake. However, it remains unclear whether increased zinc intake, or another nutrient or combination of nutrients highly correlated with zinc intake in the diet, is causally associated with reduced NTD risk. (+info)
The Latino mortality paradox: a test of the "salmon bias" and healthy migrant hypotheses.
(3/235)
OBJECTIVES: Relative to non-Latino Whites, Latinos have a worse socioeconomic profile but a lower mortality rate, a finding that presents an epidemiologic paradox. This study tested the salmon bias hypothesis that Latinos engage in return migration to their country of origin and are thereby rendered "statistically immortal" and the alternative hypothesis that selection of healthier migrants to the United States accounts for the paradox. METHODS: National Longitudinal Mortality Study data were used to examine mortality rates of the following groups for whom the salmon hypothesis is not feasible: Cubans, who face barriers against return migration; Puerto Ricans, whose deaths in Puerto Rico are recorded in US national statistics; and US-born individuals, who are not subject to either salmon or healthy migrant effects. RESULTS: The sample included 301,718 non-Latino Whites and 17,375 Latino Whites 25 years or older. Cubans and Puerto Ricans had lower mortality than non-Latino Whites. Moreover, US-born Latinos had lower mortality than US-born non-Latino Whites. CONCLUSIONS: Neither the salmon nor the healthy migrant hypothesis explains the pattern of findings. Other factors must be operating to produce the lower mortality. (+info)
Misclassification in case-control studies of gene-environment interactions: assessment of bias and sample size.
(4/235)
In studies of gene-environment interactions, exposure misclassification can lead to bias in the estimation of an interaction effect and increased sample size. The magnitude of the bias and the consequent increase in sample size for fixed misclassification probabilities are highly dependent on the prevalence of the misclassified factor and on the interaction model. This paper describes a relatively simple approach to assess the impact of misclassification on bias in the estimation of multiplicative or additive interactions and on sample size requirements. Applications of this method illustrate that even small errors in the assessment of environmental or genetic factors can result in biased interaction parameters and substantially increased sample size requirements that can compromise the feasibility of the study. Also, an example is provided where nondifferential misclassification biases an additive interaction parameter away from the null value, even under conditions where a multiplicative interaction parameter will always be biased toward the null value. Efforts to improve the accuracy in measuring both genetic and environmental factors are critical for the valid assessment of gene-environment interactions in case-control studies. (+info)
The role of perceived job stress in the relationship between smoking and the development of peptic ulcers.
(5/235)
Although smoking has been considered a risk factor in causing pepticulcers, no study has examined the effects of job stress on the relationship between peptic ulcers and smoking. To establish a link between gastric or duodenal ulcers over two years and a state of perceived job stress, a questionnaire, including questions on demographics, smoking, history of peptic ulcer and perceived job stress was conducted. Follow-up surveys were carried out every six months to accumulate the data for this analysis and the time span of this follow up study was two years. To examine the role of perceived job stress on the relationship between smoking and peptic ulcers, stratified analyses were performed. Some specific causes of perceived job stress such as "Too much competition," "Schedule is too tight or pressed to work too hard" had high estimated relative risks: 2.13 with 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.09-4.16 and 2.50 with 95% CI of 0.98-6.40, respectively. Stratified analyses suggested an effect-measure modification of perceived job stress in the relationship between peptic ulcers and smoking. Multiplicative and additive models suggest positive interaction between perceived job stress and smoking. These results suggest that specific perceived job stress is an effect modifier in the relationship between the history of the peptic ulcer and smoking. (+info)
Effects on mortality of getting the basic health examination under the Health Services for the Elderly Act and modification of the effects by health status among elderly persons in a rural community.
(6/235)
This longitudinal study examines the effect on mortality of regular use of the basic health examination under the Health Services for the Elderly Act and heterogeneity of the effect according to levels of physical and mental health status among community dwelling elderly persons. Of persons aged 65 and older who lived in Otsuki town, Kochi prefecture, and completed a questionnaire survey about health in February 1991, 1,470 survivors on the anniversary of the baseline survey were followed by the end of March 1996. Regularity of getting the examination was determined by the history of use of the examination in 1990 and 1991. Mortality reduction associated with annual use of the examination was observed in both the 65-74 and the 75 and older age groups and the benefit got smaller with advancing in age. In the 75 and older age group, the benefit from annual use of the examination was restricted to persons having no impairment in physical activities of daily living and those having favorable mental health. Biennial use of the examination was associated with the same amount of mortality reduction as annual use among persons having chronic conditions under treatment in the 65-74 age group. Regular use of the basic health examination at old ages is effective and the effectiveness varies by age range and level of functional health status. (+info)
Incidence of myocardial infarction in women. A cohort study of risk factors and modifiers of effect.
(7/235)
STUDY OBJECTIVE: To assess whether the increased incidence of myocardial infarction and death associated with smoking, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia and diabetes varies significantly between groups defined in terms of occupation, education and marital status. SETTING: Malmo, Sweden. PARTICIPANTS: 9351 women, aged 28-55, with a mean follow up of 10.7 years. MAIN RESULTS: Smoking, hypertension (> or = 160/95 mm Hg or treatment), hyperlipidaemia (cholesterol > or = 6.5 mmol/l or triglycerides > or = 2.3 mmol/l), diabetes, low occupation and education levels were significantly more common among women who experienced a fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction during the follow up (n = 104) than in other women (n = 9247). Exposure to smoking, hypertension and hyperlipidaemia showed substantial differences between groups defined in terms of education, occupation and marital status. The association between low occupation and myocardial infarction remained statistically significant after adjustments for several potential confounders (RR = 2.6, 95% CI 1.1, 6.0). Single women had similarly higher adjusted mortality rates than married women (RR = 1.4, 95% CI 1.1, 1.8). When other major risk factors were taken into account, the relative risk for mortality and myocardial infarction associated with smoking was 2.6 (95% CI 2.0, 3.4) and 7.8 (95% CI 4.4, 13.9), respectively. CONCLUSION: In this urban female population, short education and low occupation level were both associated with an increased prevalence of smoking, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia and diabetes. Low occupation level increases the rate of cardiac events caused by exposure to these four risk factors. (+info)
An introduction to instrumental variables for epidemiologists.
(8/235)
Instrumental-variable (IV) methods were invented over 70 years ago, but remain uncommon in epidemiology. Over the past decade or so, non-parametric versions of IV methods have appeared that connect IV methods to causal and measurement-error models important in epidemiological applications. This paper provides an introduction to those developments, illustrated by an application of IV methods to non-parametric adjustment for non-compliance in randomized trials. (+info)