Reconstruction of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) sub-epidemics in Italian regions. (65/10096)

BACKGROUND: The spread of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections is likely to consist of sub-epidemics in local areas and/or risk groups. Small-area risk group specific analyses may thus be a suitable means of better understanding and controlling the epidemic course. METHODS: An age, period, and cohort back-calculation method was used to reconstruct region-specific epidemics of HIV infection. The HIV infection incidence rates were estimated for individual Italian regions by using as denominator the specific risk category population (i.e. intravenous drug user population [IDU], homosexual/ bisexual population [MSWM], and Italian general population for heterosexual contacts [HST]). Incidence rates obtained in this way represent the risk of HIV infection conditional to belonging to the specific sub-group of the population. RESULTS: The HIV epidemic is heterogeneous in terms of gender, risk category and region. The highest risk of HIV infection has been estimated in the Lombardia region (North-West area) among men belonging to the IDU category in 1985. In recent years, a trend of decrease in HIV has been estimated, especially among IDU and MSWM. For the HST category, some regions have shown trends of great increase, particularly on the island of Sardegna and the regions of Puglia and Sicilia (Southern Italy). In 1987, most HIV infections were observed among IDU (39-90%), while in 1992 the MSWM and HST categories made the greatest contribution to the HIV epidemic. CONCLUSIONS: The results stress the idea of sub-epidemics rather than a single epidemic affecting the entire country. Some Southern regions emerge as areas in which the spread of HIV infections, although still at a rather low level, should cause considerable concern, particularly the trend of new infections by heterosexual transmission involving the general population. Detailed information on levels and trends of HIV infection epidemics at the local level are essential for surveillance purposes and for planning health care facilities, and can highlight areas in which preventive measures can be effective.  (+info)

Tuberculosis epidemiology and control in Veracruz, Mexico. (66/10096)

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) rates remain high in regions of Southern Mexico despite the existence of a National Tuberculosis Program. Understanding TB epidemiology in such settings would assist in the design of improved TB control and highlight the challenges confronting TB control in developing countries. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of treatment control cards from 1991 to 1994 in five municipalities in a semiurban region of Southern Mexico. RESULTS: The relatively high rate of TB observed, 42.6 per 100,000 inhabitants, did not change significantly during the study period. Cure rates among new cases were 79% and significantly lower among retreatment cases (62%). Directly observed therapy (DOT) was administered to 84% of patients. Approximately one-half of the retreatment cases who were not cured were compliant with therapy, suggesting that drug resistance contributed to these poor results. Of particular concern was a core group of 16 patients who had received at least three treatments. CONCLUSIONS: This region of Mexico has persistently high TB rates despite a DOT-based TB control programme which achieves an overall cure rate of 77%. There exist many retreatment cases for whom cure rates are significantly lower. These cases may serve as a core group for the dissemination of drug resistant TB. The control programme is being reinforced by a nominal register of patients, decreasing administrative barriers for drug supply to individual patients and the availability of mycobacteria cultures. In addition to these measures, in regions which are approaching the levels of efficacy recommended by the WHO it may be appropriate to consider focusing efforts on the identification and treatment of chronic cases.  (+info)

Dracunculiasis in Cameroon at the threshold of elimination. (67/10096)

BACKGROUND: Dracunculiasis is endemic in Mayo Sava Division in the Far North Province of Cameroon. Transmission occurs during the rainy season with a peak in the months of July and August. METHODS: A combination of interventions consisting of active surveillance, social mobilization, health education, distribution of filters, construction of new water sources, chemical treatment of unsafe water sources with temephos, and case containment were applied in Mayo Sava in 1990-1995 by the national Guinea Worm Elimination Programme (GWEP). Dracunculiasis cases were detected by village health workers, confirmed by health outreach teams and reported weekly to the GWEP. RESULTS: A decline in the incidence of dracunculiasis by 98.1% from 778 cases in 1990 to 15 in 1995, and in the number of endemic villages by 92.7% from 82 in 1990 to 6 in 1995 was achieved. The proportion of cases identified < or =24 hours of worm emergence increased from 19% in 1991 to 73.6% in 1993. Over 1500 nylon monofilament filters were distributed yearly to endemic villages lacking safe drinking water sources, while 81 new water sources were constructed (boreholes, wells and dikes), 55% in 1992-1993. The success of GWEP is attributed mainly to: intensive and simultaneous implementation of interventions in highly endemic villages in the first 3 years of the programme, case containment, and cash reward. CONCLUSIONS: Cameroon is on the threshold of eliminating dracunculiasis from Mayo Sava but the major remaining obstacle is the ever increasing threat of re-infestation from neighbouring countries.  (+info)

Bancroftian filariasis in an irrigation project community in southern Ghana. (68/10096)

An epidemiological study to document the endemicity and transmission characteristics of bancroftian filariasis was conducted in an irrigation project community in southern Ghana. In a 50% random sample of the population, the prevalence of microfilaraemia was 26.4% and the geometric mean microfilarial intensity among positives was 819 microfilariae/ml of blood. Hydrocoele was found in 13.8% of the males aged > or =18 years, and 1.4% of the residents examined, all females, had tymphoedema/elephantiasis. Detailed monitoring of the microfilarial intensity in 8 individuals over a 24-h period confirmed its nocturnal periodicity with a peak at approximately 0100 hours. The most important vector was Anopheles gambiae s.l., followed by An. funestus. The abundance of these mosquitoes and their relative importance as vectors varied considerably between the wet and the dry season. Opening of the irrigation canals late in the dry season resulted in a remarkable increase in the population of An. gambiae (8.3% of which carried infective filarial larvae) to levels comparable to those seen during the wet season, suggesting that the irrigation project is responsible for increased transmission of lymphatic filariasis in the community.  (+info)

Study of infectious intestinal disease in England: rates in the community, presenting to general practice, and reported to national surveillance. The Infectious Intestinal Disease Study Executive. (69/10096)

OBJECTIVE: To establish the incidence and aetiology of infectious intestinal disease in the community and presenting to general practitioners. Comparison with incidence and aetiology of cases reaching national laboratory based surveillance. DESIGN: Population based community cohort incidence study, general practice based incidence studies, and case linkage to national laboratory surveillance. SETTING: 70 general practices throughout England. PARTICIPANTS: 459 975 patients served by the practices. Community surveillance of 9776 randomly selected patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of infectious intestinal disease in community and reported to general practice. RESULTS: 781 cases were identified in the community cohort, giving an incidence of 19.4/100 person years (95% confidence interval 18.1 to 20.8). 8770 cases presented to general practice (3.3/100 person years (2.94 to 3.75)). One case was reported to national surveillance for every 1.4 laboratory identifications, 6.2 stools sent for laboratory investigation, 23 cases presenting to general practice, and 136 community cases. The ratio of cases in the community to cases reaching national surveillance was lower for bacterial pathogens (salmonella 3.2:1, campylobacter 7.6:1) than for viruses (rotavirus 35:1, small round structured viruses 1562:1). There were many cases for which no organism was identified. CONCLUSIONS: Infectious intestinal disease occurs in 1 in 5 people each year, of whom 1 in 6 presents to a general practitioner. The proportion of cases not recorded by national laboratory surveillance is large and varies widely by microorganism. Ways of supplementing the national laboratory surveillance system for infectious intestinal diseases should be considered.  (+info)

Injuries caused by falling soccer goalposts in Denmark. (70/10096)

OBJECTIVE: A falling soccer goalpost is associated with the potential risk of serious injury that can sometimes even be fatal. The aim of the study was to analyse the extent of the problem in Denmark and focus on the mechanism of injury and prevention. METHODS: Data were analysed for the period 1989-1997 from the European Home and Leisure Accident Surveillance System, which is an electronic register of the injuries seen in the casualty departments of the hospitals of five selected cities in Denmark representing 14% of the Danish population; in addition, fatal accidents in the whole of Denmark since 1981 were examined. Forty two injured persons were interviewed about the circumstances of the accident. Attempts were made to estimate the proportion of goalposts secured by counterweight in the five different regions, compared with the proportion secured with ground stakes and those that were unsecured, by analysing data from the largest producers of goalposts in Denmark. RESULTS: In the period 1981-1988, two fatal accidents were recorded. In the period 1989-1997, 117 people were injured by a falling goalpost; six of the injuries required hospitalisation. Some 88% of the injured were under the age of 15. In a telephone interview with 42 of the injured, 50% stated that the goalpost fell because someone was hanging on the crossbar. Comparing the five different regions with respect to the proportion of goalposts secured by counterweight and the number of accidents, the following relation was found. Areas in which a high percentage of the goalposts were secured by a counterweight correlated inversely with a high number of accidents (r = -0.9; p = 0.04). CONCLUSION: Soccer is a widely played sport and it is important to be aware that accidents caused by falling goalposts can occur and that they presumably can be prevented by proper use of goalposts, by using secure goalposts, and by securing old goalposts with a counterweight.  (+info)

Descriptive epidemiology of gastrointestinal non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in a population-based registry. (71/10096)

The incidence of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL), particularly at certain extranodal sites, has been demonstrated to be rising, at least in the USA, more than for any other malignancy. One of the major sites of extranodal NHL is the gastrointestinal tract, though little is known of its epidemiological characteristics. Over an 8-year period (1986 to 1993) 1069 primary gastrointestinal NHL cases were reported to the Leukaemia Research Fund Data Collection Survey which covers many parts of England and Wales. Age-standardized incidence rates of gastrointestinal NHL at all sites (0.58/10(5) per year), gastric (0.24/10(5) per year), small bowel (0.17/10(5) per year) and large bowel (0.06/1(5) per year) confirmed that the UK has the lowest rates of gastrointestinal NHL in Europe. An excess of males was observed at all ages and for all sites. Time-trend analyses showed annual increases in incidence rates for gastric (6.3%) and small bowel (5.9%) NHL although a concomitant decrease in gastrointestinal NHL of unknown site suggested that at least part of these increases had resulted from more accurate diagnoses. Overall, the incidence of gastrointestinal NHL significantly increased by 2.7% per annum and was limited to the population aged over 50 years in this series.  (+info)

Sudden death in the working population: a collaborative study in central Japan. (72/10096)

AIM: Few epidemiological data are available describing the sudden death of persons in their prime. This study aims to elucidate when and how sudden death occurs among employees. METHODS: A total of 196775 employees from 10 workplaces in Central Japan were surveyed for non-traumatic sudden death during 1989-1995. Demographic data and information regarding onset were collected by their workplace healthcare professionals. RESULTS: We identified 251 male and 13 female cases of sudden death. The annual incidence was 21.9 (for men) and 5.7 (for women) per 100000 population. Sudden death occurred more frequently in April when the new business year starts (risk ratio [95% confidence interval], 1.62 [0.94-2.79]) than in other months, without seasonality. Sudden death peaked on Sundays (risk ratio, 1.90 [1.20-2.99]) and Saturdays (risk ratio, 1.36 [0.83-2.21]) as compared with weekdays, and was likely to occur in the small hours (risk ratio, 1.71 [0.94-3.10] at 00-0300 h and 1.47 [0.79-2.72] at 0300-0600 h vs at 0900-1200 h. Only 17% of employees died at work, which was significantly less than expected (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: These findings differed from those of elderly people and suggest that sudden death of persons in their prime is related to occupational stress and its relief.  (+info)