Density-dependent aposematism in the desert locust. (41/4953)

The ecological processes underlying locust swarm formation are poorly understood. Locust species exhibit phenotypic plasticity in numerous morphological, physiological and behavioural traits as their population density increases. These density-dependent changes are commonly assumed to be adaptations for migration under heterogeneous environmental conditions. Here we demonstrate that density-dependent nymphal colour change in the desert locust Schistocerca gregaria (Orthoptera: Acrididae) results in warning coloration (aposematism) when the population density increases and locusts consume native, toxic host plants. Fringe-toed lizards (Acanthodactylus dumerili (Lacertidae)) developed aversions to high-density-reared (gregarious-phase) locusts fed Hyoscyamus muticus (Solanaceae). Lizards associated both olfactory and visual cues with locust unpalatability, but only gregarious-phase coloration was an effective visual warning signal. The lizards did not associate low rearing density coloration (solitarious phase) with locust toxicity. Predator learning of density-dependent warning coloration results in a marked decrease in predation on locusts and may directly contribute to outbreaks of this notorious pest.  (+info)

A simple method of removing the effect of a bottleneck and unequal population sizes on pairwise genetic distances. (42/4953)

In this paper, we derive the expectation of two popular genetic distances under a model of pure population fission allowing for unequal population sizes. Under the model, we show that conventional genetic distances are not proportional to the divergence time and generally overestimate it due to unequal genetic drift and to a bottleneck effect at the divergence time. This bias cannot be totally removed even if the present population sizes are known. Instead, we present a method to estimate the divergence times between populations which is based on the average number of nucleotide differences within and between populations. The method simultaneously estimates the divergence time, the ancestral population size and the relative sizes of the derived populations. A simulation study revealed that this method is essentially unbiased and that it leads to better estimates than traditional approaches for a very wide range of parameter values. Simulations also indicated that moderate population growth after divergence has little effect on the estimates of all three estimated parameters. An application of our method to a comparison of humans and chimpanzee mitochondrial DNA diversity revealed that common chimpanzees have a significantly larger female population size than humans.  (+info)

Dispersal and extinction in fragmented landscapes. (43/4953)

Evolutionary and population dynamics models suggest that the migration rate will affect the probability of survival in fragmented landscapes. Using data for butterfly species in the fragmented British landscape and in immediately adjoining areas of the European continent, this paper shows that species of intermediate mobility have declined most, followed by those of low mobility, whereas high-mobility species are generally surviving well. Compared to the more sedentary species, species of intermediate mobility require relatively large areas where they breed at slightly lower local densities. Intermediate mobility species have probably fared badly through a combination of metapopulation (extinction and colonization) dynamics and the mortality of migrating individuals which fail to find new habitats in fragmented landscapes. Habitat fragmentation is likely to result in the non-random extinction of populations and species characterized by different levels of dispersal, although the details are likely to depend on the taxa, habitats and regions considered.  (+info)

Evolution of stepping-stone dispersal rates. (44/4953)

We present a general model of the evolution of dispersal in a population with any distribution of dispersal distance. We use this model to analyse evolutionarily stable (ES) dispersal rates for the classical island model of dispersal and for three different stepping-stone models. Using general techniques to compute relatedness coefficients in the different dispersal models which we consider, we find that the distribution of dispersal distance may affect the ES dispersal rate when the cost of dispersal is low. In this case the ES dispersal rate increases with the number of demes that can be reached by one dispersal event. However, for increasing cost the ES dispersal rate converges to a value independent of the distribution of dispersal distance. These results are in contrast to previous analyses of similar models. The effects of the size (number of demes) and shape (ratio between the width and the length) of the population on the evolution of dispersal are also studied. We find that larger and more elongated populations lead generally to higher ES dispersal rates. However, both of these effects can only be observed for extreme parameter values (i.e. for very small and very elongated populations). The direct fitness method and the analytical techniques used here to compute relatedness coefficients provide an efficient way to analyse ES strategies in subdivided populations.  (+info)

Sex allocation and population structure in apicomplexan (protozoa) parasites. (45/4953)

Establishing the selfing, rate of parasites is important for studies in clinical and epidemiological medicine as well as evolutionary biology Sex allocation theory offers a relatively cheap and easy way to estimate selfing rates in natural parasite populations. Local mate competition (LMC) theory predicts that the optimal sex ratio (r*; defined as proportion males) is related to the selfing rate (s) by the equation r* = (1-s)/2. In this paper, we generalize the application of sex allocation theory across parasitic protozoa in the phylum Apicomplexa. This cosmopolitan phylum consists entirely of parasites, and includes a number of species of medical and veterinary importance. We suggest that LMC theory should apply to eimeriorin intestinal parasites. As predicted, data from 13 eimeriorin species showed a female-biased sex ratio, with the sex ratios suggesting high levels of selfing (0.8-1.0). Importantly, our estimate of the selfing rate in one of these species, Toxoplasma gondii, is in agreement with previous genetic analyses. In contrast, we predict that LMC theory will not apply to the groups in which syzygy occurs (adeleorins, gregarines and piroplasms). Syzygy occurs when a single male gametocyte and a single female gametocyte pair together physically or in close proximity, just prior to fertilization. As predicted, data from four adeleorin species showed sex ratios not significantly different from 0.5.  (+info)

Experimental tests of predation and food hypotheses for population cycles of voles. (46/4953)

Pronounced population cycles are characteristic of many herbivorous small mammals in northern latitudes. Although delayed density-dependent effects of predation and food shortage are often proposed as factors driving population cycles, firm evidence for causality is rare because sufficiently replicated, large-scale field experiments are lacking. We conducted two experiments on Microtus voles in four large predator-proof enclosures and four unfenced control areas in western Finland. Predator exclusion induced rapid population growth and increased the peak abundance of voles over 20-fold until the enclosed populations crashed during the second winter due to food shortage. Thereafter, voles introduced to enclosures which had suffered heavy grazing increased to higher densities than voles in previously ungrazed control areas which were exposed to predators. We concluded that predation inhibits an increase in vole populations until predation pressure declines, thus maintaining the low phase of the cycle, but also that population cycles in voles are not primarily driven by plant-herbivore interactions.  (+info)

Evolutionary trade-offs at two time-scales: competition versus persistence. (47/4953)

The evolution of many natural systems is complicated due to dynamics at a mixture of time-scales. This is especially true when there is a trade-off between large reproductive rates and long-term persistence; such behaviour is frequently observed in disease models. In this paper, a simple partial differential equation model is formulated which describes the evolutionary dynamics of two disease strains in a metapopulation: one strain is a better short-term competitor; the other has greater persistence. By considering the behaviour of means and higher-order moments, analytical expressions for the evolutionary behaviour are produced in the case when the two strains are phenotypically close.  (+info)

Rapid extinction of the moas (Aves: Dinornithiformes): model, test, and implications. (48/4953)

A Leslie matrix population model supported by carbon-14 dating of early occupation layers lacking moa remains suggests that human hunting and habitat destruction drove the 11 species of moa to extinction less than 100 years after Polynesian settlement of New Zealand. The rapid extinction contrasts with models that envisage several centuries of exploitation.  (+info)