• On 22 July 2020, the European Banking Authority ( EBA ) issued a consultation paper on draft regulatory technical standards on default probabilities ( PDs ) and loss given default ( LGD ) for default risk model for institutions using the new Internal Model Approach ( IMA ) under the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book ( FRTB ). (regulationtomorrow.com)
  • In particular, institutions that have been granted permission to estimate default probabilities in accordance with Section 1 of Chapter 3 of Title II (Permission to use the IRB approach) are required to use the methodology set out therein to calculate default probabilities, while institutions that have not been granted that permission are required to develop an internal methodology or use external sources to estimate default probabilities. (regulationtomorrow.com)
  • The draft regulatory standards in the consultation paper specify the requirements that an institution's internal methodology or external sources are to fulfil for estimating default probabilities and losses given default in accordance with point (e) of Article 325bp(5) and point (d) of Article 325bp(6). (regulationtomorrow.com)
  • A factor model for joint default probabilities. (crossref.org)
  • numerical array of default probabilities. (mathworks.com)
  • We find that although SPDs roughly match the concentration of the empirical, aleatory distributions, people's judgments are consistently overconfident because they fail to spread out probability mass to account for their own epistemic uncertainty about the location and shape of the distribution. (ssrn.com)
  • This study investigates the sensitivity and uncertainty of hydrological droughts frequencies and severity in the Weihe Basin, China during 1960-2012, by using six commonly used univariate probability distributions and three Archimedean copulas to fit the marginal and joint distributions of drought characteristics. (mdpi.com)
  • This prolonged surgery increased the risk for adverse events and created uncertainty for surgeons and patients. (medscape.com)
  • Professor Sam L. Savage of Stanford University, author of The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty, helped pioneer the field of probability management while working with Royal Dutch Shell. (avivainvestors.com)
  • This technique represents each uncertainty as an array of auditable, simulated outcomes and metadata called a stochastic information packet (SIP), which can be added to simulate the risk-return distribution of the portfolio. (avivainvestors.com)
  • A common but powerful strategy for modelling uncertainty is to randomly sample values from a probability distribution. (pluralsight.com)
  • This paper establishes some enlightening connections between the explicit formulas of the finite-time ruin probability obtained by Ignatovand Kaishev (2000, 2004) and Ignatov et al. (city.ac.uk)
  • We first investigate the numerical properties of the formulas for the finite-time ruin probability derived by Ignatov and Kaishev (2000, 2004) and Ignatov et al. (city.ac.uk)
  • Due to our definition, the implementation of the alarm time highly relies on the computation of the finite-time ruin probability, which utilizes the previous results on computing the ruin probability with a prescribed accuracy. (city.ac.uk)
  • Overconfidence is pervasive in subjective probability distributions (SPDs). (ssrn.com)
  • The Monte Carlo method is a type of algorithm that relies on random sampling from various distributions to estimate the probability or distribution of a specific outcome. (pluralsight.com)
  • Monte Carlo simulations are made easy in the R programming language since there are built-in functions to randomly sample from various probability distributions. (pluralsight.com)
  • Given the importance of operational risk in financial institutions, especially banks, we examine a mathematical model of this risk and solve it using numerical methods. (risk.net)
  • 1 , - , 4 An actuarial risk assessment instrument (ARAI 5 ) implements a procedure for obtaining, weighting, and combining a relatively small number of prespecified items to yield a numerical judgment concerning the probability of future violence. (jaapl.org)
  • The numerical properties of these formulas are investigated and efficient algorithms for computing ruin probability with prescribed accuracy are presented. (city.ac.uk)
  • This might drive clinicians to skip EBUS-TBNA when they otherwise would not, or use the numerical PTP derived from the tool to calculate a posttest probability. (medscape.com)
  • In this thesis, we are concerned with the finite-time ruin probabilities in two alternative dependent risk models, the insurance risk model and the dual risk model, including the numerical evaluation of the explicit expressions for these quantities and the application of the probabilistic results obtained. (city.ac.uk)
  • Efficient numerical algorithms are proposed for computing the ruin probability with a prescribed accuracy in order to facilitate the following studies. (city.ac.uk)
  • To calculate this, consider what the probability would be if the tank were filled twice. (open.edu)
  • With two safety devices installed, calculate the probability that both devices fail at the same time within 25 years. (open.edu)
  • After you've discussed it, have students calculate the probability of rolling any given combination of numbers. (mathfilefoldergames.com)
  • Once probability has been introduced and students have been asked to calculate it, have them reform their groups and play the game of SKUNK once again. (mathfilefoldergames.com)
  • This lesson works best for late elementary and middle school students being introduced to the concept, but can be adapted to show the probability of independent events or calculate the probability of multiple events occurring together. (mathfilefoldergames.com)
  • Instead of using a conventional value function such as the utility of terminal wealth maximization, here, we focus on the purpose of risk control and seek to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin. (aimsciences.org)
  • E. Bayraktar and Y. Zhang , Minimizing the probability of lifetime ruin under ambiguity aversion, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization , 53 (2015), 58-90. (aimsciences.org)
  • We then propose a new definition of alarm time in the insurance risk model, which generalizes that of Das and Kratz (2012), expressed in terms of the joint distribution of the time to ruin and the deficit at ruin. (city.ac.uk)
  • The alarm time is devised to warn that the future ruin probability within a finite-time window has reached a pre-specified critical level and capital injection is required. (city.ac.uk)
  • The results of the ruin probability and the alarm time are then transferred nicely to a generalized dual risk model, whose name stems from its duality to the insurance risk model, through an enlightening link established between the two risk models. (city.ac.uk)
  • As one of the current main economic development channels, the financial and insurance industry provides significant support for the growth of the social economy, and its security evaluation and ruin probability analysis are the main development guarantees [ 2 ]. (hindawi.com)
  • It is a vital breakthrough to conduct a security evaluation of financial and insurance and ruin probability analysis through DL models. (hindawi.com)
  • The ruin probability was a good representation of the risk of the insurance business [ 5 ]. (hindawi.com)
  • Using the radial basis function approach, we compute the probability of bank survival using a partial Volterra integrodifferential equation. (risk.net)
  • The NHL's new ML-driven Face-off Probability model, powered by AWS technology and created in partnership with the AWS ML Solutions Lab, uses cloud capabilities such as analytics, storage, serverless compute, and media services to determine a player's probability of winning a face-off and then immediately flashes the probability as a graphic on the live game broadcast for viewers. (businesswire.com)
  • Institutions using an alternative internal model to compute own funds requirements for market risk and holding positions in traded debt and equity instruments in trading desks covered by the IMA permission, are required to additionally compute an own funds requirement using an internal default risk model ( DRC ). (regulationtomorrow.com)
  • Four models were constructed to compute fracture probabilities based on the epidemiology of fracture in the UK. (nih.gov)
  • Explain the concept of probability: the number of times a desired (or undesired) possibility can happen, over the total number of possibilities. (mathfilefoldergames.com)
  • I want to start with the concept of probability. (yale.edu)
  • But Ian Hacking, being a good historian, thought that someone must have had some concept of probability going before, even if they didn't quote it as a number the way - it must have been in their head or in their idea. (yale.edu)
  • In four experiments we examine the extent to which subjective probability mass is concentrated in a small portion of the distribution versus spread across all possible outcomes. (ssrn.com)
  • According to expected utility theory, someone chooses among lotteries by multiplying his subjective estimate of the probabilities of the possible outcomes by a utility attached to each outcome by his personal utility function. (wikipedia.org)
  • Thus, each lottery has an expected utility, a linear combination of the utilities of the outcomes in which weights are the subjective probabilities. (wikipedia.org)
  • Studies of PTP calculators used to assess SPNs show subjective risk evaluation by experts comparable to quantitative models. (medscape.com)
  • Evidential probability, also called Bayesian probability , can be assigned to any statement whatsoever, even when no random process is involved, as a way to represent its subjective plausibility, or the degree to which the statement is supported by the available evidence. (wikipedia.org)
  • The empirical underpinnings of these algorithms and probability judgments come from studies of reference groups in which the same data items and outcomes were gathered and evaluated. (jaapl.org)
  • The UCSD researchers show that intuitive estimators, such as empirical frequency, can attenuate the probability of a symbol by an arbitrary amount. (sciencedaily.com)
  • Regarding the simple calculation of probability multiplied against impact to capture an exposure value, has anyone seen a formula that adds time to it? (stackexchange.com)
  • Bayesians consider the calculation of evidential probabilities to be both valid and necessary in statistics. (wikipedia.org)
  • The research results manifest that first, the designed security evaluation of the financial and insurance industry based on the deep learning and bankruptcy probability analysis model not only has strong learning ability but also can effectively reduce its own calculation error through short-time learning. (hindawi.com)
  • The probability of survival of an organization increases with increasing risk reserve, but if the risk reserve remains constant, the probability of survival over time decreases with constant risk storage. (risk.net)
  • Is this like delay profiles, where the probability increases or decreases in a linear way or is fixed time (it will either happen at y2k or it won't at all)? (stackexchange.com)
  • The model can also determine if a team's probability of winning a face-off decreases or increases when the primary center player is waived out of the face-off in favor of a different player. (businesswire.com)
  • The results of the EAPI approach show that on one hand the concentration of pathogens in floodwater, and thus the risk of infection , decreases with the increase of the flood magnitude . (bvsalud.org)
  • Also the word "objective", as applied to probability, sometimes means exactly what "physical" means here, but is also used of evidential probabilities that are fixed by rational constraints, such as logical and epistemic probabilities. (wikipedia.org)
  • In patients with ischemic heart disease who undergo revascularization based on PET viability assessment with fludeoxyglucose F-18 (F-18 FDG), those with a low myocardial perfusion reserve were at an increased risk of adverse cardiac events. (medscape.com)
  • Yet in recent years, many forensic mental health professionals have become persuaded that overly wide confidence intervals render actuarial risk assessment instruments virtually useless in individual assessments. (jaapl.org)
  • I also explain how misunderstanding the aims of risk assessment has led to mistakes about how, when, and why group data apply to individual instances. (jaapl.org)
  • HCM initially made their case 5 using previously published data for the Violence Risk Assessment Guide (VRAG) 8 and the STATIC-99. (jaapl.org)
  • An assessment of the device suggests that there is a 1 in 10 000 probability that it will fail each time the tank is filled. (open.edu)
  • A fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) is developed based on the use of clinical risk factors with or without bone mineral density tests applied to the UK. (nih.gov)
  • The aim of this study was to apply an assessment tool for the prediction of fracture in men and women with the use of clinical risk factors (CRFs) for fracture with and without the use of femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). (nih.gov)
  • The models provide a framework which enhances the assessment of fracture risk in both men and women by the integration of clinical risk factors alone and/or in combination with BMD. (nih.gov)
  • And in a risk assessment, one must also consider the likely and worst case scenarios. (skepticalscience.com)
  • Finally, based on the two alternative risk models, we introduce a framework for analyzing the risk of systems failure based on estimating the failure probability, and illustrate how the probabilistic models and results obtained can be applied as risk analytic tools in various practical risk assessment situations, such as systems reliability, inventory management, flood control via dam management, infection disease spread and financial insolvency. (city.ac.uk)
  • The concept of Expected Annual Probability of Infection (EAPI) is introduced and implemented in an infection risk -model approach, by combining a Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment (QMRA) with the four steps in flood risk assessment . (bvsalud.org)
  • A primary isse is wheter dose or risk should be used in the health assessment. (cdc.gov)
  • This Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) Policy Statement (PS) provides feedback to responses to Consultation Paper (CP) 21/19 'Credit risk: Probability of Default and Loss Given Default estimation' (page 2 of 2), which consulted on proposals to implement the European Banking Authority's (EBA's) regulatory products that relate to Probability of Default (PD) estimation and Loss Given Default (LGD) estimation. (bankofengland.co.uk)
  • Some interpretations of probability are associated with approaches to statistical inference , including theories of estimation and hypothesis testing . (wikipedia.org)
  • 5 ] believed that, in financial and insurance, risk estimation and prevention was the critical issue. (hindawi.com)
  • Proximity to a perennial water body is, therefore, a plausible risk factor for exposure and subsequent infection. (cdc.gov)
  • What is the exposure this risk is related to? (cdc.gov)
  • A theoretical risk for getting cancer if exposed to a substance every day for 70 years (a lifetime exposure). (cdc.gov)
  • Health-care providers may want to provide their patients with a system for promptly initiating evaluation, counseling, and follow-up services after a reported sexual, injecting-drug-use, or other nonoccupational HIV exposure that might put a patient at high risk for acquiring infection. (cdc.gov)
  • Sexual exposure also can put a patient at risk for other sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and pregnancy. (cdc.gov)
  • Injecting-drug-use exposure through shared injection equipment can put a patient at risk for acquiring other viral infections (e.g., hepatitis B and hepatitis C). All persons evaluated for possible nonoccupational HIV exposure should be counseled to initiate, resume, or improve risk-reduction behaviors to avoid future exposure and to prevent possible secondary transmission until their current HIV infection status is determined. (cdc.gov)
  • If this were true, the mathematical properties of probabilistic judgments would preclude forensic clinicians from applying group-based findings about risk to individuals. (jaapl.org)
  • Determining the prudent path forward requires not just looking at the changes which have occurred so far, but also assessing the risks to come and weighing the costs vs. benefits of addressing them. (skepticalscience.com)
  • Probability plays a ubiquitous role in decision-making through a process in which we use data from groups of past outcomes to make inferences about new situations. (jaapl.org)
  • The outcomes indicate that the integration of non-financial risk factors improves the bankruptcy prediction model. (utwente.nl)
  • This means that you have a probability of outcomes rather than simply a single point estimate. (pluralsight.com)
  • This research aims at finding firm-specific and industry-specific variables that exert an influence on the probability of bankruptcy of Dutch private firms. (utwente.nl)
  • For example, working capital management risk and access to financing have shown to have practical relevance and are statistically significant related to the probability of bankruptcy. (utwente.nl)
  • In addition, it has been found that the interest coverage ratio and Altman's Z-score are good indicators of the probability of bankruptcy, and can therefore be of great importance to firms, financial institutions and researchers. (utwente.nl)
  • Secondly, the security of financial and insurance and bankruptcy probability are discussed. (hindawi.com)
  • Finally, an analytical model of the security bankruptcy probability of financial and insurance is designed through a deep learning model, and the model is evaluated comprehensively. (hindawi.com)
  • In a word, although the above research provides the latest research content of the DL technology and studies the security evaluation and bankruptcy risk of enterprises through different methods, there is a lack of research on integrating advanced DL technology with the security evaluation and bankruptcy probability of enterprises. (hindawi.com)
  • Minimum Cleaning Frequency by Risk Type and Score. (cdc.gov)
  • Physical probabilities, which are also called objective or frequency probabilities , are associated with random physical systems such as roulette wheels, rolling dice and radioactive atoms. (wikipedia.org)
  • Statisticians of the opposing Bayesian school typically accept the frequency interpretation when it makes sense (although not as a definition), but there's less agreement regarding physical probabilities. (wikipedia.org)
  • Those who promote Bayesian inference view " frequentist statistics " as an approach to statistical inference that is based on the frequency interpretation of probability, usually relying on the law of large numbers and characterized by what is called 'Null Hypothesis Significance Testing' (NHST). (wikipedia.org)
  • There may be some circumstances when a given risk increases as you get get closer to some target date, such as the risk of a movie being pirated increasing during the pre-release period between post-production and theatrical release. (stackexchange.com)
  • This means that as the length of any sequence increases, the probability assigned to each symbol by the new estimator is as high as that assigned to it by any distribution. (sciencedaily.com)
  • it also increases the risk of stroke. (who.int)
  • In any case, you may want to amortize the risk or impact over a different window than yearly, perhaps replacing ARO with the length of your project/program and just rolling in any increasing AV or EF values by treating the SLE as a range or statistical mean. (stackexchange.com)
  • This article, however, focuses on the interpretations of probability rather than theories of statistical inference. (wikipedia.org)
  • The probabilities are based on metrics including the players on the ice, face-off location, and current game situation. (businesswire.com)
  • Fatigue risk management: the impact of anesthesiology residents' work schedules on job performance and a review of potential countermeasures. (ahrq.gov)
  • The formula doesn't look like a standard risk management formula. (stackexchange.com)
  • Otherwise, I'd push for a more standardized and holistic approach to risk management that matches the organization's approach to overall program/project risk and aligns with their budget and cadence for implementing controls. (stackexchange.com)
  • Unless the idea is to somehow increase your risk management controls in lock-step with this unexplained time-related variable, I don't understand the utility value represented by graphing risk as a linear function of time. (stackexchange.com)
  • The Score can be enhanced with a Crash Probability Dashboard that displays real-time dynamic risk insights, as well as a Crash Probability Tool that serves as a predict and prevent driver risk management program. (inderes.fi)
  • Organizations involved in driver risk management, as well as motor insurance companies, are rapidly embracing data-driven solutions to improve safety, efficiency and profitability," said Johanna Forseke, Chief Business Officer at Greater Than. (inderes.fi)
  • Requirements risk management is an emerging concept in many high performing organizations used to provide guidance on what the right questions are. (pmi.org)
  • Understanding the concept of requirements risk management and the difference between project risk and requirements risk. (pmi.org)
  • Appreciating and leveraging the benefits of conducting a thorough requirements risk management process. (pmi.org)
  • Knowing how to apply the concepts of requirements risk management to identify gaps in requirements. (pmi.org)
  • This paper will help readers explore the handoffs between project and requirements risk and arm attendees with information to begin addressing the #2 reason why projects fail-inaccurate requirements, immediately within their workplace-using requirements risk management techniques. (pmi.org)
  • What Is Requirements Risk Management? (pmi.org)
  • Requirements risk management is an emerging concept in many high performing organizations used to identify gaps in requirements, enable testing and development teams to prioritize their work more effectively, and facilitate the transition of product requirements into the operational environment and thus reducing the probability of project failure. (pmi.org)
  • Project risk management, which is primarily known to be the accountability of the project manager (PM), is a familiar concept but many are foreign to requirements risk management, which is the accountability of the business analyst (BA) to complete, as product requirements are being elicited and defined. (pmi.org)
  • Could you briefly summarise probability management? (avivainvestors.com)
  • Probability management allows you to do that. (avivainvestors.com)
  • S. Browne , Risk-constrained dynamic active portfolio management, World Scientific Handbook in Financial Economics Series , 3 (2011), 373-354. (aimsciences.org)
  • It is suitable when other approaches are difficult or impossible to use, such as sensitivity analysis, option pricing, financial risk measurement, and risk management applications. (pluralsight.com)
  • Today I want to spend - The title of today's lecture is: The Universal Principle of Risk Management, Pooling and the Hedging of Risk. (yale.edu)
  • He discusses how we can use scenario planning and probabilistic modelling to help us deal with complex risks. (avivainvestors.com)
  • The controversy stems from mathematical claims set out in three publications by Hart, Cooke, and Michie (HCM), that the confidence intervals (CIs) for individual risk estimates are so wide "as to render risk estimates virtually meaningless" (Ref. 5 , p s60). (jaapl.org)
  • The word probability has been used in a variety of ways since it was first applied to the mathematical study of games of chance . (wikipedia.org)
  • The philosophy of probability presents problems chiefly in matters of epistemology and the uneasy interface between mathematical concepts and ordinary language as it is used by non-mathematicians. (wikipedia.org)
  • You could examine the probability of winning the lottery, the probability of being struck by lightening, or the probability of Kevin Bacon being in a movie (just to name a few examples). (mathfilefoldergames.com)
  • In men, the probabilities were lower, as was the range (0.1 to 11% in the examples above). (nih.gov)
  • To further clarify the differences between project and requirements risk, let us articulate a few examples using the risk statement: "If condition occurs, then consequence could happen. (pmi.org)
  • Geometric probability distribution for modeling of error risk during prescription dispensing. (ahrq.gov)
  • Investigators observed pharmacy staff to determine the probability of at least one dispensing error per work day and found that a geometric probability distribution could model rates of dispensing errors. (ahrq.gov)
  • In expected utility theory, a lottery is a discrete distribution of probability on a set of states of nature. (wikipedia.org)
  • Called attenuation, it evaluates the highest possible ratio between the probability assigned to each symbol in a sequence by any distribution, and the corresponding probability assigned by the estimator. (sciencedaily.com)
  • Figure 2: Probability distribution for the committed warming by GHGs between 1750 and 2005 from Ramanathan and Feng (2008) . (skepticalscience.com)
  • The normalized distribution is calculated from the probability density function given by Roe and Baker (2007), and the mean and standard deviation of the uncertainties associated with feedback processes are fitted for Sanderson et al. (skepticalscience.com)
  • Probability Theory and various distribution types are important to understanding finance. (yale.edu)
  • This paper introduces the concepts of downside (respectively outer) risk neutral probabilities, which are adjusted to incorporate the preferences for downside (resp. (repec.org)
  • SKUNK is a classroom classic - it involves risk, reward, and math that teaches concepts like probability and chance. (mathfilefoldergames.com)
  • The increased mortality rate from traffic injury in rural areas can be attributed to the increased probability of death given that a person has been injured, possibly due to challenges faced by emergency medical response systems. (nih.gov)
  • Is mortality or interest rate the most important risk in annuity models? (crossref.org)
  • The differences in probabilities between men and women were comparable at any given T-score and age, except in the elderly where probabilities were higher in women than in men due to the higher mortality of the latter. (nih.gov)
  • For the purpose of risk stratification for cleaning, all other individuals and areas are classified as less susceptible. (cdc.gov)
  • Cleaning frequencies for each patient care area are derived from the total score that results from the risk stratification matrix above. (cdc.gov)
  • The formula in question is p x i + t, where t is the time period when the risk is predicted to occur. (stackexchange.com)
  • Before the puck is dropped in a face-off, the Face-off Probability machine learning (ML) model identifies where on the ice a face-off is going to occur, and who will take the face-off, and determines the probability of each player winning the draw. (businesswire.com)
  • The elements of a lottery correspond to the probabilities that each of the states of nature will occur, e.g. (wikipedia.org)
  • Does probability measure the real, physical, tendency of something to occur, or is it a measure of how strongly one believes it will occur, or does it draw on both these elements? (wikipedia.org)
  • Predict future weather using the probability that tomorrow is wet given today is wet and the probability that tomorrow is wet given that today is dry. (maths.org)
  • Based on consistent trends over each month of the last three years of a steady 1 percent monthly sales increase, you may predict that you'll continue to see steady growth over the next several years, but with a 68 percent probability of slowed growth as you find patterns where sales slowed every fourth year. (dummies.com)
  • Over the past two decades, forensic mental health professionals have developed several actuarial tools for assessing the risk that an individual will engage in future criminal or aggressive behavior. (jaapl.org)
  • 9 More recently, Hart and Cooke used logistic regression methods to conclude that ARAIs cannot "estimate the specific probability or absolute likelihood of future violence with any reasonable degree of precision or certainty" (Ref. 13 , p 81). (jaapl.org)
  • The issue was I failed to understand these high POP trades simply defer the risk into the future where at some point, if we continue the same strategy long enough, will eventually be realized. (esinvests.com)
  • Aims To determine whether the probability of future current established smoking among adolescents is related to both previous smoking experience and cognitions regarding future smoking. (who.int)
  • I've never seen the particular formula you're referencing, as quantitative risk analysis is most useful when you look at it over a fixed or sliding time window. (stackexchange.com)
  • Martin Hellman considers his quantitative risk analysis for nuclear war. (thebulletin.org)
  • The price of any asset can be expressed with risk neutral probabilities, which are adjusted to incorporate risk preferences. (repec.org)
  • This is generally a multiplier representing the impact on the value of an asset from an actualized risk. (stackexchange.com)
  • In the following concrete example, you will model an asset allocation problem where you decide what portion of wealth should be allocated to risk-free investment or high-risk investment at multiple discrete time periods. (pluralsight.com)
  • To forecast your finances, you watch for trends, patterns, and relationships, determine the probability of these influencing a particular outcome, and use that to model your forecast. (dummies.com)
  • Hacking points out that the word probability - or probable - was already in the English language. (yale.edu)
  • So, if something is probable you mean that you can trust it and so probability means trustworthiness. (yale.edu)
  • 6Other established or probable risk factors have been identified. (who.int)
  • Can you work out the probability of winning the Mathsland National Lottery? (maths.org)
  • Suppose the probabilities for lottery A are (Cured: .90, Uncured: .00, Dead: .10), and for lottery B are (Cured: .50, Uncured: .50, Dead: .00). (wikipedia.org)
  • It is unanimously agreed that statistics depends somehow on probability. (wikipedia.org)
  • Any point along the efficient frontier depends on your corporate risk attitude, so you need to understand that in order to choose correctly. (avivainvestors.com)
  • However, it can be hard to assess what this probability means, in practical terms. (open.edu)
  • For instance, you could assess the probability of a failure within 25 years. (open.edu)
  • [ 1 ] A new publication in the American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine (AJRCCM) derived and validated a model designed to assess the probability of nodal spread to the mediastinum. (medscape.com)
  • On a recent private phone call with each other, the two friends discussed the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine's project seeking to answer the question, "Should the US use quantitative methods to assess the risks of nuclear war and nuclear terrorism? (thebulletin.org)
  • The School Health Initiative: Environment, Learning, and Disease (SHIELD) study used a probability sample of children (second through fifth grades) from two low-income and racially mixed neighborhoods of Minneapolis, Minnesota, to assess childhood environmental health. (cdc.gov)
  • Results indicate that a school-based research design makes it feasible and practical to conduct probability-based assessments of children's environmental health in economically disadvantaged and ethnically diverse neighborhoods. (cdc.gov)
  • Several studies have been designed to help the clinician determine a patient's CAD risk level. (medscape.com)
  • With Face-off Probability, fans and broadcasters now have data to back up their predictions and determine which player is most likely to win. (businesswire.com)
  • I'll be using this model to determine the risk for spread to mediastinal nodes as part of my practice. (medscape.com)
  • Perhaps you couldn't figure out what variables were influencing that slowed growth, but after calculating the probability of it, you were able to determine that your sales have a definite possibility of a temporary slow-down. (dummies.com)
  • When the risk is highly uncertain, how do you determine who's right? (thebulletin.org)
  • When nuclear risk is stated in generalities, it is difficult to determine who is right. (thebulletin.org)
  • Greater Than (GREAT.ST), the global provider of driver crash probability and climate impact intelligence, has announced a new partnership with Geotab Inc. ("Geotab"), a global leader in connected transportation solutions, to deliver AI-generated crash probability insights to fleet customers. (inderes.fi)
  • Our partnership with Geotab ensures the successful, seamless integration of new crash probability insights to a wider customer base, providing fleets and insurance companies globally with intelligence that delivers multiple business benefits and demonstrates a commitment to road safety, supporting important ESG efforts. (inderes.fi)
  • Applying AWS's machine learning services to game footage and official NHL data allows us to develop and share such analytics and insights as Face-off Probability, which provide new in-game analysis and predictions to enhance live broadcasts and take fans deeper into the game. (businesswire.com)
  • Project risks are uncertainties that may impact the project where as requirements risks are uncertainties that may impact the product or solution. (pmi.org)
  • Does board diversity mitigate firm risk-taking? (risk.net)
  • The models comprised the ten-year probability of hip fracture, with and without femoral neck BMD, and the ten-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture, with and without BMD. (nih.gov)
  • Every efficient frontier is at a different cost, with each curve representing the trade-off curve between residual safety risk and residual liability risk. (avivainvestors.com)
  • For example, DeClue and Zavodny have advised forensic mental health professionals not to report estimates of individual risk because "Hart and Cooke persuasively show that the lack of precision is not a limitation in one sample or one tool, but is endemic to attempts to make such predictions about individuals" (Ref. 16 , p 149). (jaapl.org)
  • In the US sample, the 4-year probability of FCES ranged from 5.6% for committed never smokers (with LRCs) to 83.0% for current established smokers with HRCs. (who.int)
  • To establish and maintain a national probability sample of baseline information on health and nutritional status. (cdc.gov)