• Sustainable Population Australia (SPA) has welcomed the latest figures showing registered births fell by 3.7% in 2020, and dismissed concerns expressed by former Treasurer Peter Costello. (population.org.au)
  • provides a significant contribution to our knowledge of changes in fertility through its well-described historical and demographic sections, which in anthropological studies of reproduction are usually missing or lacking in depth… [The volume] successfully display[s] the richness of fertility concepts, practices and solutions in the Melanesian area and their relevance for unmasking some of the historical and contemporary myths on kinship demographic changes. (berghahnbooks.com)
  • We examined the effects of Japan's large rubella outbreak during 2012-2014 on behavioral changes among women of childbearing age by quantifying the temporal changes in fertility rates and rubella cases in 4 prefectures of Japan that experienced the brunt of the 2013 rubella epidemic. (cdc.gov)
  • 1 In this essay we will detail the dimensions of these changes in fertility patterns within the Muslim world, examine some of their correlates and possible determinants, and speculate about some of their implications. (hoover.org)
  • In particular, there has been a marked decline in fertility levels among those identified as Catholics. (springer.com)
  • The increase in GDP in Eastern Europe after 1990 has been correlated with childbearing postponement and a sharp decline in fertility. (wikipedia.org)
  • We identified a statistically significant decline in fertility rates associated with rubella epidemic activity and increased Google searches for the term "rubella. (cdc.gov)
  • The decline in fertility in Middle Eastern Islamic countries -- including Iran -- is "amazing", says the head of the UN's population division, Hania Zlotnik. (mercatornet.com)
  • In most of the Islamic world it's amazing, the decline in fertility that has happened,'' Ms. Zlotnik told reporters at a population conference this week. (mercatornet.com)
  • A provided more information on broader trends and compared growth and fertility in more developed and less developed world regions. (newgeography.com)
  • Nigeria's expected population growth is even greater. (newgeography.com)
  • If you crunch the numbers, you will find that with under zero population growth, by 2050 people will have to retire at age 73 instead of the notional 65, if we are going to maintain the current dependency ratio. (theconversation.com)
  • What is Zero Population Growth, or ZPG? (populationeducation.org)
  • Zero population growth (ZPG) is a basic demographic term that is important for students to understand during a population. (populationeducation.org)
  • Population Education provides K-12 teachers with innovative, hands-on lesson plans and professional development to teach about human population growth and its effects on the environment and human well-being. (populationeducation.org)
  • The vast majority of this population growth will take place in urban areas. (iussp.org)
  • Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia exhibit the highest rates of urban population growth, currently estimated at 3.8% per year for sub-Saharan Africa (doubling every 18 years), and 2.4% per year for South Asia (doubling every 29 years). (iussp.org)
  • According to Eliya Zulu, 60% of urban population growth in sub-Saharan Africa, will be due to births rather than immigration. (iussp.org)
  • The rapid growth of urban settlements, especially temporary settlements and urban slums, and the heterogeneity of urban populations pose special challenges for implementing family planning and reproductive health programs. (iussp.org)
  • Scholars also find a link between the European Marriage Pattern, which is marked by comparatively late marriage and consequently decreased fertility, and the economic growth. (wikipedia.org)
  • He had been invited to give that lecture by Charles Remington who founded this course, and who was, along with Paul and an attorney from Connecticut named-whatever his name was, an attorney from Connecticut, along with Paul and Charlie Remington, founded Zero Population Growth immediately after the lecture that Paul gave. (yale.edu)
  • For a country that typically relies on migration for two-thirds of its population growth, the closed border is going to have a lasting impact. (abc.net.au)
  • In the year to September - which still had six months of normal population changes before the pandemic led the government to close the door to Australia - population growth was 0.9 per cent - or 220,500 people. (abc.net.au)
  • All states and territories recorded annual population growth, with Queensland the biggest beneficiary as people moved there from other states. (abc.net.au)
  • Before the pandemic, annual population growth was about 1.5 per cent, with the majority of it coming from overseas arrivals. (abc.net.au)
  • Despite that self-evident relationship, most governments appear reluctant to accept the intimate link between the supplies of food and the numbers of people and continue calling for the further growth of their populations. (ipsnews.net)
  • Muslim Population Growth Worldwide. (debatingislam.com)
  • Surely there is a rate of yearly population growth that governments would have difficulty in planning for and providing needed accommodations. (debatingislam.com)
  • The question is: does Muslim yearly population growth rates at current levels make it difficult for certain governments to successfully plan for the future? (debatingislam.com)
  • For example, population growth, an ageing population, unequal distribution of wealth, and a growing gap between rich and poor. (grin.com)
  • Rapid population growth has led to widespread environmental degradation and food insecurity. (biomedcentral.com)
  • With a total fertility rate (TFR) of 8.3 births per woman, and roughly 2,075 people living per square mile, high population density and rapid population growth are often associated with environmental degradation and major nutritional deficiencies on Idjwi. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Eight of the 15 countries that experienced the biggest drop in population growth since 1980 are in the Middle East. (mercatornet.com)
  • If productivity doesn't increase quickly, China's working-age population will continue to decline by an average of 1.73% annually, which will result in much slower economic growth. (indiatimes.com)
  • This report provides basic information about four fertility measures for the nation using data from the 2011-2015 National Survey of Family Growth for women and men aged 15-44: percentage of men and women who have ever had a biological child, how many children they have, the timing of first births, and birth spacing. (cdc.gov)
  • Its decline is a key factor in lowering both fertility and high population growth in that impoverished region. (prb.org)
  • These age structures cut a familiar pyramidal-shaped profile of a population with a large proportion of young adults in the working-age population (greater than or equal to 42 percent), a rapidly growing school-age population, and high rates of workforce growth, typically exceeding 3 percent per year. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • Women in these two situations attract policy attention because of their critical roles in the rate at which fertility declines. (uct.ac.za)
  • We noted that the timing of fertility declines in 2014 occurred 9-13 months after peak rubella incidence months in 2013 in 4 prefectures with the highest rubella incidence. (cdc.gov)
  • Public health interventions should focus on enhancing vaccination campaigns against rubella, not only to protect pregnant women from infection but also to mitigate declines in population size and birth rates. (cdc.gov)
  • Based on surveys, it seems that declines in adolescent fertility may be rather gradual in Latin America/Caribbean. (prb.org)
  • Once fertility declines from a high level, UN demographers assume that TFR will decrease continuously until the decline ends at a low level - at 1.85 lifetime childbirths per woman in the UN medium-fertility variant, 1.35 in the low variant, and 2.35 in the high-variant projection. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • How much effect does higher fertility or immigration have on ageing? (theconversation.com)
  • Projections tell us that the effects are small and that either higher fertility or migration is equally ineffective. (theconversation.com)
  • Generally, a developed country has a lower fertility rate while a less economically developed country has a higher fertility rate. (wikipedia.org)
  • APOE-ε4 carriers achieve higher fertility by beginning reproduction 0.8 years earlier and having a 0.23-year shorter interbirth interval. (iast.fr)
  • The last time we saw population decline was the year to December 1916, during World War I when the population declined by 51,500 [people] (-1.0 per cent),' ABS demography director Phil Browning says. (abc.net.au)
  • Demography is the study of how and why populations change" (Landry 1987). (grin.com)
  • Population and Vital Statistics Reprot ( various years ), ( 5 ) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database, and ( 6 ) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography Programme. (worldbank.org)
  • Now we will examine the population and total fertility rate (live births per women of childbearing age) from the present through to 2100 for the 10 largest nations in the world. (newgeography.com)
  • Much of the differing population performance of the 10 largest nations can be explained by variations in the total fertility rate (TFR). (newgeography.com)
  • A TFR of at least 2.1 is required to replace the population (replacement rate). (newgeography.com)
  • With zero net migration and the current fertility rate of about 1.95, the population will be around 24.5 million in 2050. (theconversation.com)
  • If the fertility rate returns to its historical low of 1.73 it will still be around 22.9 million in 2050. (theconversation.com)
  • The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) also reported that the total fertility rate was at an all-time low of 1.58 babies per woman. (population.org.au)
  • What is Total Fertility Rate? (populationeducation.org)
  • According to the Population Reference Bureau , Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is defined as, "the average number of children a women would have assuming that current age-specific birth rates remain constant throughout her childbearing years. (populationeducation.org)
  • Simply put, total fertility rate is the average number of children a woman would have if a she survives all her childbearing (or reproductive) years. (populationeducation.org)
  • The total fertility rate can be calculated using age-specific birth rates. (populationeducation.org)
  • The current total fertility rate for the world is 2.5. (populationeducation.org)
  • Is China's Low Fertility Rate Caused by the Population Control Policy? (levyinstitute.org)
  • Whether China's low fertility rate is the consequence of the country's strict population control policy is a puzzling question. (levyinstitute.org)
  • This paper attempts to disentangle the Chinese population control policy's impacts on the fertility rate from socioeconomic factors using the synthetic control method proposed by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003). (levyinstitute.org)
  • The results indicate that the population control policy significantly decreased China's birth rate after the "Later, Longer, and Fewer" policy came into force, but had little effect on the birth rate in the long run. (levyinstitute.org)
  • The total fertility rate for the United States in 2017 continued to dip below what's needed for the population to replace itself, according to a new report from the National Center for Health Statistics. (tmj4.com)
  • In 2017, among the 50 states and the District of Columbia, total fertility rates ranged from a rate of 2,227.5 births per 1,000 women in South Dakota to 1,421 per 1,000 women in DC, a difference of 57%, according to the report, published Thursday. (tmj4.com)
  • Overall, the total fertility rate for the United States in 2017 was 1,765.5 per 1,000 women, which was 16% below what is considered the level needed for a population to replace itself: 2,100 births per 1,000 women, according to the report. (tmj4.com)
  • The researchers found that South Dakota, with a rate of 2,227.5, and Utah, with a rate of 2,120.5, were the only states with a total fertility rate above replacement level in 2017. (tmj4.com)
  • The report had some limitations, including that for some groups of women, the number of births used as the basis for calculating total fertility rate was small. (tmj4.com)
  • Yet, in general, "although nearly all states lack a (total fertility rate) that indicates their total population will increase due to births, these results demonstrate that there is variation in fertility patterns within states among groups according to race and Hispanic origin," the researchers wrote in the report. (tmj4.com)
  • The total fertility rate for the United States has been on the decline for a while, said Dr. Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association , who was not involved in the new report. (tmj4.com)
  • Additionally, provisional data on births that the CDC published in May noted that the nationwide total fertility rate "has generally been below replacement since 1971. (tmj4.com)
  • I think the concern is -- and there is a concern -- is having a fertility rate that doesn't allow us in effect to perpetuate our society," he said. (tmj4.com)
  • There is generally an inverse correlation between income and the total fertility rate within and between nations. (wikipedia.org)
  • For example, the total fertility rate for Japan, a more developed country, with per capita GDP of US$32,600 in 2009, was 1.22 children born per woman. (wikipedia.org)
  • But total fertility rate in Ethiopia, with a per capita GDP of $900 in 2009, was 6.17 children born per woman. (wikipedia.org)
  • For each age, the survival rate was applied to the population to obtain the population that would be one year older in the following year. (cdc.gov)
  • Total fertility rates, which are the sum of the age-specific fertility rates, represent the implied completed fertility rate of women based on 1999 and 2000 age-specific fertility rates ( Table 1 ). (cdc.gov)
  • Birth rate is defined as the number of births per 1,000 population. (medscape.com)
  • The fertility rate is the number of live births per 1,000 women aged 15-44 years. (medscape.com)
  • Although a woman with second-trimester miscarriages might be considered "fertile" by a reproductive endocrinologist, her deliveries would not be included in the fertility rate. (medscape.com)
  • This article shows that beneath the declining trend reflected in national fertility data lies a potential for the rate of decline to slow down as a result of a relatively high level of fertility among African women who have never been married and those under the age of 30. (uct.ac.za)
  • Because the number of births/age group was not available, we considered the fertility rate to be the proportion of births divided by the number of female persons 15-49 years of age/1,000 population/year. (cdc.gov)
  • Yet the total fertility rate of Muslims of 3.1 children per woman easily exceeds the replacement level rate of 2.1 children per woman necessary to keep the population stable. (debatingislam.com)
  • The Muslim population is growing at a rate of 1.8% per year. (debatingislam.com)
  • As briefly mentioned in the introduction, it is important to recognise that an ageing population is characterised on the one hand by increasing life expectancy and a decrease in mortality at an older age, and on the other hand by its lower fertility rate (WHO 2020). (grin.com)
  • The most important indicator of birth is the fertility rate. (grin.com)
  • Nevertheless, a birth rate of just under 2.1 is necessary to ensure the long-term reproduction of the population in Germany without any consideration of immigration (DW 2020). (grin.com)
  • This gives a total fertility rate (TRF) for women of 1.48. (ssb.no)
  • In 2018, the total fertility rate (TFR) for immigrant women was 1.87 per woman - the lowest ever. (ssb.no)
  • The fertility rate for all women in Norway was 1.56. (ssb.no)
  • This gives a total fertility rate (TFR) for women of 1.56. (ssb.no)
  • This gives a total fertility rate (TRF) for women of 1.71, a decline compared with 2015. (ssb.no)
  • In 2009, the total fertility rate was 1.98. (ssb.no)
  • Since then, the fertility rate has declined. (ssb.no)
  • From 1975 to 1980, the fertility rate in Iran was about 7. (mercatornet.com)
  • Yemen, one of the poorest countries in the region, has resisted the trend, with a fertility rate of about 5. (mercatornet.com)
  • Accordingly, Iran's population is now aging at a rate nearly three times that of Western Europe. (mercatornet.com)
  • In the late 1980s, China's total fertility rate (births per woman) was 2.6, significantly higher than the 2.1 required to replace deaths. (indiatimes.com)
  • Comparatively, the total fertility rate in Australia and the US is 1.6 births per woman. (indiatimes.com)
  • That prediction is based on the reasonable hypothesis that China's total fertility rate will drop from 1.15 to 1.1 between now and 2030 and stay there until 2100. (indiatimes.com)
  • The adolescent fertility rate is defined as the number of births per 1,000 women ages 15 to 19. (prb.org)
  • South Asia has had quite a steep decline in its adolescent fertility rate: from 109 in 1995-2000 to 77 in 2005-2010. (prb.org)
  • In Bangladesh, however, the total fertility rate (TFR, or the average number of children per woman) is lower than in Pakistan, 2.3 compared to about 4.0. (prb.org)
  • In her recent post on The New Security Beat , Jennifer Sciubba argues that the medium-fertility variant projection published in the UN Population Division's biennial projections - the source of most future data published in the Population Reference Bureau's 2010 World Population Data Sheet - forecasts an unrealistically low total fertility rate (TFR) for sub-Saharan Africa in 2050, at a rate of 2.5 lifetime childbirths per woman. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • We assess the impact of APOE-ε4 on fertility and its proximate determinants (age at first reproduction, interbirth interval) among the Tsimane, a natural fertility population of forager-horticulturalists. (iast.fr)
  • The recently released United Nations World Population Prospects: 2022 forecasts a future with fewer people in 2100 than there were in 2000. (newgeography.com)
  • Starting with a 2022 population of 216 million Nigeria would increase to 375 million by 2050 and 546 million by 2100. (newgeography.com)
  • Brazil, with a 2022 population of 215 million would rise to 231 million in 2050, but drop to 185 million by the end of the century. (newgeography.com)
  • Only Nigeria and Pakistan are expected to gain population from 2022 to 2100 (Figure 3). (newgeography.com)
  • World Population Prospects: 2022 Revision. (worldbank.org)
  • Although the secularization paradigm assumes that the influence of religion on individual behavior will diminish over time, it is found that religious affiliation and practice continue to be important determinants of fertility and family formation patterns. (springer.com)
  • The best way to mitigate this total dependency problem is by a combination of migration and lower fertility rates. (theconversation.com)
  • As with any average, one should keep in mind outliers, both very high and very low TFRs that influence the total average for a specific population. (populationeducation.org)
  • But on the other end of the spectrum are countries such as the United Kingdom (2.0), Brazil (1.8), or Japan (1.4) that have lower total fertility rates, averaging 2 or below. (populationeducation.org)
  • Check out the World Population Data Sheet to see total fertility rates around the world, by region and country. (populationeducation.org)
  • The researchers took a close look at state-by-state data and total fertility rates. (tmj4.com)
  • For instance, between 2007 and 2017, total fertility rates in the United States fell 12% in rural counties, 16% in suburban counties and 18% in large metro counties, according to a separate CDC data brief released in October. (tmj4.com)
  • those connected to the public sewage network account for only 31.7% of the total number of houses, which negatively affects the health of the population, leading to the spread of parasitic and epidemic diseases. (who.int)
  • The sum of the projected total state populations by single year of age (0 to 85 and older) and sex were controlled to the interim U.S. population projections from 2004 to 2030 by single year of age and sex. (cdc.gov)
  • The total number of projected births by state was calculated as the product of the age-specific fertility rates and the female population of childbearing ages. (cdc.gov)
  • Looking at these figures more specifically for each age group, less than fourteen percent of the total population in Germany in 2019 was younger than 15 years, while at the same time more than 21 percent were 65 years and older. (grin.com)
  • At more than 8 live births per woman, Idjwi has one of the highest total fertility rates (TFRs) in the world. (biomedcentral.com)
  • These factors have resulted in low contraceptive prevalence rates among sexually active women, high total fertility rates and high unmet needs for family planning. (who.int)
  • Throughout the past decades, most developed countries have experienced substantial transformations in fertility and family formation patterns. (springer.com)
  • National population policy that deals with such women must go beyond the traditional population activities to include programmes concerned with the socio?economic background of the emergent patterns of reproductive behaviour. (uct.ac.za)
  • Throughout the Ummah , or worldwide Muslim community, fertility levels are falling dramatically for countries and subnational populations - and traditional marriage patterns and living arrangements are undergoing tremendous change. (hoover.org)
  • We have been seeing fertility rates go down, and I think it has a lot to do with women and men, couples in particular, having much more control over their reproductive lives," Benjamin said. (tmj4.com)
  • Present results implicate postzygotic factors as reproductive barriers facilitating population divergence and speciation in Macaronesian Tolpis. (datadryad.org)
  • One of the big foci is women's reproductive issues, population issues, HIV issues, child bride issues, all the kinds of-a lot of the ones that we've been talking about in the class. (yale.edu)
  • But as a fertility doctor and the director of the division of reproductive endocrinology at the NYU School of Medicine, I can tell you that much of it is simply not true. (forbes.com)
  • Important measures of maternal health across a population include not only mortality and birth rates but also subtler measures, such as fertility rates and reproductive mortality rates, among others. (medscape.com)
  • Declaration and of reproductive health at the International Conference on Population and Development, plays a major role in reducing maternal and newborn morbidity and mortality. (who.int)
  • Over 120 million women in sub-Saharan Africa still have unmet needs for family planning, and 350 million lack access to a full range of contraceptive methods.3 The majority of these are the poor and adolescent populations who are at high risk of unwanted pregnancy, HIV/STIs and other reproductive ill-health. (who.int)
  • For the majority of that time, it is anticipated that China's elderly population (those 65 and older) will keep growing, surpassing the country's working-age population close to 2080. (indiatimes.com)
  • Rather than proceeding homogeneously through a country's population, the fertility transition typically advances through ethnoreligious groups at varying paces. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • Nearly all European nations are experiencing long-term downtrends in fertility, and consequently, ageing of their populations. (rand.org)
  • It examines the interrelations between European government policies and demographic trends and behaviour, and assesses which policies can prevent or mitigate the adverse consequences of current low fertility and population ageing. (rand.org)
  • The other key issue with population is the ageing problem. (theconversation.com)
  • It is time for countries, especially those with slow growing and ageing human populations, to welcome androids , i.e., humanoid robots with human-like appearance and behavior, including speech, sight, hearing, mobility, and artificial intelligence. (ipsnews.net)
  • With the unprecedented ageing of populations worldwide, countries are struggling with the critical questions of who should be responsible for caring for the old and what should be the extent of care provided to women and men in old age. (ipsnews.net)
  • The ageing of human populations is an inescapable demographic future. (ipsnews.net)
  • For Germany as a developed and industrialized country, one of the most important and at the same time most worrying issues of demographic change is the current trend towards an ageing population. (grin.com)
  • This paper focuses on the macroeconomic implications of ageing populations and the challenges they pose, using Germany as an example. (grin.com)
  • The third chapter deals with the effects of the ageing population on the labour market, the social security system, and the innovative capacity of the German economy. (grin.com)
  • In order to meet the demands of an ageing population, China will also need to devote more of its productive resources to the provision of health, medical, and aged-care services. (indiatimes.com)
  • T here remains a widely perceived notion - still commonly held within intellectual, academic, and policy circles in the West and elsewhere - that "Muslim" societies are especially resistant to embarking upon the path of demographic and familial change that has transformed population profiles in Europe, North America, and other "more developed" areas ( un terminology). (hoover.org)
  • As of 2011, it is predicted that the world's Muslim population will grow twice as fast as non-Muslims over the next 20 years. (debatingislam.com)
  • Yet will it be quite hard to achieve carbon-reduction goals in countries in which notable Muslim populations are increasing sharply over time? (debatingislam.com)
  • But the decline in the Middle East certainly does defy stereotypes about Muslim fertility. (mercatornet.com)
  • May 2013) The high rates of adolescent fertility have been a particular concern in many countries. (prb.org)
  • Estimates from the UN Population Division indicate that adolescent fertility declined from 134 live births per 1,000 women ages 15 to 19 in 1995-2000 to 115 in 2005-2010. (prb.org)
  • In Southeast Asia, decline has also lagged, but this region has a much lower level of adolescent fertility-41 births in 1995-2000, and 39 in 2005-2010. (prb.org)
  • In Latin America/Caribbean, adolescent fertility is 72 births per 1,000 women ages 15 to 19. (prb.org)
  • Projected international migration was based on the estimates of net international migration by state derived from the Population Estimates Program and data on the foreign-born population enumerated in Census 2000. (cdc.gov)
  • The projections for 2001, 2002, and 2003 were compared with the population estimates already published for those years. (cdc.gov)
  • Differences between these projections and estimates were used to derive small adjustments in the projected components of population change for the 2004-to-2030 period. (cdc.gov)
  • The Migration Policy Institute estimates an unauthorized population of more than 11 million , two thirds of which are from Mexico and Central America. (northerntrust.com)
  • Then, we calculated monthly estimates of the female population 15-49 years of age during 2013-2018 by using a smoothing cubic spline interpolation-fitting method with a knot at each data point. (cdc.gov)
  • Some comparisons of the fertility estimates in this report are made for women and men, but these differences were not the focus of the report. (cdc.gov)
  • Were there any major changes in the fertility estimates from previous years? (cdc.gov)
  • Modelling proximate determinates of fertility, we evaluated how the introduction of contraceptives and/or extended periods of breastfeeding could reduce the TFR. (biomedcentral.com)
  • We find substantial and statistically significant detrimental effects of fathers' multiple-partner fertility (MPF) on children's educational outcomes. (washington.edu)
  • This increase is expected to occur despite the low US fertility (below), and is related to higher than average international migration. (newgeography.com)
  • If we increase fertility and/or migration by plausible amounts, this would reduce to about 71. (theconversation.com)
  • Each component of population change - births, deaths, internal migration, and international migration - was projected separately from 2000 to 2030 based on recent fertility, mortality, and migration trends. (cdc.gov)
  • Rates of fertility, mortality, and migration were held constant throughout the projection period with small adjustments to fit the estimated components of change from 2001 to 2003. (cdc.gov)
  • Fertility rates, mortality rates (converted to survival rates to project population), internal migration rates, and international migration rates by age and sex were developed for 2000. (cdc.gov)
  • The survived population and initial population were averaged to derive the population base to which rates of migration and childbearing were applied. (cdc.gov)
  • Then the projected in-migration and out-migration rates were applied to the population base in each state to derive internal migration. (cdc.gov)
  • The distribution of projected net international migration by age and sex was based on the projected composition derived from the foreign-born population entering the United States between 1995 and 2000. (cdc.gov)
  • This article outlines the research carried out on variant subnational population projections. (ons.gov.uk)
  • This article reports on the research carried out on variant subnational population projections as a result of the recent consultation on the 2014-based subnational population projections . (ons.gov.uk)
  • This will help us to consider whether variant subnational population projections should be included as a standard part of the subnational population projections release in future years. (ons.gov.uk)
  • Your input will also help us to redevelop a production system for subnational population projections that will meet your needs. (ons.gov.uk)
  • We produce subnational population projections every 2 years. (ons.gov.uk)
  • Over the past few years, users have requested variant subnational population projections. (ons.gov.uk)
  • This was particularly evident during the subnational population projections consultation meetings held in February 2016. (ons.gov.uk)
  • As a result, we agreed that we would investigate the potential for producing variant subnational population projections for future releases. (ons.gov.uk)
  • We have therefore carried out initial investigations and produced a number of variant subnational population projections. (ons.gov.uk)
  • We are now inviting users to review and provide feedback on the principle of producing variant subnational population projections. (ons.gov.uk)
  • It will also provide useful input into the redevelopment of the subnational population projections production system which will soon be undertaken. (ons.gov.uk)
  • Although this work is about a "proof of concept", it provides an opportunity to consider how variant subnational population projections could be used. (ons.gov.uk)
  • Initial work has identified 3 main uses of variant subnational population projections. (ons.gov.uk)
  • The work described here is the first step in the development and publication of "for use" variant subnational population projections for England. (ons.gov.uk)
  • It is easy to run alternative projections and to discover that the population is set to age drastically over the next 30 years almost no matter what we do. (theconversation.com)
  • Produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Population Projections Branch. (cdc.gov)
  • The interim state population projections were prepared to be consistent with the interim United States (U.S.) national population projections released in March 2004. (cdc.gov)
  • The cohort-component method was used to produce interim state population projections by single year of age and sex. (cdc.gov)
  • The projections represent the results of incorporating these assumptions in a mathematical projection model and are not forecasts of what future population trends will be. (cdc.gov)
  • That latter trend, known as a stalled fertility transition or a sustained partial transition, defies the very assumption that defines the UN series of medium, low, and high fertility-variant projections. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • While it may take some time for a person's menstrual cycle to return to normal after using hormonal birth control-including IUDs, the pill, a patch or an implant-there's no evidence to suggest these contraceptives negatively affect fertility over the long term. (forbes.com)
  • Projected fertility and mortality rates were based on birth and death statistics by state from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). (cdc.gov)
  • It is important, however, to interpret birth rates in the setting of infant and childhood mortality rates, which are disproportionally high in urban and poor populations worldwide. (medscape.com)
  • We extracted data on births/month and estimated female population/year stratified by age and prefecture from January 1, 2013-December 31, 2017, for Japan and 4 prefectures with the highest cumulative number of rubella cases in 2013 from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications in Japan ( 12 ). (cdc.gov)
  • China's overall population increased by a post-famine low of 0.34 per 1,000 people in 2017. (indiatimes.com)
  • Using data from the Generations and Gender Programme and the British Household Panel Survey, religious differences in completed fertility and the transition to first birth are explored across cohorts of women. (springer.com)
  • While most countries in the world have made the transition from high to low rates of deaths and births, many countries, largely in Africa, face the challenges of high fertility rates that are resulting in rapidly growing populations. (ipsnews.net)
  • Several demographic studies (such as John Bongaarts' 2008 paper, "Poverty, Gender, and Youth," or a 2009 UNPD policy brief ) have noted a tendency in sub-Saharan countries and other lesser developed countries for fertility to remain very high, or decline from pre-transition levels (6 to 8 children per woman) and then stabilize at a somewhat lower level. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • In many ethnically diverse states, the age structure's configuration is the sum of several reproductively independent populations, each at a different stage of the fertility transition. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • In 2014, CDC published Providing Quality Family Planning Services: Recommendations of CDC and the U.S. Office of Population Affairs ( QFP ), which describes the scope of services that should be offered in a family planning visit, and how to provide those services (e.g., periodicity of screening, which persons are considered to be at risk, etc. (cdc.gov)
  • CDC and the Office of Population Affairs (OPA) developed QFP recommendations by conducting an extensive review of published evidence, seeking expert opinion, and synthesizing existing clinical recommendations from CDC, agencies such as the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), and professional medical associations such as the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists and the American Academy of Pediatrics. (cdc.gov)
  • Providing quality family planning services: recommendations of CDC and the US Office of Population Affairs. (cdc.gov)
  • Office of Population Affairs. (forbes.com)
  • Joseph Chamie is a consulting demographer, a former director of the United Nations Population Division and author of numerous publications on population issues, including his recent book, "Births, Deaths, Migrations and Other Important Population Matters. (ipsnews.net)
  • The China Academy of Social Sciences predicted the population would peak in 2029 at 1.44 billion people as recently as 2019. (indiatimes.com)
  • According to the 2019 United Nations Population Prospects report, the peak was predicted to occur in 2031-23, at 1.46 billion people. (indiatimes.com)
  • In a 1974 United Nations population conference in Bucharest, Karan Singh, a former minister of population in India, illustrated this trend by stating "Development is the best contraceptive. (wikipedia.org)
  • And when rapidly growing, high-fertility minorities become significantly large - as they have in India , Pakistan, Israel , and in the central Andean states of South America - country-level TFR can stall, or even rise. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • As a result, Catholic fertility became closer to the fertility levels of other major religious denominations, a process that was described as "the end of Catholic fertility" (Westoff and Jones 1979 ). (springer.com)
  • In fact, fertility is at a 30-year high and the population will inevitably increase for at least 40 years. (theconversation.com)
  • Populations living in urban slums and temporary settlements lack access to basic health services including family planning and unmet need for modern contraception and unwanted fertility remain high. (iussp.org)
  • Only by standardizing communication can clinicians hope to target high-risk populations with effective interventions. (medscape.com)
  • Despite the UN Population Division's remarkable record of projecting transitions from high to low fertility in East Asia, the Caribbean, South America, and, most recently, North Africa, a pair of challenges for projection methods could make "getting it right" in sub-Saharan Africa a formidable task. (newsecuritybeat.org)
  • however, the association between high urinary FSH and reduced natural fertility has yet to be established. (cdc.gov)
  • Traditional beliefs favouring high fertility, religious barriers and lack of male involvement have weakened family planning interventions. (who.int)
  • After 2021, the population of China is expected to decrease by an average of 1.1% annually, reaching 587 million people in 2100, less than half of what it is today. (indiatimes.com)
  • Aging is associated with a decline in the number of ovarian follicles, menstrual irregularities, ovarian hormonal deficiency, anovulation, decreased fertility, and, finally, a complete and irreversible cessation of menses known as menopause, usually occurring at a mean age of 51 years. (medscape.com)
  • Available information on births is used for the calculation of the main indicators of fertility intensity and calendar, at the national level, major socio-economic region (NUTS 1), region (NUTS 2) and province (NUTS 3) of residence. (istat.it)
  • These two indicators are examined below on population developments in Germany. (grin.com)
  • Possible interventions to reduce fertility. (cdc.gov)
  • Other interventions include strengthening national capacity for sustainable programmes, strengthening community participation, addressing family planning needs of vulnerable populations and operational research. (who.int)
  • The low variant, with its lower TFR's, anticipates considerable reduction of population in comparison with the medium variant. (newgeography.com)
  • Though urban residents have generally lower fertility than rural dwellers, urban areas are more unequal than rural areas, and fertility of the urban poor is much higher than for wealthier urban dwellers. (iussp.org)
  • Pollen fertility of F1 hybrids of inter-archipelago crosses from the Azores, Canaries, and Madeira were generally lower than crosses between populations or species in the same archipelagos. (datadryad.org)
  • Lower pollen fertility was pronounced in hybrids between plants from the Canaries and the other archipelagos, which is concordant with a more distant phylogenetic relationship between the Canaries, and the Azores and Madeira. (datadryad.org)
  • Lower average pollen fertility was seen between plants from different as compared to the same clades in the Canary Islands. (datadryad.org)
  • China's population is forecast to decline to 1.32 billion by 2050, and then drop to nearly 50% below its current population by 2100 (771 million). (newgeography.com)
  • Starting from a population of 22.1 million at the beginning of 2010 we can project the population in 2050 using simple arithmetic. (theconversation.com)
  • World population is expected to increase by 2.4 billion between 2015 and 2050, three-fourths of this increase will occur in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, regions that account for over 80% of the world population living in absolute poverty. (iussp.org)
  • By 2040, the urban population is expected to exceed the rural population in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia and reach 60% in 2050 (see graph). (iussp.org)
  • The base population by single year of age and sex was carried forward from April 1, 2000 (the reference date for Census 2000) to July 1, 2000 by interpolating the population between Census 2000 and the projected 2001 population. (cdc.gov)
  • The July 1, 2000 population was then used as a base to project the population in future years. (cdc.gov)
  • Data on 1999 and 2000 births by single year of age of mother, obtained from NCHS, were used to derive age-specific fertility rates based on the Census 2000 population. (cdc.gov)
  • Data for the poorest and most vulnerable populations in urban slums is often limited. (iussp.org)
  • To provide community leaders, government officials, and aid organizations with actionable information, this health assessment included a population-based household survey, key informant interviews, focus groups with vulnerable subpopulations, and the creation of the first cartographic map of the island. (biomedcentral.com)
  • In 2018, Germany had a population of 82.91 million inhabitants (OECD 2020b)1. (who.int)
  • We use data collected in 2005 from 1500 Dutch adolescents and Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) to examine the associations between expected field of study and occupation and fertility expectations. (comparativepopulationstudies.de)
  • Why did you decide to examine fertility measures in the United States? (cdc.gov)
  • The role of religion in explaining fertility differences is often overlooked in demographic studies, particularly in Western Europe, where there has been a substantial decline in institutional forms of religious adherence. (springer.com)
  • These findings suggest that fertility differences by religion also depend on the particular social context of religious institutions in each country. (springer.com)
  • The new report also reveals some major state-by-state differences in fertility rates. (tmj4.com)
  • Fertility rates by state from this calculation were held constant throughout the projection years. (cdc.gov)
  • The authors developed a multistate population simulation and projection model to study trends in Down syndrome-associated Alzheimer's disease and the associated impact on caregiving. (rand.org)
  • Intermarriage between immigrants and native individuals highlights the need to study childbearing as a joint decision of couples, because fertility preferences are likely to differ for the two partners involved. (lu.se)
  • The reason is that fertility injects babies into the population who have to be fed and educated for 15 years whereas immigrants tend to be overwhelmingly in the more productive age ranges. (theconversation.com)
  • Bank and the Gaza Strip is 47% of the population, those over 60 years of age account for 5%, leaving some 48% between ages 15 and 60. (who.int)
  • As Bob said, I started my career here at Yale as a graduate student in ecology and evolution, and it was just 40 years ago last October that I sat in the audience at the Forestry School and heard Paul Ehrlich talk about his then recently published book, The Population Bomb . (yale.edu)
  • For the first time in more than 100 years, Australia's population is shrinking. (abc.net.au)
  • Some 22% of the population is 65 and above, and 6.2% are 80 years and older (OECD 2020a). (who.int)
  • China's population has decreased for the first time in 60 years, marking a historic demographic shift. (indiatimes.com)
  • China now has the world's largest population, at approximately 1.43 billion people. (newgeography.com)
  • The world's population problem. (cdc.gov)
  • Rumors suggesting birth control can damage fertility create needless fear and cause some people to avoid using the right form for them, be it pills, an intrauterine device (IUD), condoms or another form of contraception. (forbes.com)
  • The study also found no evidence of increased pregnancy complications or adverse fetal outcomes after stopping use of any of the reversible contraceptive methods reported [2] Mansour D, Gemzell-Danielsson K, Inki Pi, Jensen J. Fertility after discontinuation of contraception: a comprehensive review of the literature . (forbes.com)
  • The UN appears to believe that nearly all of the drop in fertility is due to the implementation of its policy of government-sponsored drives for contraception. (mercatornet.com)
  • Guest lecturer William Ryerson is President of the Population Media Center which produces radio and TV serial dramas in developing countries that aim to effect behavior change on women's status, family planning and AIDS. (yale.edu)
  • To meet women's need and desire for fertility control, we recommend adding family planning services at health centers with NGO support, pursuing a community health worker program, promoting extended breastfeeding, and implementing programs to end sexual- and gender-based violence toward women. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The medium variant suggests that four of the ten nations with the largest populations will have fewer residents at the end of the century than now, China, Brazil, Russia and Mexico. (newgeography.com)
  • The higher the degree of education and GDP per capita of a human population, subpopulation or social stratum, the fewer children are born in any developed country. (wikipedia.org)
  • Age-specific fertility rates were applied to women of childbearing age to derive projected births. (cdc.gov)
  • To determine in women with surgically corrected tetralogy of Fallot the risk of pregnancy for mother and fetus, whether fertility was compromised, and the recurrence risk of congenital heart disease. (bmj.com)
  • Adding to the population, especially with younger arrivals, increases the potential output of the economy. (northerntrust.com)
  • What aspects of the diverse urban populations complicate the task of comprehending and addressing their needs? (iussp.org)
  • In that field people seem to realize that humans are pushing even the insects out of existence, so he then became interested in the human aspects of ecological and population kind of things. (yale.edu)
  • It thus offers an important contribution to our understanding of the implications of social and economic change for reproduction and fertility in the broadest sense. (berghahnbooks.com)
  • The IUSSP organized a panel session* on Family planning, fertility and urban welfare in the rapidly growing cities of sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia: Policy Implications during the International Conference on Family Planning (ICFP) in Kigali, Rwanda on 14 November. (iussp.org)