• If the blast effect of the financial crisis of 2008 was such that it favored the emergence of an "after", it's hard to think that the current crisis "whose scale and speed are like nothing of what we have known in our lifetime "- according to Gita Gopinath, chief economist of the IMF - is an exception. (zuora.com)
  • Hakan Kara, a former central bank chief economist and scholar at Ankara's Bilkent University, also said on the social platform that the new hike is "a step in the right direction" to fight stubborn inflation. (bignewsnetwork.com)
  • Expectations drive people's behavior by influencing a wide range of economic decisions such as saving, investment, purchases of durable goods and wage negotiations. (newyorkfed.org)
  • Zach Conine, the state treasurer of Nevada, tells NPR's A Martinez on Morning Edition that the threat of default is affecting people's behavior. (wxpr.org)
  • Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer investors a variety of different strategies to prepare for whatever the market throws at them - rising interest rates, geopolitical uncertainty, economic instability. (kiplinger.com)
  • Good questions given the geopolitical uncertainty caused by Brexit and trade tariff wars, as well as partisan politics whipsawing that led to the longest government shutdown and legislation stalemate. (albu-strategymanagement.com)
  • Given the high levels of uncertainty, several scenarios for the Eurozone's economic growth and inflation in 2022 are conceivable, ranging from a combination of slow growth and high inflation to moderate growth losses. (deloitte.com)
  • The best advice we can offer is to accept that a downturn will be in our future and take advantage of these good times to prepare your organization to be flexible, aware and resilient to successfully navigate new levels of uncertainty that a downturn will toss your way. (albu-strategymanagement.com)
  • In the real world, central banks must rely on various indirect approaches to measure inflation expectations: market-based measures, surveys of professionals such as economists and market participants, and surveys of households. (newyorkfed.org)
  • I say crude because such calculations ignore any difference in liquidity between and within the two types of debt, any compensation investors require for the uncertainty of the real value of nominal coupon securities and a variety of other issues, such as the fact that Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are indexed to the CPI with a time varying lag. (newyorkfed.org)
  • While inflation appears to be easing enough that the Federal Reserve will likely not raise the federal funds rate above the current range of 5.25% to 5.50%, it "is not likely to cut rates until the second half of 2024 since it wants to make sure inflationary pressures have ceased," writes Kiplinger economist David Payne in his interest rate outlook . (kiplinger.com)
  • Chair Powell has repeatedly emphasized that it would be a mistake to cut rates too soon and risk letting inflation rebound. (kiplinger.com)
  • Caution is warranted given the potential for both persistent inflation and overtightening by central banks, but we expect a better environment for risk-taking to emerge in the second half of the year. (ssga.com)
  • It stressed that "monetary tightening was decided to establish the disinflation course as soon as possible, to anchor inflation expectations, and to control the deterioration in pricing behavior. (bignewsnetwork.com)
  • By continuing monetary tightening on Thursday, the central bank hopes to send a message to foreign investors and international credit rating agencies that it is determined to fight inflation, economists said. (bignewsnetwork.com)
  • However, it also cautioned about uncertainties related to "the magnitude, longevity, and success of the policy adjustment to bring down inflation, partly due to political considerations. (bignewsnetwork.com)
  • In particular, inflation in core goods prices has been surprisingly strong, in part because the elevated demand for goods we saw during the height of the pandemic has taken longer to abate than previously anticipated. (bis.org)
  • In sum, we should be exceptionally patient in adjusting the stance of U.S. monetary policy - even to the point of allowing a modest overshooting of our inflation target to appropriately balance the risks to our policy objectives. (chicagofed.org)
  • After all, we are still dealing with the protracted war in Ukraine and its troublesome implications for European energy supplies, as well as with the lingering effects of the pandemic on supply chains, migration, and human behavior. (ssga.com)
  • By combining insights from both disciplines, I strive to shed light on these important areas and contribute to a deeper understanding of human behavior and decision-making processes. (goekhan-aydogan.com)
  • The unprecedented nature of the pandemic undermines how we process information and assess risk. (propublica.org)
  • Konnikova's psychology expertise tells her that most people have a hard time thinking through the uncertainty and probabilities posed by the pandemic. (propublica.org)
  • The problem, experts who study the way we think say, is that the unprecedented nature of the pandemic makes us vulnerable to subtle biases that undermine how we process information and assess risk. (propublica.org)
  • If the health impact of COVID-19 continues to diminish, I am optimistic that more workers will reenter the labor force, but there is a risk that labor supply remains below its pre-pandemic trend. (bis.org)
  • This post will provide some observations in online behavior along with some consumer data that should be used as predictive indicators through the rest of the pandemic. (moz.com)
  • We do expect strong growth rebounds in emerging markets that experienced steep GDP contractions in 2020, but risks may be higher, particularly where the pandemic is far from under control. (kbc.com)
  • Hence, with further mutations of the virus still possible, any delay in bringing the pandemic under control in all parts of the world raises risks for the global recovery. (kbc.com)
  • Among many influences changing the benefits and costs of institutional innovations are changes in market size, technical change, changes in income expectations, organizational changes in closely related activities, cost reductions associated with government-financed information or reductions in risk, and political changes altering voting or property rights. (eh.net)
  • When expectations are not met, the result can be bad behavior. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • That said, expectations among economists for a rate hike in September 2016 are much lower than last year. (schaeffersresearch.com)
  • This is evident in the behavior of fed funds futures speculators, who are assigning about a 1-in-4 chance of a rate hike less than a week before the meeting -- and economists' low expectations, especially as compared to last year. (schaeffersresearch.com)
  • His early work examined the widespread belief that the Rational Expectations Hypothesis (REH) - which since the 1970s has become the core premise of behavioral and imperfect-information approaches as well - provides the appropriate standard for modeling forecasting behavior. (ineteconomics.org)
  • An individual that is risk averse has a certainty equivalent that is smaller than the prediction of uncertain gains. (wikipedia.org)
  • Every day, people face unpleasant and uncertain risks associated with their behavior, and that ambiguity goes against how we tend to think. (propublica.org)
  • Risk corridors were intended to offer certainty during an uncertain period. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • The article, published in the technical journal Econometrica , was enormously influential, in part because it was published in an economics journal and spoke the mathematical language that economists favor. (psychologicalscience.org)
  • I am in favor of competition policy but its slow to implement: it can take up to 5-7 years to settle a case. (ubs.com)
  • Looking to 2023, we expect market uncertainty and volatility to persist for some time, leading to a bumpy journey ahead with a wide range of possible outcomes. (ssga.com)
  • In economics and finance, risk aversion is the tendency of people to prefer outcomes with low uncertainty to those outcomes with high uncertainty, even if the average outcome of the latter is equal to or higher in monetary value than the more certain outcome. (wikipedia.org)
  • Building on his 1982 AER article, he and Michael Goldberg showed that the epistemological and empirical difficulties of existing macroeconomic and finance models stem from their assumption that Knightian uncertainty is irrelevant for understanding outcomes. (ineteconomics.org)
  • By recognizing that economists and policymakers face Knightian uncertainty, KUE models show how both fundamental and psychological considerations drive rational behavior and market outcomes. (ineteconomics.org)
  • Do entrepreneurial attitudes toward autonomy, risk, work and income affect business outcomes? (gallup.com)
  • Since then, research has clearly established positive significant relationships between different personality characteristics or talents -- need for achievement, risk propensity, passion, creativity, autonomy and self-efficacy -- and entrepreneurial outcomes such as sales and profit. (gallup.com)
  • Frydman's lifelong research has focused on the implications of Knightian uncertainty for macroeconomics, finance theory, and policymaking. (ineteconomics.org)
  • Read this eBook to discover four key insights that can help your organization navigate uncertainty. (sdcexec.com)
  • Based on the strategy we discussed last week, this would suggest a SPY put or VIX call hedge is prudent for your portfolio, especially during this time of Fed uncertainty, plus other macro events on the horizon -- including a European Union (EU) summit at the end of the week and an Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meeting in Algeria late in the month. (schaeffersresearch.com)
  • Be more flexible in planning - due to the level of uncertainty you and your organization will be facing, consider more than one course of action. (albu-strategymanagement.com)
  • Frank Knight considered the risk taking behavior as an important feature in the concept of entrepreneurship. (tourismbeast.com)
  • A person is said to be: risk averse (or risk avoiding) - if they would accept a certain payment (certainty equivalent) of less than $50 (for example, $40), rather than taking the gamble and possibly receiving nothing. (wikipedia.org)
  • The smallest dollar amount that an individual would be indifferent to spending on a gamble or guarantee is called the certainty equivalent, which is also used as a measure of risk aversion. (wikipedia.org)
  • The risk premium is the difference between the expected value and the certainty equivalent. (wikipedia.org)
  • At a one year horizon, the 'financial multiplier' of monetary policy-defined as the ratio between the cumulative responses of employment and credit spreads-is zero for a monetary expansion, -2 for a monetary tightening, and -4 for a monetary tightening that takes place under strained credit market conditions. (frbsf.org)
  • Michelle Labbé, a petroleum analyst for Econsult, a consulting company in Santiago, Chile, agrees that uncertainty is a key to market behavior. (upenn.edu)
  • Therefore, a rate hike this month would be a bigger surprise to the market than it would have been at this time last year, which is a risk worth hedging. (schaeffersresearch.com)
  • Can a market failure occur when there is a high amount of risk leading producers and consumers to avoid the market? (iastate.edu)
  • In what follows, by "market failure" we will mean a situation where a free market fails to provide an efficient allocation of goods and services (i.e., risk in this particular example). (iastate.edu)
  • Hence, if the market fails, it is possible to conceive an alternative allocation of risks so that at least one market participant could be made better-off without making anybody else worse off. (iastate.edu)
  • Given such a definition of market failure, whether a large amount of risk can lead to a market failure or not depends on the nature of the risk involved. (iastate.edu)
  • Absent information asymmetries, there is no reason for large risks to cause a market failure. (iastate.edu)
  • That said, the purpose of this letter is to take a fresh look at the universe of market risk in the shadow of war, to review prospects for various investment categories and to suggest some strategies for the intermediate term. (michaelcuddehe.com)
  • Interest rate risk management is an especially important topic in light of current market realities. (federalreserve.gov)
  • Thanks to the introduction of guaranteed issue and the departure of risk rating, they knew of the potential for adverse selection in the new market. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • Thanks to risk corridors, insurers know that any losses they experience will be limited, motivating them to enter the market in the first place and then to price rates competitively, which triggers competition among plans and choice among consumers. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • Once insurers have some experience with the new market, and once claims come in over the course of this year and next, they'll have a better sense of what kind of risk pool they are facing and what their premium prices should be. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • Amid this market volatility, we continue to be underweight risk assets. (ssga.com)
  • its objectives are (too) optimistic, and would put further pressure on the working class despite a return to more conventional economic policies," Can Selcuki, an Istanbul-based economist and market research expert, told Xinhua. (bignewsnetwork.com)
  • As such, 2021 is set to be a much better year for emerging market economies overall, but some will face a steeper climb and higher risks than others. (kbc.com)
  • Such risks aside, emerging market economies in general should see some benefit from the preliminary vaccine efforts, even if they are limited at first to wealthier countries. (kbc.com)
  • Economists are in general concerned about monopolies pushing prices high for consumers, failing to innovate as well as dirty tricks to prevent entry into their market. (ubs.com)
  • The course also gives a thorough treatment of the dual approach to consumer theory, providing a full characterization of the implication of individual utility maximizing behavior in a market context. (lu.se)
  • The usual uncertainty about changes in policy interest rates is compounded by uncertainties related to the possible special effects of the historically low level of interest rates in the current recession, as well as the unprecedented increases in the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and bank reserves as a result of our credit programs and large-scale asset purchases. (federalreserve.gov)
  • A Martinez: Now, economists say default could tip the U.S. into a full-blown recession. (wxpr.org)
  • As the interest rate risk advisory issued by each of the financial regulators earlier this month recognized, interest rate risk is inherent in the business of banking. (federalreserve.gov)
  • Taking that uncertainty and layering on the uncertainty inherent in economic estimates yields something of a mess. (mycwmanagement.com)
  • Also, the rise in business uncertainty has been dramatic, almost reaching the levels seen during the first wave of COVID-19 in March 2020. (deloitte.com)
  • It shows that they take their investors seriously and like to reward them. (kiplinger.com)
  • With all of that as an intro, investors seeking out the best ETFs to buy now will want to take a look at the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF ( VIG , $151.90). (kiplinger.com)
  • Risk-taking on Wall Street resulted in massive losses for investors and payouts from taxpayers. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • When faced with the pain of significant loss, some investors are willing to deviate from their long-term strategy in order to reduce uncertainty in the moment. (morningstar.ca)
  • If credit markets expect a government bailout, investors will lend at rates that don't reflect the true risk of the debt. (albu-strategymanagement.com)
  • So why is it so hard for people to mask up and practice other established behaviors to prevent the spread of COVID-19? (propublica.org)
  • Health insurance provides a good example of moral hazard as well, because people have more incentives to enter into riskier behaviors (e.g., practice extreme sports, spend less on preventive care, etc.) once they have secured insurance. (iastate.edu)
  • Kenneth Arrow, the king of health care economics according to Jha, identified several factors differentiating health care from other markets: uncertainty in demand and quality, expected behavior of the physician, barrier to entry, and erratic pricing practices. (diagnosticimaging.com)
  • This leads to an enhanced moral hazard, which is economics-speak for a situation where one party takes more risks because they are protected against the costs of the risk. (diagnosticimaging.com)
  • In 2002, six years after Tversky's death, Kahneman was awarded the Nobel Prize in economics for the team's work on decision making under uncertainty. (psychologicalscience.org)
  • Roman Frydman is Professor of Economics at New York University, Chair of the INET Program on Knightian Uncertainty Economics, and Founding Editor of Project Syndicate. (ineteconomics.org)
  • My research projects aim to bridge the gap between psychology and economics by addressing critical questions related to inequality, bounded rationality under risk and uncertainty, strategic perspective-taking, and inter-temporal choice. (goekhan-aydogan.com)
  • The author, an economist, was articulating his perspective on the effect of President Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal and the influences of Keynesian economics. (cdc.gov)
  • The excessive demand incorporates other important factors such as speculation and/or uncertainty. (upenn.edu)
  • Rekenthaler then cites Investopedia saying speculation is "conducting a financial transaction that has substantial risk of losing value but also holds the expectation of a significant gain. (morningstar.ca)
  • For economists, psychology offers realism: a textured appreciation for the limits of human reason and the cognitive and emotional processes that govern behavior. (psychologicalscience.org)
  • The cognitive distortion often takes place within people who have lost large amounts of money or other assets due to gambling. (morningstar.ca)
  • As a neuro-economist, my primary objective is to illuminate the neural underpinnings of cognitive biases and deviations from optimal economic behavior. (goekhan-aydogan.com)
  • A number of collaborations among psychologists, neuroscientists, and economists have sprung up, and although the field is still in its infancy, many researchers predict that probing how the brain navigates economic choices will yield valuable theoretical and practical insights. (psychologicalscience.org)
  • But more recently, paralleling a renaissance of interest in emotions in psychology and neuroscience, decision researchers have begun to probe how emotions are woven into economic behavior. (psychologicalscience.org)
  • Results from the FACToR instrument showed mean (SD) scores of 0.92 (1.34), 7.63 (3.95), 1.65 (2.23), and 0.77 (1.50) for negative emotions, positive emotions, uncertainty, and privacy concerns, respectively, suggesting minimal psychosocial harms from genetic screening. (cdc.gov)
  • Policy experiments are an unnecessary risk?p.s. 'democracy' and 'government' - they have become antonyms. (avc.com)
  • We know how to protect ourselves - washing our hands, wearing masks and staying socially distant - but many people still take unnecessary risks, even at the highest levels of government. (propublica.org)
  • The number of collaborations between psychologists and economists has grown rapidly in the past several years, as has the number of scientific conferences, journal articles, and seminar series focused on the intersection of the two disciplines. (psychologicalscience.org)
  • We are economists and thinkers from a range of disciplines who challenge conventional wisdom and advance ideas to better serve society. (ineteconomics.org)
  • 1 And, third, there is my weighing of risk-management considerations. (chicagofed.org)
  • 4. Economists who say that voting is not rational because there is only a tiny probability that your vote will swing an election. (econlib.org)
  • Economists embraced a "rational-choice" model of decision making, assuming that people coolly and selfishly calculate financial decisions to maximize their monetary gain. (psychologicalscience.org)
  • Schumpeter's theory of innovation however ignores the entrepreneur's risk taking ability and organizational skills, and places undue importance on innovation. (tourismbeast.com)
  • Economists other than have Schumpeter also added a dimension to imitating and adapting to innovation. (tourismbeast.com)
  • This theme could actually encompass a wide range of issues related to economic theory in an intellectually challenging manner which would include contributions from non-economists. (worldacademy.org)
  • The index excludes the top 25% highest-yielding eligible companies from the index in order to avoid "yield traps," or companies at risk of cutting their dividends. (kiplinger.com)
  • Hence, while emerging markets should continue to benefit from loose policy and search for yield behavior, external vulnerabilities and macroeconomic imbalances could eventually become a point of concern for certain economies. (kbc.com)
  • For the past 20+ years, there has been a belief that private business wil take care of these issues and federal government involvement is bad. (cdc.gov)
  • Uncertainty kills markets," he says. (upenn.edu)
  • Uncertainty has been removed for awhile, and I am not surprised that oil markets have calmed. (upenn.edu)
  • Since there is a great deal of political commentary in this letter, I would like to remind my readers that the purpose of the Risk & Opportunity newsletter is to consider systemic and structural issues, including social and political as well as economic issues from the perspective of their impact on markets and investments. (michaelcuddehe.com)
  • The markets hate uncertainty, especially when it relates to such fundamentals. (michaelcuddehe.com)
  • As the financial markets became disrupted, the liquidity risks of this strategy became painfully evident. (federalreserve.gov)
  • Positive statements from international rating agencies Moody's and Fitch, along with a decrease in Türkiye's five-year credit risk premium, suggest international markets' growing confidence in the country. (bignewsnetwork.com)
  • There have been changes in consumer behavior across all industries - we've unfortunately seen swaths of shutdowns in particular markets while others have sustained or are even thriving. (moz.com)
  • At the same time however, a vast amount of uncertainty has carried over into the new year, also for emerging markets. (kbc.com)
  • In 2018, Lebanon began organizing the return of Syrian refugees despite the many risks they face back home. (refugeesinternational.org)
  • In the absence of private information, such a producer would face the same uncertainty as anybody who might be willing to take on his/her risk. (iastate.edu)
  • The arguments advanced by IKE's critique have played an important role in developing an approach that would enable economists and policymakers to build models that recognize that they face Knightian uncertainty. (ineteconomics.org)
  • High self-efficacy motivates an individual to take initiative, persevere in the face of resistance and have self-confidence and a hopeful outlook for the future -- behaviors that lead to venture success. (gallup.com)
  • Now that there is less uncertainty about Venezuela, oil prices should trend downward, Labbé writes. (upenn.edu)
  • Risk aversion explains the inclination to agree to a situation with a more predictable, but possibly lower payoff, rather than another situation with a highly unpredictable, but possibly higher payoff. (wikipedia.org)
  • This time, it could be led precisely by flexibility and the promotion of use, as responses to uncertainty. (zuora.com)
  • The theory focuses on the main strength of entrepreneur is the ability to anticipate the future but on the same time it considers risk and uncertainty as important factors which are rewarding in terms of heavy profits if successful. (tourismbeast.com)
  • The war in Ukraine has dented the expected recovery in the Eurozone and, the direction it takes hereafter will significantly influence the region's future economic prospects. (deloitte.com)
  • Uncertainty about the future of the Chávez regime had been one of several factors pushing world oil prices to record highs in recent months. (upenn.edu)
  • In the moment, the feeling of power from taking action, and certainty from reducing risk exposure can feel more valuable than the abstract possibility of future rebounds," says Newcomb . (morningstar.ca)
  • But behind these obvious concerns I believe there is a growing sense of alarm over the high-risk behavior of the Bush administration. (michaelcuddehe.com)
  • For example, a risk-averse investor might choose to put their money into a bank account with a low but guaranteed interest rate, rather than into a stock that may have high expected returns, but also involves a chance of losing value. (wikipedia.org)
  • When I say "risk" and you say "risk," chances are high we don't mean the same thing. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • Or, if you're set on participating, a conservative approach would be to set premiums high, so that you are less likely to pay out more in claims than you take in through premiums. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • In this sense the complaining by economists can be seen as just providing information which people are then free to take on or ignore as they please. (econlib.org)
  • That causes some people to underestimate their risk, the experts said. (propublica.org)
  • Moral hazard occurs when people take advantage of their private information (to the disadvantage of the less-informed party) after entering a contractual arrangement. (iastate.edu)
  • Less clear is the behavior of healthy people, who tend to pay more in premiums than they cost in claims. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • Rather, it is the behavior healthy people undertake to avoid becoming infected-curtailing travel, for example, or forgoing shopping-that has the biggest impact, says economist Olga Jonas. (mycwmanagement.com)
  • If people outside China start engaging in avoidance behavior, the economic damage will get far worse. (mycwmanagement.com)
  • It didn't take sophisticated financial analysis to predict that loans made without any meaningful underwriting by the mortgage lender should be prohibited. (neweconomicperspectives.org)
  • This consistency of personality traits allows us to predict broad classes of individual behaviors. (gallup.com)
  • These talents trigger behaviors that ultimately lead to business success. (gallup.com)
  • Researchers have also extensively studied the relationship between risk taking and business success. (gallup.com)
  • Business intelligence strength can also surface opportunities you can take advantage of during these tough times. (albu-strategymanagement.com)
  • This can lead to making better decisions, lower fixed costs, free up capital, and reduce business risk. (albu-strategymanagement.com)
  • It was from this time that the meteoric growth of software-as-a-service (Salesforce), or of the sharing economy (Blablacar, Uber ) took shape. (zuora.com)
  • These results have important policy implications: the central bank may inadvertently over-tighten in times of financial uncertainty. (frbsf.org)
  • From my experience, I know humans outside the financial world define risk differently. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • You have completed the kind of risk tolerance questionnaire that financial advisers often ask you to fill out before recommending investments. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • I suspect that is why financial professionals sound so confident when they talk about managing our risk. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • Once we learn to recognize that we are not talking about the same thing, we can avoid terrible disappointment and bad behavior when financial risk shows up again. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • The exception is smoking where the health risks are now commonly known and I agree that anyone now persisting in the habit must be deriving significant benefits to overcome the costs both financial and in health. (econlib.org)
  • 3. Economists who assume that smoking is inefficient because (they assume) the health risk is greater than the benefit (i.e. enjoyment) from smoking. (econlib.org)
  • My dad knew the health risk, and smoked anyway. (econlib.org)
  • I would expect that a person who is addicted to smoking would actually get quite a lot of utility out of their continued smoking habit, maybe enough to offset the health risks. (econlib.org)
  • Most important to health care's complexity, Jha said, are uncertainty and the notion of asymmetric information, which has been described by the economist George Akerlof. (diagnosticimaging.com)
  • There is uncertainty of how much health care you will need, uncertainty of the quality of it and uncertainty of the quantity of it," Jha said. (diagnosticimaging.com)
  • Arrow stressed that uncertainty is most notable in health care compared to other commodities because "recovery from disease is as unpredictable as its incidence. (diagnosticimaging.com)
  • In addition to the moral implications of an unequal vaccine rollout, there are also health and economic risks that can arise from such a situation. (kbc.com)
  • Confident as we are of the legitimacy of our cause and our purpose, we must act together as health workers and cooperate with other community sectors to take a united stand against the strongest threat to health in the modern age. (who.int)
  • Arrangements range from purely voluntary to totally government controlled and operated and seek to realize economies of scale, lowered transactions costs, internalization of external economies, reduction of risk, or redistribution of income (pp. 10-11). (eh.net)
  • After a multiyear effort, Roman Frydman, Søren Johansen, Anders Rahbek, and Morten Tabor have completed the development of such an approach, called the Knightian Uncertainty Hypothesis (KUH). (ineteconomics.org)
  • Be able to forecast the demand and supply statistics and respond accordingly while taking risk if required. (tourismbeast.com)
  • On the other hand, there are very important elements such as potential terrorist attacks, especially those that would affect producing countries such as Saudi Arabia … With this much uncertainty in the environment, demand for maintaining stock is greater. (upenn.edu)
  • Take for example the case of a perfectly competitive commodity producer facing large price risks due to uncertainties in weather, export demand, and the like. (iastate.edu)
  • Adds Olivia S. Mitchell , Wharton professor of insurance and risk management: "From the U.S. point of view, the big question is, 'What does this mean for oil? (upenn.edu)
  • But it is especially important now for institutions to have in place sound practices to measure, monitor, and control this risk. (federalreserve.gov)
  • They are responsible for all sorts of functions, and important to investing, they are an integral part of driving our behavior. (morningstar.ca)
  • Overall, learning about disease risk and identifying risk early for prevention purposes were important factors in decision-making to receive screening and regrets about screening and screening being against one's moral code were not viewed as important. (cdc.gov)
  • Because risk corridors attenuate losses, insurers are better able to price their premiums competitively. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • Depending on how enrollment looks in a couple of months, repeal of the risk corridor program could easily mean higher rates for consumers: insurers would no longer have a vital shock absorber, so they might feel compelled to raise their rates for 2015. (theincidentaleconomist.com)
  • While they may one day be right, this is something to take notice of in terms of the risk of a volatility pop that drives the VIX into the 20-21 area, or the June highs in the 26-27 region. (schaeffersresearch.com)
  • In 1921, Mr. Knight wrote: "There is a fundamental distinction between the reward for taking a known risk and that for assuming a risk whose value itself is not known. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • We have known for decades that the senior officials of banks making liar's loans are essentially engaged in what white-collar criminologists call "accounting control fraud" and economists call "looting. (neweconomicperspectives.org)
  • Through these approaches, I investigate the neural mechanisms that underlie social preferences, risk preferences, strategic uncertainty, and self-control. (goekhan-aydogan.com)
  • The article's lead states "The President's address shows him to be a risk-taker on a grand scale. (michaelcuddehe.com)
  • A further widening of such imbalances (particularly government deficits and build-up of debt) could lead to higher risks down the road. (kbc.com)
  • I'm also betting that if you heard a term like "risk management model," you really thought, "uncertainty management model. (yourlifeandmoney.com)
  • One month after the deconfinement and while the contours of a return to normalcy are increasingly taking shape, can we envisage the perpetuation of such behaviors? (zuora.com)