Economic Recession

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economic crisis Archives - Page 3 of 6 - The Great Recession Blog

Accelerating Out of the Great Recession

Economic News Articles in the Great Recession - Archive for the week of 04/15/2012 - The Great Recession Blog

Political Effects of the Great Recession (Essay about economic recession)

Peak Oil and the Great Recession - Mother Jones

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Great Recession23

• The "Great Recession" resulted in many business closings and foreclosures, but what effect did it have on business formation? (ssrn.com)
• Using the regression estimates for the local unemployment rate effects, I find that the predicted trend in entrepreneurship rates tracks the actual upward trend in entrepreneurship extremely well in the Great Recession. (ssrn.com)
• We start with exit from the Great Recession, comparing the evolution of real-time vintage beliefs to a "final" late-vintage chronology. (nber.org)
• An area that lost 5% of its employment-about the typical loss during the Great Recession-showed a 6.2% loss in employment (relative to what would be expected without the recession) even seven to nine years after the recession ended. (brookings.edu)
• The confidence of CEOs has never been this low since the Great Recession in 2007. (naturalnews.com)
• The current economic downturn has now lasted longer than the Great Recession in Oklahoma. (kgou.org)
• We discuss how these modern business cycle models have evolved across three generations, from their roots in the early real business cycle models of the late 1970s through the turmoil of the Great Recession four decades later. (aeaweb.org)
• We show how two versions of this latest generation of modern business cycle models, which are real business cycle models with frictions in labor and financial markets, can account, respectively, for the aggregate and the cross-regional fluctuations observed in the United States during the Great Recession. (aeaweb.org)
• Yet the 2008-09 Great Recession, and the period of weak growth that followed in most advanced economies, showed that it could be crucial to combine these two approaches. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• It is an important result for the detection of future recessions because, according to their model, the US economy is back to low volatility state after an interruption during the Great Recession. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• During the Great Recession, from 2007 to 2009, average real income per family declined dramatically by 17.4%, the largest two year drop since the Great Depression. (economicpopulist.org)
• In the aftermath of the Great Recession of 2007, the US federal government budget moved sharply to large deficits. (neweconomicperspectives.org)
• By December 2007 - the date called by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee as the start of the Great Recession - those numbers had collapsed. (commoditymasters.net)
• The Fed missed the Great Recession. (commoditymasters.net)
• The concern must be that the U.S. enters double-dip, W-shaped recession that spreads around the world as the Great Recession did. (commoditymasters.net)
• New treasurer Jim Chalmers was part of Australia's successful effort to avoid the last US-led "great recession" in 2008. (theconversation.com)
• To overcome limitations of prior work, we employed a quasi-experimental design to assess the impact of the Great Recession on explicit violence diagnoses (injuries identified to be caused by a violent event) and proxy violence diagnoses (injuries highly correlated with violence) for child maltreatment, intimate partner violence, elder abuse, and their combination. (medscape.com)
• Counties that were more highly affected by the Great Recession saw a greater increase in the average rate of proxy-identified child abuse, elder abuse, intimate partner violence, and combined violence when compared with less-affected counties. (medscape.com)
• [ 7 , 8 ] In the United States, the "Great Recession"-the longest recession since World War II-began in December 2007 and ended in June 2009. (medscape.com)
• [ 7 ] There is limited research specifically examining the association of economic crises such as the Great Recession with violence, despite evidence that personal or community level economic hardship is associated with violence. (medscape.com)
• In the first quarter of the Great Recession alone, approximately $7 trillion dollars in home equity were lost and approximately 1 in every 4 homeowners had an outstanding mortgage balance that exceeded the value of their home. (medscape.com)
• Foreclosures were a central feature of the Great Recession, and evidence suggests they may affect violence rates. (medscape.com)
• [ 14-16 ] Theoretical understanding of violence suggests that there is a link between the Great Recession and violent victimization. (medscape.com)

202314

• Among the investment banks expecting a recession in the U.S. is Goldman Sachs, which is going along with credit rating agency Fitch Rating's prediction of a recession beginning in the second quarter of 2023. (naturalnews.com)
• Inflation's entrenchment - and the policy action likely required of the Fed - confirms the expectation in our forecast of a moderate recession beginning in the first quarter of 2023. (ft.com)
• The 2023 Economic Outlook powered by ATB Financial took place Oct. 19, 2022. (calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com)
• Commodity price-driven growth and momentum in the long-term diversification of our economy will propel Calgary and Alberta in the year ahead despite forecasts of a global recession, economists said at Calgary Economic Development's 2023 Economic Outlook, powered by ATB Financial . (calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com)
• Looking forward, the momentum Alberta has going into 2023 will help our economy weather the economic storm created by the invasion, inflation, and interest rates. (calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com)
• Sit down with the entire team and have an honest conversation about your preparedness plan for whatever economic changes may be coming in 2023. (crstoday.com)
• The International Monetary Fund is again lowering its projections for global economic growth in 2023, projecting world economic growth to be lower by $4 trillion through 2026. (indiatimes.com)
• For example, the combined economic output in 2022 and 2023 should be EUR 160 billion lower than it had been expected in the spring. (iwh-halle.de)
• 2022 will be a tough year - and possibly an even tougher 2023, with an increased risk of recession. (basketvillageusa.com)
• Most economists predict a recession in 2023": I own a rental property. (tehrankharid.com)
• As economic forecasts turn gloomier, executives at the Wall Street powerhouse, including Dan Dees and Jim Esposito, who jointly run its global banking and markets division, said they are primed for a recovery when financing markets ease up, potentially as early as the second half of 2023. (indiatimes.com)
• Multifamily rents were flat in January 2023 as a strong jobs report indicated that fears of a significant economic recession may be overblown. (bdcnetwork.com)
• For example, if prices are "stickier", and fail to respond enough to higher interest rates, central banks will need to tighten further and this will precipitate a recession in 2023 that could be pronounced, with knock-on effects, including on the fiscal position of governments. (bennettjones.com)
• Yellen will meet with her Chinese counterpart Vice Premier Liu He in Switzerland on Jan. 18, 2023 to discuss economic developments between the two nations. (myhighplains.com)

Inflation17

• The same people who said inflation wouldn't happen," he continued, "are now insisting we aren't headed into a recession. (thegrio.com)
• Controlling and directing liquidity to production, controlling inflation, lowering prices, and stabilizing various markets can bring a complete exit from the recession and bring the economy to the shore of calm. (iranfocus.com)
• And the regime's president in one of his latest expressions about the country's economic situation and continuing to move towards economic growth and reducing inflation in the country said: "Positive steps have been taken in this regard. (iranfocus.com)
• And so, inflation is going to be very exacerbated for the next few years and the recession is going to be very real. (naturalnews.com)
• But can the price outlook recover as recession calls grow and inflation continues to dominate market headlines? (kitco.com)
• While strong commodity prices are providing an economic boost in our province, high inflation and rising interest rates are making things tough for a lot of families and businesses," said Rob Roach, Deputy Chief Economist and Managing Director, ATB Financial. (calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com)
• In the best of circumstances, the Fed's task of slaying the inflation beast without producing a hard economic landing would not be easy. (19fortyfive.com)
• The coach cannot predict the influential elements on the field or court, and physician-owners cannot predict the ceiling of inflation or the potential onset of a recession. (crstoday.com)
• One big question for the months ahead: Will holiday spending be muted by higher inflation and/or the economy slipping into recession? (cornell.edu)
• Strong rebound with overheating: Inflation and economic activity picks up, so the Fed has to act more strongly in the coming months. (cornell.edu)
• Mild to moderate recession: 2-3 quarters of declining GDP and subsiding inflation. (cornell.edu)
• My controversial conjecture is that (as long as inflation is no longer an imminent threat) recession news would be welcomed by the financial markets - boosting equity prices rather than lowering them. (world-economics-journal.com)
• Robert Asselin, senior vice-president with the Business Council of Canada, says fiscal discipline is especially important as the country faces high inflation, rising interest rates and low economic growth. (agassizharrisonobserver.com)
• As people's incomes come under such pressure because of inflation, and businesses grapple with the January slump, the amount of economic activity taking place is likely to reduce from here. (ftadviser.com)
• We look at the expected recession in the winter half-year 2022/23 and the onset of recovery, how inflation will peak, while the labor market loses momentum and private consumption is hit by the loss of purchasing power. (dbresearch.de)
• While the liquidity in capital markets remains decent, the goal of generating real economic growth ( over inflation ) is not being achieved. (econintersect.com)
• Their target is low inflation, not economic growth. (economicshelp.org)

20225

• Economic Report: U.S. economy ended 2022 on solid footing, GDP to show. (forextv.com)
• In mid-September, the head of Iran's Program and Budget Organization also said: "In the 2022 plan, the main emphasis is on achieving economic growth. (iranfocus.com)
• Visit the Economic & Strategic Research site at fanniemae.com to read the full September 2022 Economic Outlook, including the Economic Developments Commentary , Economic Forecast , Housing Forecast , and Multifamily Market Commentary . (ft.com)
• Most people who follow US macro data knew, heading into 2022, that economic growth and labor market gains were likely to slow. (tehrankharid.com)
• While our economy struggles with recession and while interests are increased to curb that economic factor, buyers should not wait to enter into homeownership," SMAR's 2021-2022 President Gregg Kantak said. (thebaynet.com)

Economists5

• In the fall of 2000, not one of the 50 economists saw the recession coming the following winter. (prospect.org)
• The US is already in the throes of a coronavirus-related recession that will last into September, economists at UCLA's Anderson School of Management said Monday. (businessinsider.com)
• As numerous banks predict the US economy will enter recession by the summer, economists at UCLA say they're already months late. (businessinsider.com)
• The economic contraction will be more severe in California than in the rest of the nation, the economists said, predicting that the coronavirus outbreak would bite into the state's tourism and trans-Pacific transport industries, driving a steep jump in unemployment. (businessinsider.com)
• A group of economists, meanwhile, stated that there's a 60 percent chance the country would slip into recession - up from its 50 percent prediction in September. (naturalnews.com)

Downturn13

• This report compares Washington State to eight similar states on indicators of economic well-being over the past decade, while highlighting the impact of the recent economic downturn. (wa.gov)
• Biden's team gave technical arguments in a report issued last week about how recessions depend on a dashboard of indicators and that only the non-governmental National Bureau of Economic Research can formally say when a downturn begins. (thegrio.com)
• The committee recognizes that the pandemic and the public health response have resulted in a downturn with different characteristics and dynamics than prior recessions," the NBER panel says. (nonprofitquarterly.org)
• Strategies for maintaining a successful practice despite a potential economic downturn. (crstoday.com)
• Cutting back on staffing and training may seem like a logical first step in the face of an economic downturn. (crstoday.com)
• Demand for new labour is likely to decline in view of the economic downturn. (iwh-halle.de)
• In an economic downturn, innovation is particularly essential to business success. (pepperdine.edu)
• The move comes as corporate America has seen a string of layoffs with companies trying to rein in costs amid fears of a potential economic downturn. (indiatimes.com)
• Yesterday I cautioned against comparing the current economic downturn to the Great Depression. (dmarron.com)
• Except for one thing: the economic costs of today's downturn, although severe, appear to be much lower (knock on wood). (dmarron.com)
• Since the onset of the economic downturn, Vizio's share has risen dramatically," iSuppli analyst Riddhi Patel said in a statement. (informationweek.com)
• Overall, the LCD TV market has remained strong, despite the economic downturn. (informationweek.com)
• Severe economic downturn that lasts several years. (bvsalud.org)

20204

• The update arrives one week after UCLA's forecast projected a recession starting later in 2020. (businessinsider.com)
• The president himself maintains the economy is just cooling off after a sharp recovery from the 2020 recession caused by the coronavirus pandemic. (thegrio.com)
• If the virus is not contained, which is a material risk, the U.S. economic impact--and the credit implications--could be much more severe in 2020. (spglobal.com)
• At the 2020 NFPA IEOC, I also noted that the problems in 2020 were being further exacerbated by the China tensions, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the uncertain political outlook and the resulting economic policies. (fluidpowerjournal.com)

Deep recession4

• The Fed means to convey its intention to return the economy to price stability without triggering a deep recession. (cornell.edu)
• Spiral into deep recession: 4+ quarters of declining GDP followed by slow recovery. (cornell.edu)
• After a deep recession, however, little new money has materialized. (seattletimes.com)
• Nor, in his alternative argument, could Romney yet pin the economic effects of the deep recession that Obama confronted when he entered the White House - the worst recession in 80 years - on Obama's recovery policies. (timesfreepress.com)

Severe recession4

• When a local economy suffers a severe recession and more workers become unemployed for longer periods, these workers can lose skills and other characteristics that make them employable when conditions improve. (brookings.edu)
• New Hampshire's Republican Gov. Chris Sununu offered a different view on why a severe recession is coming. (naturalnews.com)
• In times of a severe recession, cutting interest rates may be insufficient to restore economic growth. (economicshelp.org)
• The parallels between the lead-up to the Great Depression and the lead-up to today's severe recession are eerie. (dmarron.com)

Crisis15

• We are sitting at the cusp of a tech investment cycle-despite the near-term economic crisis. (cio.com)
• After accounting for potential selection into pregnancy, we find that in utero exposure to economic crisis is linked with a BW loss, which is driven by the low-SES children. (lse.ac.uk)
• The impact of economic crisis on birth indicators is more detrimental for the low-SES children, resulting in a widening of the BW gap between children of low- and high-SES families. (lse.ac.uk)
• But state-sponsored public services including health care have already been strained by budget shortfalls occurring before the economic crisis. (prb.org)
• Joe Biden's Next Economic Crisis: A Recession? (19fortyfive.com)
• Mr. Lachman has written extensively on the global economic crisis, the U.S. housing market bust, the U.S. dollar, and the strains in the euro area. (19fortyfive.com)
• The Russian attack on Ukraine and the resulting crisis on the energy markets are leading to a noticeable slump in the German economy,' says Torsten Schmidt, head of economic research at RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research and spokesman for the Joint Economic Forecast Project Group. (iwh-halle.de)
• due to the shortage of personnel in many sectors, no increase in unemployment is expected despite the economic crisis. (iwh-halle.de)
• Sub-Saharan Africa is struggling to navigate an unprecedented health and economic crisis-one that, in just a few months, has jeopardized decades of hard-won development gains and upended the lives and livelihoods of millions. (imf.org)
• Think of how a further disruption in Europe's natural gas supply could plunge many economies into recession and trigger a global energy crisis," she wrote. (basketvillageusa.com)
• Take these steps to ensure your small business's survival in a recession or economic crisis. (business.com)
• Another option for a real economic crisis is to borrow funds from the IMF. (economicshelp.org)
• Furthermore, since 2008, financial and fiscal crisis and accompanying recession in EU have taken their toll on the country's economic and fiscal situation. (go.jp)
• Africa and the global economic crisis: strategies for preserving the foundations of long-term growth. (who.int)
• The economic crisis brought an unprecedented attention to the issue of health system sustainability in the developed world. (bvsalud.org)

Next 12 months3

• Overall, 41% were optimistic or very optimistic about economic prospects for their own organizations over the next 12 months, down from 54% in the previous quarter. (journalofaccountancy.com)
• According to the Bloomberg Economics probability model, there's now a 100 percent chance of a recession happening in the next 12 months. (naturalnews.com)
• The outlook for the global economy has "darkened considerably" in recent months, the IMF chief warned, and the world faces a growing risk of recession over the next 12 months. (basketvillageusa.com)

Economy30

• South Africa avoided a second recession in two years, with the economy growing by 3.1% in the three months to end-June, according to Stats SA. (news24.com)
• While SA avoided a recession, the outlook for the economy remains bleak. (news24.com)
• Is the global economy facing a recession? (weforum.org)
• Is the U.S. Economy Headed Toward a Recession? (nationalreview.com)
• Regardless of which scenario is accurate, the consensus within the economic profession has twice in the last decade been demonstrated to be a grossly inadequate source for information on the economy. (prospect.org)
• Dean Baker is senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C. He is the author of several books, including 'Rigged: How Globalization and the Rules of the Modern Economy Were Structured to Make the Rich Richer. (prospect.org)
• The university on Monday revised its Anderson Forecast, which now suggests the national economy has already stopped growing and will remain in recession until October. (businessinsider.com)
• As of Thursday, our economy under President Joe Biden has suffered through two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. (newsbusters.org)
• Right after that and with the use of the numbers published by the regime's Central Bank and while all the economic statistics speak about the collapse of the country's economy and while more than 60 million are living under the poverty line, the regime's president Ebrahim Raisi admitted that the country is witnessing, 'the appearance of signs of the end of the recession and the return of economic prosperity. (iranfocus.com)
• He pointed to the 6.2 percent growth of Iran's GDP in the second quarter of 2021, "which indicates that the Iranian economy has significantly emerged from the recession and is moving towards recovery. (iranfocus.com)
• The combination of a sharp decline in U.S. optimism, paired with muted declines in organizational optimism and expansion plans, mirrors what occurred between the third quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2008 when the economy was entering a recession. (journalofaccountancy.com)
• Thirty-six percent thought it was somewhat or very unlikely that the U.S. economy would fall into a double-dip recession, and 3% were unsure. (journalofaccountancy.com)
• Nonetheless, it concluded that the unprecedented magnitude of the decline in employment and production, and its broad reach across the entire economy, warrants the designation of this episode as a recession, even if it turns out to be briefer than earlier contractions. (nonprofitquarterly.org)
• Meanwhile, the World Bank warns that this year has brought the global economy into in its deepest recession, but for now, it is forecasting a rebound in 2021. (nonprofitquarterly.org)
• In this case, one factor summarizes the dynamics of five variables (quarterly GDP and the four monthly variables used by the National Bureau of Economic Research to date turning points in the US economic cycle) and represents the underlying state of the economy. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• In addition, the MS-DFM introduces regime shifts in economic dynamics: the average value of the underlying factor during periods of recession differs from its average value during periods of expansion, and the probability of the economy being in one state or the other is updated at each date according to the latest available macroeconomic information. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• The fact is that we're all in for some serious belt tightening, and plenty of people are going to lose their jobs unless they and their leaders can figure out what the economy needs during a recession. (japaninc.com)
• The Joint Economic Forecast was prepared by the ifo Institute (Munich), the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), and RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research (Essen). (iwh-halle.de)
• But she signalled that Canadians can expect a fall economic statement that focuses on the economy Canada is trying to "seize" for the future - namely one that is heavily focused on clean power, electric vehicles, battery manufacturing and critical minerals. (agassizharrisonobserver.com)
• The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) actually defines a recession as "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales. (awealthofcommonsense.com)
• Blanchflower is well known for pinpointing the start of the U.S. recession of 2007-09 before most other forecasters and the Federal Reserve recognized the economy had fallen into that historic slump. (commoditymasters.net)
• The economy is still booming, and President Trump's economic policies are working. (mullinforcongress.com)
• The purpose of this article is to explore the impact of the U.S. recession on women and to help readers gain useful knowledge about women's role in the economy. (pepperdine.edu)
• Without establishing the underlying causes of boom-bust cycles, employing policies in response to changes in economic indicators to counter economic cycles is likely to destabilize the economy. (mises.org)
• ONS director of economic statistics, Darren Morgan, said: "The economy grew a little in November with increases in telecommunications and computer programming helping to push the economy forward. (ftadviser.com)
• Find out more about unemployment in 2001 in 'U.S. labor market in 2001: economy enters a recession,' by David S. Langdon, Terence M. McMenamin, and Thomas J. Krolik, Monthly Labor Review , February 2002. (bls.gov)
• When the economy is stuck in recession, monetary policy may be able to boost spending. (economicshelp.org)
• In times of a recession, it can help the economy come out of a recession. (economicshelp.org)
• In Republic of Albania, the economic bases is vulnerable due to the effects of the economic lag caused by the controlled economy and isolationism during the communist period. (go.jp)
• Significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real gross domestic product, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales. (bvsalud.org)

Outlook8

• Economic Outlook - Global recession inevitable, but where will it end? (brighttalk.com)
• Economic optimism dropped to a two-and-a-half year low as more than 60% of CPA financial executives thought it was likely the U.S. would experience a double-dip recession, according to results released Wednesday from the AICPA Business & Industry Economic Outlook Survey Q3 2011 . (journalofaccountancy.com)
• For the second consecutive quarter, the CPA Outlook Index declined as turbulence in the political and economic environment eroded the sense earlier this year that a recovery was taking hold," said Carol Scott, CPA, AICPA vice president-Business, Industry & Government, in a press release. (journalofaccountancy.com)
• Economic outlook for holiday spending - is a recession in store? (cornell.edu)
• Assuming that the Fed increases the federal funds rate by another 75 basis points - as it has already signaled it will - the attention will be mostly focused on the statement and what that implies for the economic outlook. (cornell.edu)
• After observing a dramatic change to the farm sector outlook over the last several months, Industry & Economic Outlook Conference (IEOC) presenter Eli Lustgarten has issued an update of his ag equipment outlook for National Fluid Power Association members. (fluidpowerjournal.com)
• Uncertainty was increasing about the political outlook and economic policies. (fluidpowerjournal.com)
• The main reason for the deterioration in the economic outlook is the reduced gas export from Russia, which has eliminated a significant part of the gas supply and increased the risk that the remaining supply and storage volumes will not be sufficient to meet the demand during the coming winter. (iwh-halle.de)

Fears3

• And the phrase of the week is recession fears. (newsbusters.org)
• Recession fears. (newsbusters.org)
• HUGHESVILLE, Md. - As fears of a recession loom across the country, the Southern Maryland housing market has already begun showing some new trends. (thebaynet.com)

Growth27

• Sure, economic uncertainty abounds, but history has proven that the IT industry generally operates in 10-year alternating cycles of innovation and growth followed by cycles of refinement and digestion. (cio.com)
• I have heard many comments (on BTP and elsewhere) that I am being unfair to reporters, because they are just reflecting the consensus within the economic profession, which managed to overlook the growth of both bubbles. (prospect.org)
• ADS swings widely as its underlying economic indicators swing widely, but the emerging ADS path as of this writing (late June) indicates a return to growth in May. (nber.org)
• On Sunday's reliably liberal Reliable Sources on CNN, Democrat Party propagandist Brian Stelter predictably bemoaned how the media is "basically caught up in that debate" over whether the United States is now in a recession despite the well-established definition being two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. (newsbusters.org)
• Two negative quarters of GDP growth is not the technical definition of recession," National Economic adviser Brian Deese insisted during Tuesday's White House press briefing. (thegrio.com)
• You'll have Republicans saying two consecutive quarters of negative growth - that's a recession," said Michael Strain, director of economic policy studies at the center-right American Enterprise Institute. (thegrio.com)
• The country's economic growth is on the rise, and despite the effects of the coronavirus and sanctions, it has paved the way out of the recession. (iranfocus.com)
• We can achieve 8 percent economic growth if we try, and it is possible. (iranfocus.com)
• The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) declined by 0.4 percent to 115.9 last month and had fallen by 2.8 percent between March and September, which is a reversal from the 1.4 percent growth posted in the previous six months. (naturalnews.com)
• Real wage growth and continued employment for the most liquidity constrained consumers helps to sustain holiday spending, aiding in preventing a recession. (cornell.edu)
• Macroeconomic forecasts are often made by separating two objectives: providing the growth rate of the variable of interest (usually GDP) and detecting turning points in the economic cycle. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• To do that, macroeconomic forecasters need models accounting for: (i) sudden and deep recessions, (ii) periods of increasing macroeconomic volatility, and (iii) fluctuations in trend GDP growth. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• Moreover, their findings reveal a gradual decrease in the US trend GDP growth that began a few years before the 2008-09 recession and continued thereafter, which contributes to the current debate on the US productivity and growth slowdown. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• The impact of social distancing on consumer spending activity and a knockdown effect on business investment, together with the oil price hit on capital investments in energy infrastructure and expanded travel bans, likely means a -1.0% reading in the first quarter and a large contraction of 6.0% for GDP growth in the second, signaling recession for the U.S. (spglobal.com)
• With that in mind, and with few economic releases on the subject, we did a bottoms-up analysis on the impact to growth. (spglobal.com)
• I've heard ad nauseam that we are in the late innings of the expansion, but also that since we are at near 3% GDP, it is unlikely for us to quickly go into negative GDP growth and a recession. (awealthofcommonsense.com)
• The early-1960s is the obvious outlier which saw enormous economic growth just before a minor recession but you can see there isn't much rhyme or reason in the predictive power of real GDP. (awealthofcommonsense.com)
• Can China stimulate economic growth? (credit-suisse.com)
• Global economic growth is likely to continue to slow," Nannette Hechler-Fayd'herbe , Credit Suisse's Chief Investment Officer for EMEA and Global Head of Economics & Research said. (credit-suisse.com)
• A recession looks more likely every day, and the latest sign of this is slowing price growth in producer prices. (mises.org)
• Industry commentators were split on whether the UK is likely to head into a recession, which is two consecutive quarters of negative growth. (ftadviser.com)
• The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening, with global growth projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and 3.7 percent in 2018. (imf.org)
• For example, in a recession, the government can cut interest rates to boost demand and increase growth. (economicshelp.org)
• Cut interest rates to boost economic growth. (economicshelp.org)
• This policy enabled the country to boost spending and economic growth. (economicshelp.org)
• Unemployment and Long-Run Economic Growth: The Role of Income Inequality and Urbanization. (economicsessaywriting.com)
• Airin was a residential area during the country's per 100 000, corresponding to an annual reduction of 6% period of economic growth between the 1950s and the from 2013. (who.int)

NBER2

• US unemployment rates over the last 70 years (NBER-dated recessions in grey). (weforum.org)
• In fact, it's taken NBER anywhere from 6 to 21 months in the past to determine economic peaks and troughs. (awealthofcommonsense.com)

Forecasts3

• Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research (ESR) group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. (ft.com)
• In this article, Doz, Ferrara and Pionnier offer an econometric model that integrates these three characteristics, and show that their model both anticipates the detection of turning points in the US economic cycle and improves GDP forecasts since the last recession . (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• Desjardins forecasts the federal deficit to come in around $20 billion at the end of the fiscal year, though Bartlett notes that doesn't include any spending that could be announced in the fall economic statement. (agassizharrisonobserver.com)

Pandemic12

• Despite all the uncertainty surrounding the corona pandemic, it is clear that the economic impact will be severe. (brighttalk.com)
• We then consider entry into the Pandemic Recession, again tracking the evolution of real-time vintage beliefs. (nber.org)
• The coronavirus pandemic seems likely to trigger a severe worldwide recession of uncertain length. (brookings.edu)
• Even if it is relatively short, the upcoming pandemic-fueled recession seems likely to especially damage local economies tied to tourism, travel, and energy-think Seattle (where Boeing has a big presence) and Dallas (with its large oil industry). (brookings.edu)
• According to the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research , US employment, income, and spending peaked back in February and, in the midst of the pandemic, began a precipitous decline, or recession. (nonprofitquarterly.org)
• In this time of supply chain challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic and global political strife, another source of uncertainty is the question of whether the United States is in or moving into an economic recession cycle. (crstoday.com)
• The COVID-19 pandemic dramatically reduced U.S. and global economic activity. (fluidpowerjournal.com)
• 3 Beyond its toll on physical health, the pandemic has pushed the U.S. into an economic recession, which typically impacts already disadvantaged people more severely than the rest of society. (commonwealthfund.org)
• The analysis shows that Americans' experience of economic hardship, their mental health concerns, and their opinion of government leaders during the pandemic varied by race, gender, and income. (commonwealthfund.org)
• More than half of Latino and nearly half of Black survey respondents reported experiencing an economic challenge because of the pandemic - substantially more than the 21 percent of white respondents. (commonwealthfund.org)
• Nearly one-third of all respondents faced at least one negative economic challenge associated with the pandemic (Table). (commonwealthfund.org)
• Because of the global economic recession triggered by prevent or treat COVID-19 infection, and mortality is increasing the pandemic, the cost of infrastructure for experimental trials daily. (bvsalud.org)

Enter a recession3

• You suggest the U.S. will enter a recession before the end of the year - if it hasn't already. (commoditymasters.net)
• Will the US enter a recession? (credit-suisse.com)
• Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown said the idea that the UK will formally enter a recession soon is still very much a likelihood. (ftadviser.com)

20012

• We can compare this recession to the Clinton era as well as the recession of 2001. (economicpopulist.org)
• CHICAGO, IL--(Marketwire - April 13, 2010) - A new TransUnion healthcare survey found that approximately three in four respondents said the current recession has negatively impacted their balance sheets more than the 2001 recession and that the number of uninsured and underinsured patients continues to be a major issue for the healthcare industry. (transunion.com)

Recent recession2

• Of the nine states included in the analysis, rates of child poverty and hunger rose most sharply in Washington State during the recent recession. (wa.gov)
• Census Bureau data indicate a continuing increase in the number and size of dental establishments in the period just prior the recent recession. (bvsalud.org)

Onset3

• However, with the onset of the recession they were forced to go out to the general market and find the best deals-even though the services and products were often coming from tiny unknown firms and more heinously, gaijin-run ones. (japaninc.com)
• The last column shows the last real GDP reading prior to the onset of a recession. (awealthofcommonsense.com)
• Bank of America Corp and Citigroup Inc customers defaulted on their credit card debts in August at the highest rates since the onset of the recession, a sign that the banks' consumer lending woes are far from over. (blogspot.com)

Economies1

• COVID-19 also has been affecting global economies, leading to several recessions ( 2 ). (cdc.gov)

Gross domesti2

• An economic recession is defined as a significant decline in a variety of economic indicators but typically gauged in the gross domestic product. (medscape.com)
• The Bureau of Economic Analysis on Thursday offers its first reading of second-quarter gross domestic product, the U.S. economy's broadest measure. (cnn.com)

Inevitable2

• Global recession inevitable, but where will it end? (brighttalk.com)
• Are lengthy consequences inevitable for the coronavirus recession, or for any other recession? (brookings.edu)

Global8

• A weekly newsletter helping you fit together the pieces of the global economic slowdown. (newstatesman.com)
• As a result, S&P Global Economics believes that the U.S. is entering recession--if not already in one. (spglobal.com)
• The fact that our ranking hasn't changed doesn't mean things have stayed the same for our kids - it just means that the global recession is having a negative impact on children across the country," said Bill Jordan, Policy Director for NM Voices for Children, which runs NM KIDS COUNT. (nmvoices.org)
• Surging global energy and food prices due to the conflict in Ukraine is another example of geopolitics getting in the way of economic pragmatism, according to Mahbubani, and rising tensions could also obstruct the fight against climate change. (credit-suisse.com)
• After nearly 11 years of 24/7/365 operation, Global Economic Intersection co-founders Steven Hansen and John Lounsbury are retiring. (econintersect.com)
• The new owner, a global media company in London, is in the process of completing the set-up of Global Economic Intersection files in their system and publishing platform. (econintersect.com)
• A demand-side shock could be an event which causes fall in aggregate demand such as global recession, fall in bank lending or fall in wages of workers. (economicshelp.org)
• Through Thick and Thin: How Fair Trade Consumers Have Reacted to the Global Economic Recession. (philpapers.org)

Quarters2

• Many assume a recession is simply two consecutive down quarters in real GDP. (awealthofcommonsense.com)
• The United States would undergo a shallow recession in the first three quarters of the year. (bennettjones.com)

20191

• Apparue d'abord dans le canton de Wuhan en Chine fin 2019, pratiquement plus aucun pays n'est épargné à ce jour. (bvsalud.org)

Slowdown3

• Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, however, told Reuters that a soft landing - a moderate economic slowdown - is still feasible. (naturalnews.com)
• Both the bank and Freeland have warned of an economic slowdown, and possibly a recession. (agassizharrisonobserver.com)
• An analyst at the very top Series Securities declared the dip in April sales was because of the regular cost hikes by the all assemblers which is having its impact on auto information while economic slowdown also contributed to decreasing quick sales. (com.pk)

Loom1

• But a recession might loom. (forextv.com)

Economics3

• Randall Bartlett, senior director of Canadian economics at Desjardins, said he expects the government to stick to its commitment on fiscal discipline given the current economic climate. (agassizharrisonobserver.com)
• Early in my learning of economics, I remember being introduced to the Efficient Market Hypothesis as the basis for economic theory, especially as applied to the stock market. (moneyshow.com)
• Paper prepared for the Meeting of the Committee of Experts of the Second Joint Annual Meeting of the AU Conference of Ministers of Economics and Finance and ECA Conference of Ministers of Finance, Planning and Economic Development held in Cairo, Egypt 2-5 June 2009. (who.int)

Decline in economic activity1

• A recession refers to a general decline in economic activity. (paladinregistry.com)

Uncertain1

• Your employees are facing uncertain economic times and looking for stability and security, just as your practice is. (crstoday.com)

DEPRESSION3

• Besides the issue of whether he was any good at predicting world events, what really stood out was his analysis of what happens to public demand in a recession or depression, and the fact that some businesses actually do well during these periods. (japaninc.com)
• One simple way to see these basic facts - that the current recession is severe by historical standards, but falls far short of the Great Depression - is to consider how much overall economic output declined during past downturns. (dmarron.com)
• This study was carried out in order to ascertain whether the economic depression caused by the Eurozone recession at the end of the previous decade influenced M/F in the European countries most heavily affected, namely Iceland, Ireland, Greece and Latvia. (who.int)

Respondents1

• More than 60% of respondents in the most recent survey said they considered a double-dip recession either somewhat or very likely to occur. (journalofaccountancy.com)

Predict1

• That is a tough one as it is hard to predict the depth or duration of a recession. (commoditymasters.net)

Forecast5

• The school revised its Anderson Forecast just one week after projecting a recession would start later in the year. (businessinsider.com)
• How to forecast economic cycles after the 2008-2009 recession? (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• Once the parameters are calculated, the model can evaluate the probability that economic cycle turning points have occurred and forecast future GDP values. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• Based on government sources and public data, our economic forecast now assumes that the U.S. coronavirus outbreak peaks in May. (spglobal.com)
• The Joint Economic Forecast is published twice a year on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action. (iwh-halle.de)

Recessionary1

• They know a recessionary period lurks around the corner after a key economic indicator dropped further in September. (naturalnews.com)

Impacts3

• Even if the coronavirus recession is unique in many aspects, these same durable impacts on local areas are likely. (brookings.edu)
• For example, economic spillovers such as a drop in local property values, physical environmental impacts such as neglected properties, or social environmental impacts such as residential turnover can elicit stress and create frustration-aggression. (medscape.com)
• Although the market is still busy, as would be anticipated at this time of year, it appears that the impacts of economic uncertainty have started to impact our region. (thebaynet.com)

Unemployment rates1

• Countries in recession experience high unemployment rates and a decline in living conditions, which, it has been suggested, negatively influences their populations' health. (nih.gov)

National Bureau o1

• The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. (nber.org)

Years5

• In a community with 200,000 people of working age (about the median for U.S. metro areas), this implies an additional 4,000 people out of work, even years after the recession. (brookings.edu)
• A study shows the top 1% of America's rich captured 121% of the income gains for the two years after the 2007-2009 recession was declared over. (economicpopulist.org)
• With over 30 years of economic research experience, ESL Consultants is widely recognized in the fluid power industry. (fluidpowerjournal.com)
• There is no doubt that the emergent paradigm of sharing resources is set to expand and further flourish in coming years, especially in the face of continuing economic recession, government austerity and environmental concerns. (dissidentvoice.org)
• The increase in the costs of excessive drinking from 2006 to 2010 is concerning, particularly given the severe economic recession that occurred during these years," said Robert Brewer, M.D., M.S.P.H., head of CDC's Alcohol Program and one of the study's authors. (cdc.gov)

America's2

• Surprisingly, virtually all the CEOs of America's top companies are not upbeat about a quick economic turnaround in the United States. (naturalnews.com)
• ALBUQUERQUE-Recent data confirm that the current recession has had a negative impact on America's children, and New Mexico's kids are no exception. (nmvoices.org)

Projections1

• Still, there are experts who disagree with the recession projections. (naturalnews.com)

Factors6

• Forrester sees some macro-economic factors, including rapid technology evolutions, a coming investment wave in information technology, and market constraints on capital, increasing the attractiveness of managed services over the next 24 to 30 months. (cio.com)
• Only original research papers, published between 2004 and 2014, peer-reviewed, non-qualitative research, and reporting on associations between economic factors and proxies of mental health were considered. (nih.gov)
• These factors all can hurt an individual's long-run economic prospects. (brookings.edu)
• In a DFM, economic series are assumed to be linked to one or several latent variables called factors, which give them common dynamic properties. (parisschoolofeconomics.eu)
• This could be the result of numerous factors, however, economic uncertainty paired with higher interest rates often leads fewer people to buy or sell homes. (thebaynet.com)
• These reasons explain why spreading health care cost to all factors of production through comprehensive National Health Insurance financed by progressive taxation of income from all sources, instead of employer-employee contributions, protects health system objectives, especially during economic recessions, and ensures health system sustainability. (bvsalud.org)

Findings1

• The findings for Ireland support the contention that economic stress is also capable of depressing M/F. (who.int)

Collapse2

• Visit Collapse.news for more news related to economic collapse and recession. (naturalnews.com)
• Faced with countless demographic, economic, and strategic problems, China is more likely to collapse than take over the world. (mises.org)

Imminent1

• Consumers sense that a recession is imminent and are beginning to behave accordingly. (tehrankharid.com)

Indicators1

• Economic indicators also show that the investment trend has declined, and the country is suffering from capital depreciation. (iranfocus.com)

Uncertainty1

• These results are robust, even after using different measures of economic climate and uncertainty. (lse.ac.uk)

Periods2

• On the basis of a thorough analysis of the selected investigations, we conclude that periods of economic recession are possibly associated with a higher prevalence of mental health problems, including common mental disorders, substance disorders, and ultimately suicidal behaviour. (nih.gov)
• Conclusions are summarised, taking into account international policy recommendations concerning the cost-effective measures that can possibly reduce the occurrence of negative mental health outcomes in populations during periods of economic recession. (nih.gov)

Consequences3

• This event has worrying consequences at both the economic macro and micro level of the country and threatens the well-being of families. (iranfocus.com)
• This has raised the real risk that in slamming on the monetary policy brakes , the Fed might burst the current equity and housing market bubble with untoward economic consequences. (19fortyfive.com)
• The contribution of women to health care and overall socioeconomic development is also critically reviewed, with particular attention given to the consequences of the worldwide economic recession. (who.int)

Fiscal2

• Serious recessions also lead many local governments into fiscal problems. (brookings.edu)
• Fully replenished gas storages and the larger than expected fiscal support for households suggest that the recession will not be as deep as expected a few weeks ago, although private households will have to cope with a real income shock. (dbresearch.de)

Households1

• If not for the economic recession, which has affected millions of households in America, many of the first-time defaulters might have remained in good credit standing. (ritholtz.com)

Year5

• Our three recovery scenarios all result in a recession for this year. (brighttalk.com)
• L iz Truss' credibility faces scrutiny today after she claimed that the year-long recession predicted by the Bank of England could be averted with her plans for major tax cuts . (newstatesman.com)
• Major investment banks are predicting a major economic decline, while CEOs of the country's top companies are already bracing for a recession before the end of the year or early next year. (naturalnews.com)
• The U.S. LEI fell again in September and its persistent downward trajectory in recent months suggests a recession is increasingly likely before the year ends," said Ataman Ozyildirim, senior director of The Conference Board. (naturalnews.com)
• into a recession next year, market analysts told MarketWatch. (tehrankharid.com)

Outcomes4

• The present review examines the recent evidence of the possible association between economic recessions and mental health outcomes. (nih.gov)
• Exploring how race, ethnicity, and class intersect to affect economic outcomes in the United States. (epi.org)
• The underlying attitude that lead a cop to kneel on the neck of a person in custody so cavalierly, is the same attitude that corporate executives have, as reflected in the disparate economic outcomes. (nonprofitquarterly.org)
• Birth outcomes of children born to low socioeconomic status (SES) families are sensitive to economic fluctuations during the first and third trimesters of the pregnancy, whereas those of high-SES newborns respond to economic volatility only in the first trimester. (lse.ac.uk)

Worsen2

• The specter of a recession could worsen what already appears to a bleak round of midterm elections this November, in which Biden's Democrats could possibly lose control of the House and Senate. (thegrio.com)
• Yellen, in opening remarks in front of reporters, told Liu: "While we have areas of disagreement, and we will convey them directly, we should not allow misunderstandings, particularly those stemming from a lack of communication, to unnecessarily worsen our bilateral economic and financial relationship. (myhighplains.com)

Main1

• Economic shocks present policy-makers with three main challenges:o Health systems require predictable sources of revenue. (bvsalud.org)

Severely1

• Research by two of us (Hershbein and Stuart) shows that communities more severely affected during recessions continue to suffer relative to less-affected areas for at least a decade afterward. (brookings.edu)

Current6

• Companies are showing renewed interested in managed services to help manage and mitigate their risks associated with technology decisions- particularly in the current economic environment . (cio.com)
• When happens when you're going back to college/are a current student during a recession? (studenomics.com)
• In a statement released by company, it said the decision was necessitated by the current economic situation in the country which has forced some airlines to suspend operations. (nationaldailyng.com)
• The current recession is certainly severe, with overall economic activity on track to drop almost 4 percent. (dmarron.com)
• The current recession is severe by any reasonable metric. (dmarron.com)
• When confronted by an economic shock affecting the health sector, policymakers may decide to maintain, decrease or increase current levels of public expenditure on health. (bvsalud.org)

Crises1

• There is lack of evidence on the impact of past economic crises on health in Africa. (who.int)

Biden3

• Facing a potentially grim report this week on the economy's overall health, President Joe Biden wants to convince a skeptical public that the U.S. is not, in fact, heading into a recession . (thegrio.com)
• We're not going to be in a recession, in my view," Biden said Monday. (thegrio.com)
• This has to be of concern to Mr. Biden for his November election prospects since the so-called inversion of the yield curve has been among the best economic recession predictors. (19fortyfive.com)

Less-affected1

• We used Minnesota hospital data (2004-2014), conducting a difference-in-differences analysis at the county level ( n = 86) using linear regression to compare changes in violence rates from before the recession (2004-2007) to after the recession (2008-2014) in counties most affected by the recession, versus changes over the same time period in counties less affected by the recession. (medscape.com)

Strain1

• State governments, businesses, and families are all under financial strain and affected by the economic recession. (prb.org)