• With its significance validated, the GJSI could now be used to address a fundamental economic question-one that was hotly debated in the wake of the Great Recession . (northwestern.edu)
  • Emphasis is given to the Great Recession, which was unlike most other postwar recessions in the United States in being driven by deleveraging and financial market factors. (repec.org)
  • Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling ," Journal of Economic Literature , American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1120-1154, December. (repec.org)
  • Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling ," NBER Working Papers 19469, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (repec.org)
  • Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have been trashed, bashed, and abused during the Great Recession and after. (newyorkfed.org)
  • That was during the heart of the Great Recession, and I worked 100-plus-hour weeks for the next 5 years. (franchising.com)
  • In 2008 and 2009, a big and dangerous wave - the Great Recession - hit us at Shepherd Community Center, as it did everyone else. (upliftindy.org)
  • In the depths of the Great Recession, our neighbors' needs became more urgent than ever. (upliftindy.org)
  • In the midst of the current global recovery from the Great Recession, European and American policymakers again seem intent on pursuing the path of budget austerity. (intereconomics.eu)
  • Employment exit and entry among U.S. adults with and without arthritis during the Great Recession. (cdc.gov)
  • OBJECTIVE: To examine associations of arthritis with employment during the Great Recession and predictors of employment transitions. (cdc.gov)
  • CONCLUSIONS: During the Great Recession, adults with arthritis stopped work at higher rates and started work at lower rates than those without arthritis. (cdc.gov)
  • Economists from the University of Michigan say the U.S. will likely avoid a recession over the next two years, while Michigan's economy will continue to see growth. (lansingcitypulse.com)
  • As to the national outlook , U of M economists Gabriel M. Ehrlich, Jacob T. Burton, Donald R. Grimes and Michael R. McWilliams said that despite slowing growth of economic activity, the U.S. economy's relatively healthy starting point led them to believe that it would "avoid a recession over the next two years. (lansingcitypulse.com)
  • It's the biggest economic forecast event of the year in Arizona, local and national economists gave their predictions for 2009 at the 45th Annual J.P. Morgan and Arizona State University W.P. Carey School of Business Economic Forecast luncheon. (azpbs.org)
  • One of the featured economists was Joel Naroff who has been honored as one of the best economic forecasters in the country. (azpbs.org)
  • Although our economists believe U.S. recession risk remains low, most client conversations this year have started with the topic, and asset markets seem to be pricing in a more pessimistic outcome than our forecast. (etftrends.com)
  • Lots of serious economists and economic historians say the growth of debt that's taken place in the last few years, in historical terms, is not that serious. (socialistworker.co.uk)
  • U.S. employers added over half a million new jobs in July, far surpassing economists' forecasts, and the unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5 percent, close to what is considered full employment and a half-century low. (shrm.org)
  • The economies in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council will grow this year at half the rate of 2022 as oil revenues take a hit from an expected mild global slowdown, according to the median view from a Reuters poll of economists. (garoweonline.com)
  • A growing number of economists have forecast a recession in the United States in the next year. (upliftindy.org)
  • Thursday, June 24th, the Inland Empire Regional Chamber of Commerce hosted the 5th Annual San Bernardino County Economic Forecast Conference at The Enterprise Building in Downtown San Bernardino, co-hosted by the UCR School of Business: Center for Economic Forecasting and Development. (iebizjournal.com)
  • Ph.D., the Director of the UCR Center for Economic Forecasting and Development, led the forecast report. (iebizjournal.com)
  • In the short term, the BCC is now forecasting a recession for the UK economy with three consecutive quarters of contraction between Q2 and Q4 in 2022. (renfrewshirechamber.com)
  • Annual expectations for GDP growth also continue to decline, with 3.3% forecast for 2022, significantly below the 7.4% growth recorded in 2021. (renfrewshirechamber.com)
  • Consumer spending is now forecast to grow at 3.8% in 2022, a fall from the 4% predicted in Q2. (renfrewshirechamber.com)
  • Its gross monthly income generally must be at or below 130 percent of the poverty line, or $2,379 a month (about $28,550 a year) for a three-person household in fiscal year 2022. (cbpp.org)
  • Its net monthly income, or income after deductions are applied for items such as housing costs and child care, must be less than or equal to the poverty line ($1,830 a month or about $21,960 a year for a three-person household in fiscal year 2022). (cbpp.org)
  • Its assets must fall below certain limits: in fiscal year 2022 the limits are $2,500 for households without a member who is age 60 or older or has a disability and $3,750 for those with an older or disabled member. (cbpp.org)
  • The global market for Weather Forecasting Systems and Solutions estimated at US$2.7 Billion in the year 2022, is projected to reach a revised size of US$4.1 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.1% over the analysis period 2022-2030. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • The Weather Forecasting Systems and Solutions market in the U.S. is estimated at US$739 Million in the year 2022. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • China, the world's second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$886.5 Million by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 8.1% over the analysis period 2022 to 2030. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at 2.8% and 4.3% respectively over the 2022-2030 period. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • The Global Market for Weather Forecasting Systems and Solutions was estimated to be valued at $2.7 Billion in 2022. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • With sales of $28.01 in 2022 Q2 year-to-date, the upholstery category accounts for 34.9% of the total furniture industry. (hfbusiness.com)
  • Overall investment is expected to grow by 4% this year but shrink by 0.4% in 2023 before rebounding to 1.1% in 2024. (renfrewshirechamber.com)
  • Put your customer in the centre, then create conversations around them: Vish Bajaj of ValueFirst January 05, 2023, Updated on : Thu Jan 05 2023 10:16:38 GMT+0000 In conversation with YourStory, Vishwadeep Bajaj, Founder and CEO, ValueFirst, talks about his journey, growth of the industry over the last three years, and plans for 2023. (cbinsights.com)
  • While oil and gas output growth is expected to slow this year, continued investment to boost production capacity in the region should see the sector contribute positively to headline GDP again in 2023. (garoweonline.com)
  • Brent crude is expected to average $89.37 a barrel in 2023, nearly 4.6 percent lower than the $93.65 consensus in a November survey and lower than an average of $99 per barrel seen last year, a separate Reuters poll showed. (garoweonline.com)
  • We plan to eclipse 500 restaurants by year-end 2023, maintaining our position in the top 10% of operations, as measured by each of the brands we operate, while building a culture around internal training and promotion. (franchising.com)
  • The worst case scenario for 2012 includes deep recessions in the US and Europe, along with a hypothetical slowdown in Asia's developing economies amid weakness in China. (rt.com)
  • The IMF estimates that 70% of the global economy will suffer a slowdown this year, compared to 75% experiencing an upswing only two years ago. (gfmag.com)
  • This looks more and more like the Fed's soft-landing with a cyclical slowdown but no recession. (baueruh.com)
  • However, the Federal Reserve's recent announcement, forecasting a 'noticeable slowdown' instead of a recession, has contributed to this shift in sentiment. (tradealgo.com)
  • But even allowing for some slowdown in their rapid pace of growth, developing countries are not even close to recession - and neither is the world economy. (intereconomics.eu)
  • The state has mounted a vigorous comeback from the pandemic recession in the face of severe supply chain shortages, high inflation, rising interest rates, and now a major strike in its marquee industry. (lansingcitypulse.com)
  • If the tentative agreements are ratified as expected, the signing bonuses and higher wages should more than offset the loss of personal income due to the strike," they concluded, adding that the strike's likely resolution "comes as Michigan's economy is nearing a complete recovery from the pandemic recession. (lansingcitypulse.com)
  • We operated the Center for 7 years, headlining a major annual regional forecast conference and producing valued economic forecasts and analyses about employment and income, business activity, industry growth and decline, the effects of the pandemic, and community and workforce development. (beaconecon.com)
  • Taking into account the ongoing post pandemic recovery, growth in the Software segment is readjusted to a revised 4.7% CAGR for the next 8-year period. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • Five years before the 2020 pandemic, the U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration issued a research study titled "2015: What is Made in America" to explore the subject in each of the major U.S. manufacturing sectors. (hfbusiness.com)
  • In its latest Commercial Market Outlook report the global aviation industry remains firmly on track to return to pre-pandemic traffic levels this year. (garoweonline.com)
  • IN a year besieged by pandemic uncertainties, M&A rode a roller coaster. (deloitte.com)
  • The IMF in January projected global growth at around 3.5% for 2019 and 2020, a drop from 3.7% in 2018 and the previous 3.7% forecast for this year. (gfmag.com)
  • Certainly, 2020 has worn many labels (none of them good): the Lost Year, the Year Best Forgotten. (mpo-mag.com)
  • Globally, companies announced a record $1.4 trillion worth of deals in the post-lockdown months from June to October 2020, 84 per cent higher than in the first five months of the year, leading to a total value of $2.2 trillion worth of deals in the first 10 months of the year. (deloitte.com)
  • Freight carriers have had a tough road in 2019, experiencing financial pressures and deflationary markets, but the economic cycles are set to turn in 2020, according to an economic forecast from third party logistics provider (3PL) Coyote Logistics LLC. (dcvelocity.com)
  • How could a potential recession affect your 2020 planning? (dcvelocity.com)
  • Unemployment had fallen quicker than after previous recessions, with the UK the only country within the European Union where unemployment had fallen. (wikipedia.org)
  • But unemployment will continue to rise for a quarter or two after the recession is over. (cnn.com)
  • Subsequently, the unemployment rate jumped nearly 6 percentage points over the next year and the US economy re-entered a major recession. (intereconomics.eu)
  • That weak outlook is evident elsewhere too, and their forecasts don't expect any G7 country to grow by more than 0.8% in 2024. (dbresearch.de)
  • Saudi Arabia, the region's largest economy and top crude oil exporter, was forecast to grow 3.4 percent this year and 3.1 percent in 2024, slightly outperforming the region as a whole. (garoweonline.com)
  • We expect that the next two years should feature steady growth and declining inflation. (lansingcitypulse.com)
  • The Fed will have the opportunity to stop raising rates only "when we have clarity that inflation is under control - when it gets into the 3% range, which I believe actually could happen within a year," Wachter said. (upenn.edu)
  • We document how recessions with financial market origins are different from those driven by supply or monetary policy shocks. (repec.org)
  • They have called this edition "The Waiting Game…" because they maintain their call for a US recession in Q4 as the lags from tighter monetary policy really start to hit. (dbresearch.de)
  • Despite the Fed's recent efforts at raising rates, the SPF has not forecast a recession in response to this round of tighter monetary policy. (baueruh.com)
  • But the yield curve will steepen when a recession hits, as the short end will reflect easing monetary policy. (pimco.com)
  • However, they tempered that forecast by noting that overall, "the state of the economy remains noisy and challenging to interpret," and thus "economic uncertainty remains high. (lansingcitypulse.com)
  • with the UK economy already thought to be in recession. (renfrewshirechamber.com)
  • In his first budget, officially titled The budget of a responsible government, Clarke described the objectives as being to sustain the economic growth that the UK economy was now experiencing following the recession and to create the right economic climate for jobs. (wikipedia.org)
  • The outcome of the spending reviews carried out earlier in the year meant that over the next three years, Government expenditure was forecast to grow by less than the projected growth of the economy, and would fall as a proportion of national income, from 45% in 1993-94 to 42% in 1996-97. (wikipedia.org)
  • On the other hand, the latest gross domestic product (GDP) report , which tracks the overall health of the economy, showed a second consecutive quarter of negative growth, meeting the textbook definition of a recession. (shrm.org)
  • The IMF report this week forecasts negative growth for Russia's economy by an additional 1.5 percent this year due to the combination of these factors. (nationalinterest.org)
  • The global economy is unlikely to fall into a recession this year despite slowing growthamid trade tensions and tighter financial conditions, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) managing director Christine Lagarde said. (gfmag.com)
  • The economy "has since lost further momentum, as you will see from our updated forecast next week," Lagarde said. (gfmag.com)
  • Figure 1 shows the results of the Survey over the last year for gross domestic product (GDP), the broadest measure of the economy. (baueruh.com)
  • We saw a moderately strong economy last August, an economy that was assumed to weaken over the last year, but now a return to more economic strength in the latest outlook. (baueruh.com)
  • NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Service sector activity improved in December, but remained weak amid an economy in recession, a purchasing managers' group said Tuesday. (cnn.com)
  • After nearly a two-year period fraught with concerns about an impending recession, a sense of growing optimism regarding the economy is gradually permeating Wall Street's outlook on individual companies' quarterly performance. (tradealgo.com)
  • Is the Global Economy on the Brink of Recession? (intereconomics.eu)
  • The US economy is ticking very slightly upwards, although not strongly enough to boost jobs, while the EU is faring slightly worse, probably dipping back into recession. (intereconomics.eu)
  • Daniel Zhao, senior economist at Glassdoor, said the job market is pushing ahead, despite a rising tide of recession fears. (shrm.org)
  • With the rapid growth in AI, and the likes of ChatGPT taking the world by storm in recent months, we have seen renewed fears that human labour will be increasingly replaced over the years ahead. (dbresearch.de)
  • Crude oil prices, a major driver for Gulf economies, are down more than a third from last year's highs and were expected to remain under pressure this year over fears of a recession in major economies sapping demand. (garoweonline.com)
  • America's biggest banks will be tested next year on their ability to stay afloat not only amid the US recession but also a global economic downturn, the Federal Reserve has announced. (rt.com)
  • Dr. Christopher Thornberg presenting the economic forecast to attendees. (iebizjournal.com)
  • Participation in the survey is geared (for better or worse) to 35-40 professional macroeconomic forecasting groups in academics, consulting, banking, and industry. (baueruh.com)
  • CONCLUSION: The school performance of 12-year-old children is affected by dental trauma and by a worse OHRQoL, as well as a negative school environment. (bvsalud.org)
  • Furthermore, some more bearish analysts have pushed their recession predictions to the following year. (tradealgo.com)
  • However, many commentaries exude a ghoulish fascination with predictions of even more dramatic recession, revelling in comparisons with the Great Depression and modern day forms of bread queues. (intereconomics.eu)
  • The SPF is the oldest quarterly survey of US economic forecasts. (baueruh.com)
  • By default, the feature will show you three scenarios - zero percent G.D.P. growth (tantamount to a mild recession), 2.3 percent G.D.P. growth (the average prediction in the most recent Wall Street Journal forecasting panel ), and 4 percent G.D.P. growth (better than the forecast and slightly above-average historically). (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • Some signals indicate yes, yet the latest employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is strong evidence against being on the cusp of a looming recession-at least not in the way they've historically been experienced. (shrm.org)
  • Nonresidential construction has been steadily in decline since 2007, and 2011 looks to be the first year without significant additional losses. (salesheads.com)
  • The report predicts only a 0.1% decline in spending overall for nonresidential projects in the coming year. (salesheads.com)
  • The FactSet report additionally reveals a decline in the frequency of executives mentioning a recession during earnings calls, based on an analysis of earnings call transcripts. (tradealgo.com)
  • Due to low inventory, she had disagreed with those who forecast a 20% decline in house prices. (upenn.edu)
  • Deutsche Bank Research has just released the latest World Outlook, featuring updated views on economics and markets. (dbresearch.de)
  • Economic growth was forecast to be at 1% for 1993 and 2% for 1994. (wikipedia.org)
  • But that reflects improving forward-looking sentiments, with forecasts suggesting earnings-per-share growth of nearly 40% this year and 25% next. (aol.com)
  • After earnings recovered for three years with growth averaging about 50% a year, we have further growth of about 20% a year forecast for this year and next. (aol.com)
  • Coming out of a recession when depressed share prices are rising, the odds can be tipped in favor of growth investors -- and we've seen strong share-price rises for two of the three companies featured here today. (aol.com)
  • And that's where I'm kind of out on a limb is that I expect it to take, that the strong growth may reoccur by the end of next year, while I think most people are looking into the spring or summer of 2010 at this point. (azpbs.org)
  • The transition from Growth to Value is unusual given the increasing market focus on the possibility of a U.S. economic recession," Kostin added. (etftrends.com)
  • The growth rate of the Global Market for Weather Forecasting Systems and Solutions is 5.4%, with an estimated value of $4.1 Billion by 2030. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • The index will likely not reach the 50 level signifying expansion until the second half of the year, hovering at that level before even sluggish growth, he said. (cnn.com)
  • Overall growth in the six GCC economies was forecast to average 3.3 percent and 2.8 percent this year and next respectively, the Jan. 9-23 poll showed, down from 4.2 percent and 3.3 percent in the previous poll. (garoweonline.com)
  • Economic growth in the UAE was expected at 3.3 percent this year, down from 6.4 percent last year. (garoweonline.com)
  • The broad recession in Asia is new feature in the Fed's scenario, compared to those of 2011. (rt.com)
  • The act aims to secure the financial system from such turmoil as followed the collapse of Lehman Brothers or Bear Stearns in 2008.Last year, the Fed's tests showed a majority of the nation's largest banks would stay afloat during a deep recession. (rt.com)
  • SNAP provides important nutritional support for low-paid working families, low-income older adults (60 years and older) and people with disabilities living on fixed incomes, and other individuals and households with low incomes. (cbpp.org)
  • METHODS: Data were for 3,277 adults ages 30-62 years with and without arthritis from the 2007 National Health Interview Survey followed in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey 2008-2009. (cdc.gov)
  • In their annual Long-Term Asset Return Study, Jim Reid, Henry Allen and Galina Pozdnyakova focus on understanding what history tells us about the frequency, depth and duration of recessions, along with what causes them using cycle data stretching back to 1700. (dbresearch.de)
  • But employers typically stop hiring in a recession, and the latest jobs report shows the opposite. (shrm.org)
  • First, the most commonly used survey to track time spent job hunting is the American Time Use Survey , a report released once a year by the U.S. Department of Labor. (northwestern.edu)
  • The report also offers access to our Research Platform, online interactive peer-to-peer collaborative bespoke updates and digital archives , among a myriad of other features. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • The service sector report showed a surprise increase after its sister manufacturing index hit a 28-year low. (cnn.com)
  • Bullard said a Wachovia forecast model predicted Friday's report will show 2.5 million jobs were lost in 2008 - the worst since the 2.75 million lost in 1945. (cnn.com)
  • This development, revealed in a recent report released on Friday, signifies the first such optimism surge in two years. (tradealgo.com)
  • Year-to-date, long-only equity mutual funds saw $38.1 billion in outflows while ETFs lost $17.6 billion. (etftrends.com)
  • Broad bond ETFs, which have gained around 3% this year before the rate increase, moved higher on the news. (etf.com)
  • The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) rose around 1.3%, and the iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT) and the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) both added one percent. (etf.com)
  • Half-year results released at the end of January showed a 5% rise in revenue with an 18% boost to adjusted earnings per share, enabling the firm to lift its interim dividend by 20% to 11 pence. (aol.com)
  • 65+ years of collective industry experience and wide-ranging expertise conducting economic development analyses, industry profiles, industry cluster analyses, employment analyses, economic impact analyses, and economic and revenue forecasting for clients across the nation. (beaconecon.com)
  • The revenue of the business grew from $40 million to over $200 million in those 2 years, by the way. (franchising.com)
  • As year-over-year rates inflated to historical highs in 2018, carriers bought a record amount of trucks. (dcvelocity.com)
  • There are no signs of a recession in the labor market data, agreed Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab. (shrm.org)
  • New features may also be enabled via the ability to verify specific data points (e.g. a user's age) with a high level of certainty. (pingidentity.com)
  • However, when it comes to the long term they are very enthusiastic about the prospects of AI changing the nature of our economies in the years ahead, which could offer some optimism after a very challenging start to the decade. (dbresearch.de)
  • The Fed expects G.D.P. to grow at about 2.7 percent next year, for instance. (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • these are the 50, 60, 70, 80, and 90 percent bands for the forecast distribution, in decreasing shade), the Blue Chip forecasts (green diamonds), and the actual realizations according to the May 2011 vintage (dashed black line). (newyorkfed.org)
  • If we knew what Mr. Obama's approval rating was next year, his fate would be fairly easy to determine and there wouldn't be much need for all this effort to handicap his odds. (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • Next year, it can grunt and oink. (rt.com)
  • A recession at the end of the year or early next year is better than even money," Maurice Obstfeld, a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, told MarketWatch in August. (upliftindy.org)
  • And dividends are starting to creep up, with yields of 2.1% forecast for this year, rising to 2.6% for next. (aol.com)
  • It was the second budget to be presented in 1993, and the first to be presented by Clarke following his appointment as Chancellor by Prime Minister John Major earlier that year. (wikipedia.org)
  • The 83-year-old Beschloss has been a major industry influence for many decades and was one of the driving forces behind groups such as ASA's Industrial Piping Division and Vendor Member Division. (supplyht.com)
  • Our latest quarterly economic forecast will not be of any comfort to either consumers or businesses. (renfrewshirechamber.com)
  • This role was granted to them legally by the agreements that brought the Thirty Years War (1618-1648) to an end and generally completed the political picture of the world. (globalaffairs.ru)
  • Forecast results are shown for five quarters, allowing us to compare last August (and the forecast used for this same outlook last fall) to the latest SPF forecast available. (baueruh.com)
  • which selects stocks based on variances and correlations, along with other risk factors, has attracted $2.4 billion in net inflows so far this year, according to ETF.com . (etftrends.com)
  • and risk of recession. (researchandmarkets.com)
  • Get ready for tough times: Nonprofits must prepare now as risk of recession grows. (upliftindy.org)
  • In the run-up to the New Years celebrations, Reuters reported that Malaysian businesses were downplaying canine symbols in order to avoid upsetting Muslims. (rt.com)
  • We have become a laughing stock, and prompted CNN to feature our barking rooster in their news bulletins. (rt.com)
  • Naroff talked, among other things, about the psychological side of a recession and when a recovery might occur. (azpbs.org)
  • Home prices in the U.S. could begin to see solid gains a year from now, by which time the Federal Reserve may have ended its yearlong spree of raising interest rates, according to Susan Wachter , Wharton professor of finance and real estate, who is also co-director of the Penn Institute for Urban Research . (upenn.edu)
  • It is only to be expected that the impacts of this will take a long time to subside - as occurred with the Great Depression of the 1930s and, in more muted form, with the recession in the early 1980s. (intereconomics.eu)
  • We seem to have moved from a period of irrational exuberance to irrational despondence and I wouldn't be surprised if a year from now we would be looking at a rebound that's surprisingly strong given what we have right now. (azpbs.org)
  • The combined effect of collapsing oil prices, international sanctions that cut off Russian business from Western credits and a lack of long-awaited economic reforms have resulted in a prolong period of the country's economic recession. (nationalinterest.org)
  • Oddly enough, there's little evidence on the forecasting performance of DSGE models during this turbulent period. (newyorkfed.org)
  • We found that physical bonds with maturities between four and seven years provided the best hedge to equities in our sample period. (pimco.com)
  • Over the period spanning June 15th to August 31st, the analysis reveals a continuous decrease in the number of S&P 500 companies referencing 'recession' on such calls over four consecutive quarters. (tradealgo.com)
  • In conjunction with my New York Times Magazine article on President Obama's re-election prospects, my colleagues Matt Ericson and Shan Carter have designed an interactive feature that allows you to handicap Mr. Obama's re-election odds based on the assumptions of your choosing. (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • This graph shows, how the recession in America influenced the respondents working conditions by educational attainment. (statista.com)
  • The chart shows the forecasts for three different DSGE specifications. (newyorkfed.org)
  • which follows the utilities sector, has brought in $1.6 billion in new assets this year as investors turned to more conservative or defensive plays. (etftrends.com)
  • If investors use swaps instead, 10-year maturities were the most effective in the U.S., Europe and the U.K. (while the 30-year was the most effective in Japan). (pimco.com)
  • The variable we rely on most heavily for the Houston forecast is US payroll employment. (baueruh.com)
  • The index stood around the 50 mark for most of 2008 after it was revamped earlier in the year to account for business activity, orders, employment and supplier deliveries. (cnn.com)
  • They specified that the economic gains from the strike for autoworkers were "inputs" for their forecasting model. (lansingcitypulse.com)
  • The forecasts are based on a relatively simple three-variable model that I developed in conjunction with the article and that reflect the most important things that we should be thinking about at this stage. (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • In the paper " DSGE Model-Based Forecasting ," prepared for Elsevier's Handbook of Economic Forecasting , two of us (Del Negro and Schorfheide), with the help of the third (Herbst), provide some of this evidence. (newyorkfed.org)
  • We find that it really matters what information you feed into your model: Feed in the right information, and even a dingy DSGE model may not do so poorly at forecasting the recession. (newyorkfed.org)
  • In recent years, the conservative wing of the GOP has been willing to engage in brinksmanship to achieve their policy objectives. (typepad.com)
  • Jobless claims have been steadily edging higher this year , and some companies have announced hiring freezes or layoffs in recent weeks. (shrm.org)
  • Many of the measures outlined in November 1993 were following through with decisions that had been made in the previous budget, with the chancellor unveiling a programme of tax increases and spending cuts designed to raise £10.5bn over three years. (wikipedia.org)
  • After spending seven years with Siemens in Germany and the UK, I founded Telcon Europe Ltd in the UK to provide consulting and software services to internet and telecom companies. (cbinsights.com)
  • Approval ratings a year in advance of the election do have some predictive power, and they are the best way to evaluate how the public regards a president's performance during his first three years. (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • From a forecasting standpoint, it is redundant to consider what economic performance was like in the first three years once you've accounted for a president's approval rating. (fivethirtyeight.com)