Uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis uncertainty quantitative risk. Medical search. Frequent questions

This paper describes the various aspects of risk, its assessment, and management which are imperative in decision making regarding the safe use of GMOs. (hindawi.com)
Importance of the risk assessment, management, and precautionary approach in environmental agreements and activism is also discussed. (hindawi.com)
Risk assessment is a common regulatory tool used in the decision-making process for a proposed commercial release of a GMO into the environment [ 3 , 4 ]. (hindawi.com)
Such concerns have led to broader interests in the theme of risk assessment in the release of GMOs. (hindawi.com)
Contributions are expected to cover model development and use for policy development, assessment and implementation in the EU and in the Member States. (lei.lt)
While this quote emerged from the context of linking the government of Iraq with weapons of mass destruction, uncertainty (everything but the known knowns) pervades the world of evaluation, social impact assessment and performance measurement. (demonstratingvalue.org)
Therefore, a rigorous quantitative assessment of the climate tipping elements under different climatic and socio-economic scenarios is required to estimate their impacts and narrow down the uncertainties. (nature.com)
Current reconsiderations within the field of risk assessment emphasise that the assessments should not be restricted in scope to human safety-related parameters but should embrace wider ecological and societal issues [ 8 ], which will likely raise deeper questions about the governance of synthetic biology in democratic societies [ 9 , 10 , 11 ]. (biomedcentral.com)
Over the past 20 years a wide range of federal agencies and other organizations have been involved in developing policy statements, classification strategies, and assessment methods to address carcinogenesis and health risks. (cdc.gov)
This information includes both technical data as well as science policy positions adopted by the range of organizations with programs germane to the assessment and/or regulation of carcinogens. (cdc.gov)
A central theme of ATSDR's Cancer Policy Framework is the use of risk analysis as an organizing construct to promote optimal decisions in the Agency's human health assessment programs. (cdc.gov)
Risk analysis is a multidimensional endeavor encompassing biomedical judgment, peer review, and risk assessment (NRC 1983) as well as risk communication and risk management (CEQ 1989). (cdc.gov)
Dr. Thompson's research interests and teaching focus on the issues related to developing and applying quantitative methods for risk assessment and risk management, and consideration of the public policy implications associated with including uncertainty and variability in risk characterization. (umd.edu)
She developed and taught a course on Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Assessment, Management, and Communication. (umd.edu)
The preamble also has a working link to the risk assessment. (mercatus.org)
The RIA describes the data used in the risk assessment. (mercatus.org)
the risk assessment says data are available in the public record. (mercatus.org)
Risk assessment was peer reviewed. (mercatus.org)
Quantitative risk assessment and mitigation strategies. (academicachievements.org)
Yurika Nishioka, Jonathan I. Levy, Gregory A. Norris, Andrew Wilson, Patrick Hofstetter, John D. Spengler (Oct 2002), Integrating Risk Assessment and Life Cycle Assessment: A Case Study of Insulation , Risk Analysis 22(5):1003-1017. (analytica.com)
In particular by treating DSGE models estimated by Bayesian-Maximum-Likelihood methods I argue that they can be considered as probability models in the sense described by Sims (2007) and be used for risk-assessment and policy design. (repec.org)
This event will examine quantitative risk assessment for asbestos from soil. (ciria.org)
This event, the fourth in the series will explore quantitative risk assessment and dose response. (ciria.org)
The fifth assessment, or NCA5, was released on November 14 with an emphasis on assessing risk for citizens while giving decision-makers a framework to help value and protect resources. (ornl.gov)
Quantitative Risk Assessment of Lung Cancer in U.S. Uranium Miners. (cdc.gov)
In 1995, the NRC issued a policy statement titled Use of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Methods in Nuclear Regulatory Activities, which paved the way for broader adoption of risk-informed practices by the NRC and the industry. (ans.org)
This webinar explored a heat impacts case study, which demonstrates the ESCI Risk Assessment Framework by exploring the vulnerability of variable renewable energy (VRE) generators to increases in extreme heat arising from projected climate change. (climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au)
After dual screening, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment, we meta-analytically pooled risk ratios (RR). (cdc.gov)
The precautionary principle should be considered within a structured approach to the analysis of risk which comprises three elements: risk assessment, risk management, risk communication. (cdc.gov)
The precautionary principle, which is essentially used by decision-makers in the management of risk, should not be confused with the element of caution that scientists apply in their assessment of scientific data. (cdc.gov)

1. Quantitative easing/quantitative tightening: The chart above shows the total assets on the Fed's balance sheet and the price of bitcoin since 2016. (eurasiareview.com)
He holds a dual PhD in Engineering & Public Policy and Civil & Environmental Engineering (Carnegie Mellon University, 2016), a Master of Science in Economics (London School of Economics, 2012), a Master of Research in Green Chemistry (Imperial College London, 2010) and a BA in Chemistry (Princeton University, 2009). (utoronto.ca)

Once these basic theoretical developments had been established, the methods of decision analysis were then further codified and popularized, becoming widely taught (e.g., in business schools and departments of industrial engineering). (wikipedia.org)
It is sometimes believed that the application of decision analysis always requires the use of quantitative methods. (wikipedia.org)
In reality, however, many decisions can be made using qualitative tools that are part of the decision-analysis toolbox, such as value-focused thinking, without the need for quantitative methods. (wikipedia.org)
For example, quantitative methods of conducting Bayesian inference and identifying optimal decisions using influence diagrams were developed in the 1980s, and are now incorporated in software. (wikipedia.org)
Methods such as Monte Carlo simulations can then be used to propagate the uncertainty to result variables, a step which can be accommodated by Excel quite easily. (demonstratingvalue.org)
The Louvain Finance Institute is the finance research centre of UCLouvain focusing on quantitative and empirical analysis of several areas of finance, in permanent contact with clients, industry professionals, and policymakers/regulators to support them in the applications and development of financial methods. (uclouvain.be)
It combines quantitative methods, data analysis, and decision theory to optimize decisions, solve complex problems, and enhance decision-makers' ability to achieve their objectives efficiently. (academicachievements.org)
Many fishers have adopted various technology oriented methods of fishing as they ensure more revenue generation, easy application & low risk of uncertainty. (researchandmarkets.com)
Use of regression methods for non-experimental and quasi-experimental data and analysis of variance methods for experimental data. (ku.edu.tr)
Experimental methods and research design including one-way analyses, factorial designs, repeated measures, analysis of covariance, and the analyses of main effects, simple effects and interaction comparisons. (ku.edu.tr)
Use quantitative methods to analyse the key drivers of airport demand. (itf-oecd.org)
Although this is not an econometrics course, econometric concepts, problems, and analyses will be considered, making explicit connections with what you have seen and will see in econometrics courses as well as in other methods courses. (iese.edu)
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate scalable and replicable methods to advance and integrate the use of earth observation (EO), specifically ongoing efforts within the Group on Earth Observations (GEO) Work Programme and the Committee on Earth Observation Satellites (CEOS) Work Plan, to support risk-informed decision-making, based on documented national and subnational needs and requirements. (emerald.com)
METHODS: We conducted a systematic review (PROSPERO # CRD42018084299) of peer-reviewed studies evaluating variation in risk of HIV infection among high-risk heterosexuals diagnosed with any of: Chlamydia trachomatis, Mycoplasma genitalium, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Treponema pallidum, and/or Trichomonas vaginalis. (cdc.gov)
METHODS: We systematically reviewed (PROSPERO No. CRD42018084299) peer-reviewed studies assessing the risk of HIV infection among MSM attributable to Chlamydia trachomatis (CT), Mycoplasma genitalium (MG), Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG), Treponema pallidum (TP), and/or Trichomonas vaginalis (TV). (cdc.gov)
On the methodological side we have active research in spatial and temporal stochastic modelling, high dimensional analysis, regularisation methods, Machine Learning, extreme value theory, and compositional data analysis. (lu.se)

Another rally in 2020 coincided with the quantitative easing that started during the pandemic and increased institutional interest in the cryptocurrency market. (eurasiareview.com)
The 2020 quantitative easing not only created a bullish market for traditional finance but also spurred unrealistic expectations in the crypto market. (eurasiareview.com)
This research report presents the analysis of each segment from 2019 to 2029 considering 2020 as the base year for the research. (researchandmarkets.com)
EU climate and energy policy beyond 2020: Are additional targets and instruments for renewables economically reasonable? (repec.org)

Variance based sensitivity analysis of model output. (crossref.org)
Sensitivity Analysis involves looking at how the uncertainty in the output of a mathematical model can be apportioned to different sources of uncertainty in its inputs. (demonstratingvalue.org)
15:30 How to interpret the results - approaches to uncertainty - sensitivity analysis - different legal contexts - what is an "acceptable" ELCR according to UK policy or the pubic? (ciria.org)

Analyses were begun in February 2019 and completed in January 2023. (bvsalud.org)

However, future climate projections also have a number of different sources of uncertainty embedded in them. (climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au)

Decision Sciences is an interdisciplinary field that focuses on the study of decision-making processes and methodologies to make informed choices in various domains, from business and economics to healthcare and public policy. (academicachievements.org)
The methodologies employed are both quantitative (linear regression, quantitative content analysis) and qualitative (qualitative content analysis, process tracing through case studies). (lu.se)
Statistics is an integral part of modern data science that provides quantitative methodologies for inference from data subject to uncertainty. (lu.se)

These graphical tools are used to represent the alternatives available to the decision maker, the uncertainties they involve, and how well the decision maker's objectives would be achieved by various final outcomes. (wikipedia.org)
We are putting health within the context of human development, doing more to establish consensus on effective health policy, improving health outcomes through effective partnerships and creating an organizational culture that encourages innovation and accountability, strategic thinking and prompt action. (who.int)
She compared the women's risk scores with their outcomes. (sunnybrook.ca)
As the use of quantitative analysis continues to grow, Professor Thompson looks at how the type of analysis used (e.g., cost-effectiveness analysis, cost-benefit analysis, decision analysis, value-of-information analysis, risk-only or health-only analysis, etc.) influences and determines policy outcomes. (umd.edu)
5. How well does the analysis identify the desired outcomes and demonstrate that the regulation will achieve them? (mercatus.org)
Does the analysis clearly identify ultimate outcomes that affect citizens' quality of life? (mercatus.org)
Does the analysis identify how these outcomes are to be measured? (mercatus.org)
Does the analysis provide a coherent and testable theory showing how the regulation will produce the desired outcomes? (mercatus.org)
Healthcare quality improvement and patient outcomes analysis. (academicachievements.org)
This has had some success in improving safety and reducing regulatory burden by focusing resources on the most risk--significant areas and allowing greater flexibility in choosing ways to achieve desired safety outcomes. (ans.org)
However, there are further opportunities for the use of RIPB approaches in addressing current regulations and applying implementation tools, and in developing new RIPB regulations and advanced tools to further sharpen the focus on risk and performance outcomes. (ans.org)
Most migrants health inequalities, increased health risks and negative are of working age ( 3 ), including the peak age groups for health outcomes ( 8 ). (who.int)

Evan D. Sherwin (May 2021), " Electrofuel Synthesis from Variable Renewable Electricity: An Optimization-Based Techno-Economic Analysis ", Environmental Science & Technology, https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.0c07955 . (analytica.com)
Bitcoin's price ultimately reached its peak around November 2021 before steadily declining as the stark possibility of inflation dawned, leading to the quantitative tightening starting June 2022. (eurasiareview.com)
Covid-19 risk perceptions and reported protective behaviors in the United States, in Sahlin, N-E. (ed.) (2021). (lu.se)
Addressing inequities in pandemic policies, in Sahlin, N-E. (ed.) (2021). (lu.se)

The Competence Centre on Modelling of the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission is organising the EU Conference on Modelling for Policy support on 26 - 27 November 2019 in Brussels. (lei.lt)
Using quantitative content analysis, legislative texts are used to construct Discourse Quality Indices (Steenbergen et al 2003, Bächtiger and Parkinson 2019), whereas qualitative content analysis deepens our knowledge of the meaning of quality discourse by considering the relevance of the order of various statements and the cultural and political context. (lu.se)

OBJECTIVE: Research synthesis, through qualitative or quantitative systematic reviews, allows for integrating results of primary research to improve public health. (cdc.gov)

Ambitious initiatives were made which led to over investments, all of which were destroyed by the 2022 quantitative tightening and the ongoing recession. (eurasiareview.com)
As a result of price pressures and Russia's attack on Ukraine, 2022 is likely to see inflation and central bank policy tightening on a scale that would have been unimaginable six months ago. (oxfordeconomics.com)
He argued that although there is nothing wrong in defending Sweden's previous neutrality policy, it is not necessarily something that Swedish political representatives should brag about, as it implies that the countries that were occupied or fought against Germany ended up in that situation because they were not as 'skilled' as Sweden (Helmerson, 2022). (lu.se)

These techniques are tools to provide both novel research insights and policy- relevant scenario exercises. (iemss.org)
This talk will present the insights of efforts to use integrated dynamic, probabilistic risk, decision, and economic models to address critical policy questions related to managing global polio risks. (umd.edu)
In this paper, the staff also proposed to transform the review process to use risk insights to guide the scope, focus, and depth of a review. (ans.org)
Outcome attributes of risk-informed safety: A risk-informed approach to safety decision--making represents a philosophy whereby risk insights are considered together with other factors to establish requirements that better focus licensee and regulatory attention on design and operational issues commensurate with their importance to public health and safety. (ans.org)
EOs offer insights and intelligence for evidence-based policy development and decision-making to support key aspects of the Sendai Framework. (emerald.com)

In 1931, mathematical philosopher Frank Ramsey pioneered the idea of subjective probability as a representation of an individual's beliefs or uncertainties. (wikipedia.org)
We present several examples of how the probability distribution of an atomic weight or relative molecular mass may be characterized, and also how it may be used to evaluate the associated uncertainty. (degruyter.com)
In an attempt to address the first 2 limitations of the types of study mentioned above, we account in our estimates for uncertainty caused by underreporting and food attribution by using probability distributions to describe a range of plausible values for these parameters. (cdc.gov)
Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules ," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21853, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. (repec.org)
Monetary policy in an uncertain world: probability models and the design of robust monetary rules ," Indian Growth and Development Review , Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 70-88, April. (repec.org)
Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules ," Working Papers 10/72, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy. (repec.org)
Probability of Causation and the Attributable Proportion of Risk. (cdc.gov)
Relation of Probability of Causation to Relative Risk and Doubling Dose: A Methodologic Error that has Become a Social Problem. (cdc.gov)

At Institue of Statitics, biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences , researchers find solutions for both methodological and applied problems of understanding and predicting data, of uncertainty and risk quantification: for actuarial data (insurance, pensions, …) as well as any - potentially complex or massive - statistical data set (data science). (uclouvain.be)

A comparative historical approach is applied, including analysis of historical series of unemployment and migration data and a qualitative analysis of secondary sources on Germany, Spain and Canada, selected as best representatives of different labour market and immigration regimes. (emerald.com)
The article adds to comparative studies of migration policies through a stronger link to labour market analysis and in particular issues of uncertainty and segmentation. (emerald.com)

In this case we need to acknowledge uncertainty in how the indicators (alone or as part of an aggregate measure or mathematical model) characterize what is actually important in the real life system- bearing in mind that any model can only be an approximations of reality. (demonstratingvalue.org)

Systemic Risk. (aeaweb.org)
The paper uses the Self-Organizing Map for mapping the state of financial stability and visualizing the sources of systemic risks as well as for predicting systemic financial crises. (europa.eu)
The Self-Organizing Financial Stability Map (SOFSM) enables a two-dimensional representation of a multidimensional financial stability space that allows disentangling the individual sources impacting on systemic risks. (europa.eu)
The signals of the early warning model are calibrated not only according to the policy-maker's preferences between type I and II errors, but also to take into account the potential systemic relevance of each individual financial institution. (europa.eu)
On the basis of market pricing, current risks of systemic stress seemed contained. (europa.eu)

The Center of Operations Research is an interdisciplinary research centre in the fields of economics, operations research, optimization and geography, developing a theoretical and methodological base for the analysis of decision problems related to economic policy and the management of the public and private sector. (uclouvain.be)
You'll gain the quantitative and qualitative methodological skills needed for quality empirical and theoretical research for publication in mainstream business journals. (iese.edu)

We are approaching the problem from philosophy, psychology, medicine, health economics and will also include empirical studies of risk research.The goal is to support support health care, patients and policy makers when it comes evaluation and handling genetic risk information. (uu.se)
The multidisciplinary nature of the project has also raised the issue of the utility and impact of theoretical papers versus empirical papers (and for the latter, qualitative versus quantitative) to help shape our discussion on risk. (uu.se)

A member of the Harvard Business Review Advisory Council, Nyangon is focused on helping customers use analytics for distributed energy resource (DER) forecasting, economy-wide decarbonization, optimization, electricity transmission and distribution strategic planning, uncertainty and scenario analysis. (sas.com)
Nyangon is the author of the Sustainable Energy Investment book and more than 60 articles in scientific journals about energy economics, electricity market design, electricity generation and transmission planning, policy and regulatory innovation, and quantitative climate risk modeling and scenario analysis. (sas.com)
But the US central bank's room for manoeuvre is limited because the economy could find itself in a liquidity trap, a scenario in which monetary policy is not effective. (realinstitutoelcano.org)

A cautious approach is necessary to assess environmental risks which may occur due to introduction of recombinant organisms in the natural environment [ 14 ]. (hindawi.com)
The proposed measures are model free such that they can be used to assess signals issued by any type of EWS, such as logit and probit analysis and the signaling approach, and flexible for any type of crisis EWSs, such as banking, debt and currency crises. (europa.eu)
Doctors can only estimate this risk using factors including a patient's age and tumour size-an approach that's unreliable, according to Rakovitch, who is also the medical director of the Louise Temerty Breast Cancer Centre at Sunnybrook. (sunnybrook.ca)
However results from thousands of investigations at contaminated sites across the UK have found that asbestos is frequently identified in made ground and there has been ambiguity in the approach to assessing the risk it poses. (ciria.org)
2001). Risks of Fatal Cancer from Inhalation of 239,240 Plutonium by Humans: A Combined Four-method Approach with Uncertainty Evaluation. (cdc.gov)
In 2012, the NRC issued a key RIPB document, NUREG--2150[5], which provided a strategic vision and options for adopting a more comprehensive, holistic, risk-informed, and performance-based regulatory approach. (ans.org)
The electricity sector has a well-defined approach to understanding and accounting for uncertainties as part of planning. (climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au)
Food safety programmes are increasingly focusing on a farm-to-table approach in the control of food-related risks as an effective means of reducing foodborne hazards since hazards can enter the food chain at any point from the initial stage of production all the way through to consumption. (who.int)
outline the Commission's approach to using the precautionary principle, · establish Commission guidelines for applying it, · build a common understanding of how to assess, appraise, manage and communicate risks that science is not yet able to evaluate fully, and · avoid unwarranted recourse to the precautionary principle, as a disguised form of protectionism. (cdc.gov)
A key argument is that historical consciousness, dramaturgy, and a processual-relational approach to a large degree can help explain the dynamics of the Social Democratic Party's ambiguous discourse around foreign and security policy and its development. (lu.se)

Further to this is the uncertainty of key parameters - both in some cases there is uncertainty where some parameters are essentially unknown ( for instance, parameters of attribution, drop-off, displacement and dead-weight in SROI analysis), or where there is considerable variability in a parameter, but it is represented deterministically. (demonstratingvalue.org)
Using a dynamic disease transmission model combined with probabilistic model inputs that characterize uncertainty for a stratified world to account for variability, we find that global health leaders will face some difficult choices, but that they can take actions that will manage the risks effectively. (umd.edu)
Dr. Thompson maintains long-standing interests in the issues related to variability in risk for sensitive sub-populations, particularly children, and the potential risk trade-offs associated with policies designed to protect them. (umd.edu)

Abstracts should clearly indicate the relevance and implications for model development and use in support to policy. (lei.lt)
The critical appraisal of scientific inquiries with policy implications. (iiasa.ac.at)
There are also policy implications. (sunnybrook.ca)
Our analysis addresses issues such as uncertainties, the considering of alternative innovations, and broader social and environmental implications. (biomedcentral.com)
The purpose of the ATSDR Cancer Policy Framework is to define scientifically credible, internally consistent policy positions to guide ATSDR's activities that address the public health implications of exposure to carcinogens. (cdc.gov)
The policy implications are centred on the detected paradox of labour market-driven immigration policies: in order to be sustainable, they need to have a long-term orientation and involve some degree of social integration policies. (emerald.com)

People consider Gold a haven asset, meaning it tends to hold or increase its value during economic uncertainty or market volatility. (revenuesandprofits.com)
Geopolitical events, such as conflicts, trade disputes, and political uncertainties, can create volatility in the financial markets, leading investors to flock to safe-haven assets like Gold. (revenuesandprofits.com)

They can also form the basis of a quantitative model when needed. (wikipedia.org)
In a quantitative decision-analysis model, uncertainties are represented through probabilities -- specifically, subjective probabilities. (wikipedia.org)
Metrics are often presented with an aura of analytical black and white rigour, which may be misplaced given the degree of parameter uncertainty and model limitations. (demonstratingvalue.org)
Max along with Professor Granger Morgan, Brian Arnold, Charlie Wiecha, and other PhD students, conducted research funded by the National Science Foundation on better ways to model uncertainty and structuring models with influence diagrams. (analytica.com)
To perform the analysis, we develop dynamic model emulators of the nonlinear PCF and SAF, which are comparatively simple statistical surrogates of the highly complex physical models. (nature.com)
In this course, you'll learn to create quantitative fashions to replicate advanced realities, and how to embody in your model elements of danger and uncertainty. (pterodactyl.info)
Granger Morgan and Max Henrion (1998), Analytica:A Software Tool for Uncertainty Analysis and Model Communication , Chapter 10 of Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis , second edition, Cambridge University Press, New York. (analytica.com)
This article addresses the claim, particularly popular in the 2000s and implicitly resting on a segmentation view of the labour market, that a flexible labour market-driven immigration policy (within the EU as well as from outside), often associated to a 'Canadian model', would respond to the economic needs of continental European countries. (emerald.com)
The quantitative model presented of the reversible types of acrylamide neurotoxicity related doses and exposure times to manifestations of neurotoxicity. (cdc.gov)
Objective: To develop a model that ensures payments largely follow observed costs for members with complex health and/or social risks. (bvsalud.org)
Exposures: Model 1 used age-sex categories, a diagnosis-based morbidity relative risk score (RRS), disability, serious mental illness, substance use disorder, housing problems, and neighborhood stress. (bvsalud.org)
Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of data from Massachusetts Medicaid, careful modeling of social and medical risk improved model performance and mitigated underpayments to safety-net systems. (bvsalud.org)
A Model of Relative Risk to inform Risk-Cost-Benefit Analysis of activities during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. (lu.se)
The PhD will investigate several important environmental issues from a societal perspective but at the same time model decisions by farmers on their use of agricultural land, and generate findings relevant for sustainable development and formulating policy. (lu.se)

It shows why it's a good idea to admit the uncertainty in your estimates, not just because it's more frank, but also because it leads to better decisions. (analytica.com)
First, not all cases are reported to health authorities, and estimates of underreporting result in considerable uncertainty in burden of illness studies, which limits the interpretation and analysis of available information ( 3 , 4 ). (cdc.gov)
Virtually all figures that go into the cost analysis are just sourced as "MSHA estimates" with no documentation. (mercatus.org)
It calculates change in risk and estimates and monetizes the number of illnesses and deaths to be avoided. (mercatus.org)
Given different plausible assumptions about the extent of individual differences in susceptibility, preliminary estimates were made of the risk posed to various proportions of the population by exposure to various concentrations of acrylamide in the air. (cdc.gov)
Updated risk estimates carefully scrutinizing temporality bias of studies are needed. (cdc.gov)
RESULTS: We found 32 eligible studies reporting k = 97 effect size estimates of HIV acquisition risk due to infection with one of the above STIs. (cdc.gov)
We enhanced and updated past summary risk estimates. (cdc.gov)

Uncertainty, access to debt, and firm precautionary behavior. (hhs.se)
Applying the precautionary principle is a key tenet of its policy, and the choices it makes to this end will continue to affect the views it defends internationally, on how this principle should be applied. (cdc.gov)
The precautionary principle is particularly relevant to the management of risk. (cdc.gov)
Recourse to the precautionary principle presupposes that potentially dangerous effects deriving from a phenomenon, product or process have been identified, and that scientific evaluation does not allow the risk to be determined with sufficient certainty. (cdc.gov)

The particular complexity of environmental processes requires new solutions able to integrate different information sources, such as qualitative and quantitative data, images, text, signals, etc., together with prior knowledge, as well as to deal with spatiotemporal frames and higher order interactions among variables. (iemss.org)
The Louvain Institute of data Analysis and modeling in economics and statistics is an interdisciplinary research institute gathering researchers from both the Science and Technology Sector and the Humanities Sector. (uclouvain.be)
The institue of Economic and Social Research analyses economic data on issues related to labor market, business cycle, growth, development, migration or trade policy. (uclouvain.be)
The aim of this study was to test the feasibility of using publicly available relevant data sources combined with the DALY metric to quantify the annual impact of foodborne illnesses in a country in a format useful for policy decisions. (cdc.gov)
2. How verifiable are the data used in the analysis? (mercatus.org)
Multivariate data analysis techniques in management science such as MANOVA, MANCOVA, MLR, and MLOGR. (ku.edu.tr)
and data analysis. (ku.edu.tr)
This course emphasize on practical data analysis. (iese.edu)
This paper provides examples of these efforts in the form of platforms and knowledge hubs that leverage latest developments in analysis ready data and support evidence-based DRR measures. (emerald.com)
Most data were based on females engaged in sex work or other high-risk occupations in developing countries. (cdc.gov)
CONCLUSIONS: Men who have sex with men infected with TP, NG, or CT have twice or greater risk of HIV acquisition, although uncertainties exist because of data heterogeneity and risk of bias. (cdc.gov)
Based on his analysis of this rich survey data, Ulugbek produced a series of blog posts on the concept of teleworking and its relevance and usage in the context of Uzbekistan. (lu.se)

Today, far more quantitative models for major decisions treat uncertainty explicitly. (analytica.com)

This modeling choice is a reasonable and convenient default choice when a representative value of the atomic weight, and associated uncertainty, are needed in calculations involving atomic and relative molecular masses. (degruyter.com)
Technical and Policy Issues in Assigned Share Calculations: A Comment on Lagakos and Mosteller. (cdc.gov)

Statistician Leonard Jimmie Savage then developed an alternate axiomatic framework for decision analysis in the early 1950s. (wikipedia.org)
The differences outlined above, coupled with requests from the public, other agencies, and the private sector for a statement reflecting the Agency's position on science and science policy issues related to cancer, prompted the development of this policy framework. (cdc.gov)
This Cancer Policy Framework is not intended to encompass the development of operational guidelines per se, although the Agency recognizes the utility of such efforts. (cdc.gov)
A central theme of this Cancer Policy Framework is the use of risk analysis as an organizing construct based on sound biomedical and other scientific judgment to define plausible exposure ranges of concern rather than single numerical conclusions that may convey an artificial sense of precision. (cdc.gov)
Accordingly, the Agency's Cancer Policy Framework places emphasis on scientific judgment, peer review, and relevant expertise/knowledge of ATSDR and other federal agencies. (cdc.gov)
The Amundi Convexity Solutions team will present a robust performance analysis framework tailored for their unique option-based protective overlays. (mathworks.com)
This framework, which considers dimensions like downside risk protection and drawdown management, challenges conventional performance metrics. (mathworks.com)
Since the 1980s, the nuclear power industry in the United States has worked to enhance the regulatory framework for nuclear facilities by making it more risk-informed and performance-based (RIPB). (ans.org)
The impacts of joint energy and output prices uncertainties in a mean-variance framework. (uni-muenchen.de)
These solutions may also be linked to specific Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) 2015-2030 Global Targets that provide trusted answers to risk-oriented decision frameworks, as well as critical synergies between the Sendai Framework and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. (emerald.com)

Reduced exposure reduces risk and hence reduces deaths. (mercatus.org)
The Caisse Centrale de Réassurance (CCR) in France is at the forefront of understanding risk exposure and estimating insured losses from catastrophic events. (mathworks.com)
The risk for lead exposure is disproportionately higher for children who are poor, non-Hispanic black, living in large metropolitan areas, or living in older housing. (cdc.gov)
Uncertainties exist regarding levels of exposure to methyl mercury from fish consumption and potential health effects resulting from this exposure. (cdc.gov)

In fact, the past decade has shown that bull and bear runs in the crypto market have coincided with periods of loose monetary policies and of significant tightening. (eurasiareview.com)
After the federal funds rate target was lowered to near zero in 2008, the Federal Reserve has used two types of unconventional monetary policies to stimulate the U.S. economy: forward policy guidance and large-scale asset purchases. (frbsf.org)
The subject of my talk is the unconventional monetary policies pursued by the Federal Reserve over the past four years. (frbsf.org)
First, why has the Fed turned to unconventional monetary policies? (frbsf.org)
I will focus specifically on two types of unconventional monetary policies that the Fed and other central banks put in place around that time. (frbsf.org)
Central banks' monetary policies, including interest rate changes and quantitative easing measures, substantially influence gold prices. (revenuesandprofits.com)

Ms Schnabel noted that since the Governing Council's previous monetary policy meeting, the market narrative had shifted back from financial stability concerns to inflation concerns and to potential effects on the economy from the turbulence in the banking sector. (europa.eu)
Three potential factors could explain this repricing: receding inflation risks, heightened recession fears in the face of tighter financial conditions, or financial stability concerns. (europa.eu)
A first possible explanation for the pronounced repricing of expectations for ECB interest rates could be receding concerns about inflation risks in the euro area. (europa.eu)
At the same time, market participants did not seem to see the risks to the longer-term inflation outlook as having been alleviated by the banking tensions. (europa.eu)
Encouragingly, though, during the modern inflation-targeting era, the gap between policy rates peaking and economies contracting has lengthened and expansions have become extended, suggesting that policymakers have become more adept at managing the business cycle. (oxfordeconomics.com)
In this new context of uncertainty, in which it is impossible to know if the risks involve inflation or deflation, gold and bonds from the soundest countries have served as havens for investors. (realinstitutoelcano.org)

In the 1990s, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission initiated efforts to put in place regulatory policies and practices to support the use of RIPB in the commercial nuclear industry. (ans.org)
In 1996, the commissioners issued a staff requirement memorandum (COMSECY--96--061)[1] that stated that in order to accomplish its principal mission in an efficient and cost-effective manner, the NRC would focus its regulatory efforts on licensee activities that pose the greatest risk to the public. (ans.org)

Use expert guidance to help interpret the quantitative results. (itf-oecd.org)

An alternative explanation for the repricing of monetary policy expectations was the perception that tighter financial conditions made a recession more likely, implying less need for further rate hikes. (europa.eu)
Given the economy's dire straits during the recession, standard rules of thumb for monetary policy suggested that the funds rate should be cut to well below zero (see Rudebusch 2009 and Chung et al. (frbsf.org)

The presentation provides context into bushfire risk for the electricity sector. (climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au)
It is tantamount to a truism today to say that the welfare state is popular, though early reforms were made in the context of considerable uncertainty and aroused fear and distrust, as in the case of early 20th century vaccination and pension policies in Britain (Pelling 1968). (lu.se)
In Part I, linear regression is used to gauge broad trends in the determinants and consequences of reform activity using a new dataset on social policy reforms, thereby recommending a subset of reforms for further analysis that are likely to exhibit differing degrees of deliberation given characteristics of the reform and country context. (lu.se)
In Part IIb, in-depth country case studies place the analysis of deliberation in legislative debates within its social, economic, and political context. (lu.se)

The overriding aim of this project is to analyse the economic and environmental trade-offs of policy interventions to promote the use of agricultural land for producing biomass to reduce the use of fossil-based fuels. (lu.se)

Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis 11. (who.int)
A Lumina team using Analytica received the top Decision Analysis Practice Award for the "Rigs to Reefs" project from the Society of Decision Analysis. (analytica.com)
Max Henrion received the Frank Ramsey Medal , citing his contributions to decision analysis including EVIU and the creation of Analytica. (analytica.com)

The propagation and analysis of uncertainty 9. (who.int)

The project has allowed for a more in‐depth discussion about questions surrounding uncertainty and how this relates to genetic risk. (uu.se)

In this paper we focus on substantive approaches to public participation that involve genuine empowerment of all affected parties in the interests of making better choices among contending innovation or policy pathways in any given field [ 21 ]. (biomedcentral.com)
Risk-informed and performance-based approaches to nuclear safety have saved money and improved safety for current reactors and have the potential to offer even greater benefits for advanced reactors. (ans.org)
In support of this, the agency in 1998 issued a white paper (SECY--98--144)[2] on RIPB regulation that defined terms such as "risk informed" and "performance based" and provided expectations for initiatives related to the implementation of RIPB approaches. (ans.org)
Germany), the historical and quantitative analysis shows that Canada itself has moved from short-term labour market-driven immigration policies to more long-term approaches. (emerald.com)

The research presented in this paper also raises questions about the effect of omitted individual heterogeneity in measuring the effects of public policy. (repec.org)
We observed mostly moderate to high heterogeneity and moderate to high risk of bias. (cdc.gov)

Decision analysis (DA) is the discipline comprising the philosophy, methodology, and professional practice necessary to address important decisions in a formal manner. (wikipedia.org)
Columbia University , along with MathWorks , will present a market-based methodology to evaluate bank resilience to climate-related risks. (mathworks.com)

Her publications have appeared in leading journals in Finance, Economics and Management, including the Journal of Finance, the Journal of Financial Economics, the Review of Financial Studies, the American Economic Review, the Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, and Management Science. (hhs.se)
Drawing on a diverse background, she seeks to effectively integrate technological, social, political, legal, and economic issues into risk analyses that inform public policy and improve decision making in what she calls the "Age of Risk Management. (umd.edu)
Jouni T Tuomisto and Marko Tainio (2005), An economic way of reducing health, environmental, and other pressures of urban traffic: a decision analysis on trip aggregation , BMC Public Health 5:123. (analytica.com)
Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies ," Economic Journal , Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(511), pages 478-506, April. (repec.org)
The short-term economic impact will depend importantly on people's expectations of the overall effect, and the amount of uncertainty thereof. (cepr.org)
The global economic outlook has deteriorated, with downside risks threatening global real estate. (oxfordeconomics.com)
This talk will also discuss recent work showing 3) how economic/market response can substantially undermine or reverse the GHG benefits from biofuel policies. (utoronto.ca)
Dr. Posen's research uses a mix of technical and economic modeling to supply quantitative, system-level analysis to support of environmental decision making. (utoronto.ca)
The financial shock waves of August 2011 call for a review of the diagnosis of the crisis and an evaluation of the limited economic policy alternatives at the disposal of the US and the euro zone. (realinstitutoelcano.org)
The paper also examines the limited economic policy options that governments have. (realinstitutoelcano.org)
The main problem that the world economy (especially advanced countries) is facing is that it must confront this new crisis practically without economic policy tools and with nil political consensus on what path to follow. (realinstitutoelcano.org)
Although slowly, progress is being made towards a new pact under which the countries of the periphery will 'Germanise' their economic policies in exchange for German transfers (not real ones, but rather in the form of an increase in the credibility of their fiscal policies thanks to German support, ultimately through the issue of eurobonds). (realinstitutoelcano.org)
In addition, the statement often contains language discussing economic risks and where the FOMC thinks monetary policy may be headed (see Rudebusch and Williams 2008). (frbsf.org)
The decree also stipulates the development of additional measures to ensure smooth operation of industries and economic sectors in the course of fighting the spread of coronavirus infection and other global risks. (lu.se)
Develop models that can optimize policy instruments for balancing economic and environmental trade-offs for both farmers and society. (lu.se)

Although decision analysis is inherently interdisciplinary (involving contributions from mathematicians, philosophers, economists, statisticians, and cognitive psychologists), it has historically been considered a branch of operations research. (wikipedia.org)
The contributions should focus on policy areas characterized by frequent use of models in support to policy making in the EU, such as agriculture, economics, energy, environment, transport, climate and risk. (lei.lt)

Let me start with the first question, why unconventional monetary policy? (frbsf.org)
The first type of unconventional monetary policy that I will discuss is forward policy guidance. (frbsf.org)

Financial Stability and Monetary Policy. (aeaweb.org)

Its aim is to identify common challenges and solutions in the use of models to support policy making. (lei.lt)
Later, while doing his PhD in Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon, he noticed that cost-benefit analyses and other quantitative models used for important decisions almost never mentioned the uncertainties-and not because the uncertainties were too small to matter! (analytica.com)
And to make it easier to build decision models that analyzed the uncertainties, he developed a software tool that he called Demos (for DEcision MOdeling System). (analytica.com)
Drawing on over 20 years of experience modeling risks in complex systems, this talk will challenge SBP participants to develop models that provide timely and useful answers to critical policy questions when decision makers need them. (umd.edu)
3. How verifiable are the models and assumptions used in the analysis? (mercatus.org)
You'll also learn strategies for creating predictive models to identify optimal selections, and the fundamentals of the measurement and management of risk. (pterodactyl.info)

Dr. Eileen Rakovitch validated the Oncotype DX DCIS Score, a test that indicates a woman's risk of cancer recurrence. (sunnybrook.ca)
After one episode of PID, a woman's risk of ectopic pregnancy increases sevenfold compared with the risk for women who have no history of PID. (cdc.gov)

The downside: DCIS raises the risk of developing an invasive breast cancer. (sunnybrook.ca)

Reflect the risks and uncertainties that arise in even the best forecasts. (itf-oecd.org)

Quantitative scenarios form the core of the future analysis in energy, climate and environmental research. (iemss.org)
A growing number of researchers worldwide have started using innovative techniques for developing, analyzing and choosing quantitative scenarios. (iemss.org)
Different rationales motivate these researchers: better system understanding, uncertainty analysis, development of robust strategies, selection of a small set of scenarios, ability to link storylines with quantitative scenarios. (iemss.org)
In this light, this TI aims to synthesize the state-of- the-art research with innovative techniques for quantitative scenarios, gather these state-of-the-art techniques into a toolbox, identify knowledge gaps and draw avenues for future research. (iemss.org)
David G. Groves nad Robert J. Lempert (Feb 2007), A new analytic method for finding policy-relevant scenarios , Global Environmental Change 17(1):73-85. (analytica.com)

1997). Comparison of Risk Factors for Ductal Carcinoma in Situ and Invasive Breast Cancer. (cdc.gov)

Dr. Eileen Rakovitch , a scientist at Sunnybrook Research Institute (SRI) and radiation oncologist at Sunnybrook's Odette Cancer Centre, is developing a treatment strategy that aims to mitigate uncertainty and empower women with information and choices for optimal care. (sunnybrook.ca)
A newly proposed rule in the US aims to bring more transparency to those risks. (sas.com)
This technique aims to describe and represent the interconnectedness of five domains of human activity, namely environmental, socio-cultural, technological, economics, and public policy, and their interaction with regard to achieving the goals of sustainability [1] . (lu.se)
Drawing on previous research on the development of Swedish foreign and security policy, this study aims to contribute to our understanding of the self- image and ideas that have formed the ambiguous character of the security doctrine pushed by the Social Democratic Party since regaining power in 2014. (lu.se)

Consequently, most climate policy assessments based on results from the GCMs underestimate the extent of global warming in response to anthropogenic emissions. (nature.com)
It implies no necessary criticism of such calls to note that public participation, as opposed to communication, is not routinely practised in existing risk assessments, and important questions can be raised about underlying rationales. (biomedcentral.com)
Risk can rarely be reduced to zero, but incomplete risk assessments may greatly reduce the range of options open to risk managers. (cdc.gov)

This webinar covers sources of uncertainty in electricity system planning with an emphasis on how the climate is introducing additional uncertainty. (climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au)

Macroeconomic analysis offers entirely different perspectives. (eurasiareview.com)

Reference to concrete experiences, as well as the direct involvement of both scientists and policy makers in the presentation, is an asset. (lei.lt)
The second is what we call large-scale asset purchases, but which are popularly known as quantitative easing, or QE. (frbsf.org)

1994). Relationship of Leukemia Risk to Radiation Dose Following Cancer of the Uterine Corpus. (cdc.gov)

Today's investors are eager to understand the climate-related risks of their business investments, not just because they are becoming more climate-conscious but also because climate-related risk can bring financial risk. (sas.com)

As a physics student at Cambridge, Max Henrion learned that a reported number is incomplete without an estimate of its uncertainty. (analytica.com)

In one of our current research projects, we aim at developing robust climate-based algorithms and decision-making frameworks to support public health adaptation to infectious disease risks following from climate change. (lu.se)

Witches, Floods, and Wonder Drugs: Historical Perspectives on Risk Management. (iiasa.ac.at)
Textual analysis of the bills revealed that states prioritize the perspectives of employers instead of workers. (bvsalud.org)
State labor policies are prioritizing the perspectives of businesses over workers resulting in a labor environment that creates structural advantages for employers and is hostile to the well-being of workers. (bvsalud.org)

This program permits students to develop the power to gauge financial Business & Finance issues and formulate sound financial decisions and insurance policies. (pterodactyl.info)

It differs from other introductory courses in that multiple regression is covered and analysis of variance is restricted to one-way ANOVA. (iese.edu)

3. Traditional finance: Finally, the temporary depegging of stablecoins following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank highlights the contagion risks between cryptocurrency and traditional finance. (eurasiareview.com)

In 1980, the Decision Analysis Society was formed as a special interest group within Operations Research Society of America (ORSA), which later merged with The Institute of Management Sciences (TIMS) to become the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). (wikipedia.org)
The Conference will bring together researchers and policy makers involved in modelling activities from the Commission, European and international institutions and agencies, Member States, Universities, research institutes and consultancies. (lei.lt)
The main tasks of the potential candidates would be to carry out high-quality policy-oriented research, both for publication in refereed journals and to guide policy decisions, as well as to produce reports for senior management. (aeaweb.org)
Her research shows that the genes on which the test is based could serve as biomarkers to identify women at greatest risk of recurrence. (sunnybrook.ca)
The Kids Risk Project pursued a wide range of research topics, including injury, environmental, medical, and product-related risks, as well as perception of children's risks and the portrayal of risky behaviors in popular entertainment media. (umd.edu)
Dr. Thompson's research currently focuses heavily on system dynamics and dynamic modeling, particularly focusing on policies for polio risk management after the success of global eradication of wild polioviruses. (umd.edu)
Medium-term business cycles in developing countries ," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5146, The World Bank. (repec.org)
Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies ," Working Papers 072000, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. (repec.org)
The research asks to what extent, and how, immigration has been used as a 'buffer' for labour market uncertainty. (emerald.com)
Recent research has found older people in LMICs are at risk of suffering from 34 emerging noncommunicable diseases that lead to chronic diseases and disabilities. (who.int)

1. Given many emerging economies are under institutional transition, what is the role of government policy in facilitating or constraining entrepreneurial activity? (msu.edu)

Chemicals and Drugs1

Analytical, Diagnostic and Therapeutic Techniques and Equipment24

Psychiatry and Psychology3

Phenomena and Processes9

Disciplines and Occupations4

Anthropology, Education, Sociology and Social Phenomena15

Technology, Industry, Agriculture1

Information Science8

Health Care36

Geographicals3

Assessment30

20162

Methods16

20204

Sensitivity analysis3

20231

Different sources of uncertainty1

Methodologies3

Outcomes12

20214

20192

Qualitative or quantitative1

20223

Insights5

Probability8

Quantification1

Comparative2

Mathematical1

Systemic5

Methodological2

Empirical2

Scenario3

Approach10

Variability3

Implications6

Volatility2

Model14

Estimates8

Precautionary4

Data12

Explicitly1

Calculations2

Framework10

Exposure4

Monetary policies6

Inflation6

Regulatory2

Interpret1

Recession2

Context4

Analyse1

Analytica3

Propagation1

Relates1

Approaches4

Heterogeneity2

Methodology2

Economic15

Contributions2

Unconventional Monetary Policy2

Financial Stability1

Models6

Woman's risk2

Downside1

Arise1

Scenarios5

Factors1

Aims4

Assessments3

Webinar1

Macroeconomic1

Asset2

Dose1

Climate-related risks1

Henrion1

Robust1

Perspectives3

Issues1

Variance1

Silicon Valley Bank1

Research10

Economies1