• Bank Indonesia Institute (BI Institute) kembali menggelar Flagship Seminar on Central Bank Policy Mix secara hybrid dengan tema ' Strengthening Macro-Financial Resilience amidst Global Economic Uncertainty ' di Bali pada tanggal 4 hingga 5 Juli 2023. (bi.go.id)
  • 10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023. (guggenheiminvestments.com)
  • Comparison of the socio-economic impacts of. (cepal.org)
  • DSMM 2020 will explore the challenges of macro-modeling with financial and socio-economic datasets. (umd.edu)
  • BOKN will create unprecedented opportunities for financial and socio-economic research, will inform data-driven fiscal and economic policy, and will empower innovators and entrepreneurs. (umd.edu)
  • The EESC recognises that interregional, cross-national cooperation building upon pre-existing, historical socio-economic and cultural links is the necessary response to the challenges resulting from a rapid evolving expansion of the European Union (EU. (europa.eu)
  • This is due to the complexity of governance and intergovernmental arrangements, the level of bureaucracy, the lack of cross-regional homogeneity, and insufficient involvement of the social partners, socio-economic agents and civil society organisations. (europa.eu)
  • This study assesses the macroeconomic, energy and emissions impacts of solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for the period 2021-2030. (kapsarc.org)
  • 1]. Learning losses stemming from school closure may be difficult to make up and so may have a long-term economic impact on the students affected, with possible enduring macroeconomic consequences (Ilzetzki 2020, Kuhn et al. (nakedcapitalism.com)
  • The project therefore proposed to increase the awareness of adverse micro and macro economic consequences of CVD by strengthening technical capacity in and implementing primary preventive activities at the community and society level to reduce the burden of disease due to CVDs in developing countries. (iuhpe.org)
  • This first part explores the macro economic consequences. (fastfuture.com)
  • Macroeconomics began as the study of large-scale economic pathologies such as prolonged depression, mass unemployment, and persistent inflation. (mit.edu)
  • Periods of macroeconomic overheating correspond to quarters when either output is above potential or unemployment is lower than the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU). (federalreserve.gov)
  • Since the crisis began, it has become apparent that it is no longer possible for central banks to focus only on keeping inflation at a desired level and hope that, as a by-product, economic activity will stay close to its potential. (cepr.org)
  • The asset manager saw "little chance of a perfect economic scenario of low inflation and growth humming along. (chinaeconomicreview.com)
  • They include information related to economic growth, inflation, wages, unemployment and trade, taking into account international and domestic market developments. (lb.lt)
  • As the markets continue to pull back on macro headwinds (concerns around inflation and a recession), year to date through Dec. 27, 2022, the broad equity market fell 19.70%, but Morningstar's US Healthcare Index only fell 5.43% (Exhibit 1). (morningstar.com)
  • Pembicara membahas topik-topik seperti global economy dynamics and policy implications, covid - 19 pandemic & global stagflation: implications for capital flow management, optimizing macroprudential policies to maintain resilience & strengthen economic growth , monetary policy in high inflation environment . (bi.go.id)
  • However, inflation remains elevated and the economic outlook in the near term has deteriorated amid tighter financial conditions and weakening external demand. (amro-asia.org)
  • The Lund University Macroeconomic and Demographic Database (LU-MADD) is developed and maintained by the Department of Economic History at Lund University. (lu.se)
  • Research on education in an economic and social context has been carried out at the Lund University Department of Economic History since the 1970s. (lu.se)
  • Studies in monetary and financial history is an established research field at the Department of Economic History at Lund university. (lu.se)
  • Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy with Incomplete Information ," NBER Working Papers 1794, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (repec.org)
  • In addition, the time horizon for implementing the regulatory changes and the response of monetary policy substantially affect the macroeconomic outcomes. (bankofcanada.ca)
  • Interestingly, the strong predictive powers of macro factors over shorter periods are related to monetary policy indicators and tools, which provides empirical support for prior theoretical theories that emphasize the unique role of monetary policies in corporate defaults. (nottingham.ac.uk)
  • Our objectives as are to protect the value of currency in the interest of balanced and sustainable economic growth, formulate monetary policy, promote price stability and issue currency. (rbf.gov.fj)
  • Franz is a research associate at Chemnitz University of Technology, where he is currently working on the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy and price effects on energy demand. (macrosimulation.org)
  • apply economic theories and models to analyze the effects of economic shocks on the business cycle, the effect of economic crises on the economy, and the effect of fiscal and monetary policy on the economy in the short and medium run. (lu.se)
  • The content of the course mainly focuses on business cycle fluctuations and economic crises, and to this related fiscal and monetary policy questions. (lu.se)
  • A shorter, non-technical version of this paper with the same title is published in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, as part of a symposium on Macroeconomics after the Great Recession. (nber.org)
  • U.S. economic activity has been better than expected, but leading recession indicators still argue for caution. (guggenheiminvestments.com)
  • To test these ideas at a macro-level, we examined internet search volume for recession, COVID-19, and interest in helping. (cdc.gov)
  • Consistent with economic crisis logic, macro-level concern about recession was negatively associated with interest in helping. (cdc.gov)
  • The proposals prioritise enhanced communication and connectivity between cooperation partners and closer involvement of civil society organisations in macro-regional strategies. (europa.eu)
  • Other economists avoided the new classical and new Keynesian debate on short-term dynamics and developed the new growth theories of long-run economic growth. (wikipedia.org)
  • Identify possible external and internal economic risks and vulnerabilities to economic growth and identify policies to address them. (imf.org)
  • Despite this, growth should continue to run above trend for some time until it decelerates next year: Check out our view on the economic outlook here. (vontobel.com)
  • The mission of the Bank of Lithuania is to bring benefits to society while seeking to foster a reliable financial system and ensure sustainable economic growth. (lb.lt)
  • We optimally incorporate factors estimated from a large panel of macroeconomic time series in the estimation of two relevant signals related to real activity: business cycle fluctuations and the medium to long-run component of output growth. (bportugal.pt)
  • The environment - whether economic growth is sustainable in terms of environmental impact. (tutor2u.net)
  • Our current working papers currently collaborate on research within the region and to explore vital links between research and policy relating to central banking issues, including financial and private sectors and economic growth and development. (rbf.gov.fj)
  • AMRO's publications aim to identify risks to economic growth and stability and to prescribe policies to address those risks. (amro-asia.org)
  • A recent project within this field was Knowledge, Skills and Economic Growth, 1870-2000 (FAS 2002:0649) led by Jonas Ljungberg. (lu.se)
  • While these innovations are often perceived to be favorable and may be linked to economic growth and productivity, they are also tied to unfavorable outcomes, such as technological job displacement-the elimination of jobs when human workers are replaced by technology. (cdc.gov)
  • On one hand, if technological advancements decrease production costs and thus consumer costs, consumer demand for certain products and services may change, leading to increases in labor demand and related economic growth. (cdc.gov)
  • I am studying economic change and inequality 1500-1900, a broad research program on wealth and income, the roots of economic growth and industrialization, wage formation and labour force, the agrarian revolution, institutional change, the role of peasant politics, the manorial system and the special case of extant landed aristocracy in Sweden. (lu.se)
  • The visual inspection of co-movement between the credit-to-GDP gap and economic slack reveals that they are rarely closely synchronized, with the notable exception of the run-up to and the onset of systemic crises, where economic and financial overheating indeed tend to go hand-in-hand. (federalreserve.gov)
  • The conflicting impact of COVID-19's health and economic crises on helping. (cdc.gov)
  • Helping behaviors are considered critical for business and societal recovery in light of economic crises and natural disasters, including the COVID-19 pandemic that has both economic and health disaster elements. (cdc.gov)
  • These findings have implications for helping during crises that involve economic and/or disaster elements. (cdc.gov)
  • In the early 1980s, rational expectations and new classical economics dominated macroeconomic theory, with the result that such pathologies can hardly be discussed within the vocabulary of the theory. (mit.edu)
  • Hahn and Solow argue that what was originally offered as a normative model based on perfect foresight and universal perfect competition-useful for predicting what an ideal, omniscient planner should do-has been almost casually transformed into a model for interpreting real macroeconomic behavior, leading to Panglossian economics that does not reflect actual experience. (mit.edu)
  • Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective ," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0330, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. (repec.org)
  • Whether you are a university teacher, student, researcher, or an economics enthusiast, our platform offers resources to deepen your understanding of both macroeconomic modelling and coding. (macrosimulation.org)
  • Hello and welcome to Macro Bytes the economics and politics podcast from abrdn. (abrdn.com)
  • The company cited geopolitical issues as well as a deteriorating macroeconomic outlook. (chinaeconomicreview.com)
  • I'm delighted to be joined by Luke Bartholomew, regular guest and indeed co-host of the podcast and Lizzy Galbraith, our political economists to talk about the UK government's economic priorities and the outlook for the economy. (abrdn.com)
  • Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective ," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 03-13, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. (repec.org)
  • Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model ," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 98-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. (repec.org)
  • Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model ," Working Papers (Old Series) 9713, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. (repec.org)
  • Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment ," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity , Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(2), pages 429-480. (repec.org)
  • RBF Working Papers disseminates economic research relevant to the various tasks and functions of RBF and provides a conceptual and empirical basis for policy-making. (rbf.gov.fj)
  • The online library of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) featuring its books, papers and statistics and is the gateway to OECD's analysis and data. (lu.se)
  • But against a backdrop of record-low borrowing costs and potentially severe economic disruption from the spread of coronavirus, the government's objective to "level-up" underperforming regions presented Chancellor Rishi Sunak with an opportunity to throw fiscal caution to the wind. (youngfabians.org.uk)
  • But the Budget scorecard does not include a temporary £12bn of spending and tax cuts this year to alleviate economic disruption from coronavirus (encompassing more resources for the NHS, underpinning statutory sick pay for workers, and providing cash injections and tax holidays for small firms). (youngfabians.org.uk)
  • After summarizing how macroeconomists have incorporated household heterogeneity and market incompleteness in the study of economic fluctuations so far, we outline an emerging framework that combines Heterogeneous Agents (HA) with nominal rigidities, as in New Keynesian (NK) models, that is much better aligned with the micro evidence on consumption behavior than its Representative Agent (RA) counterpart. (nber.org)
  • In general, the various specifications exhibit qualitatively similar behavior and can reasonably approximate the trend movements in U.S. macro variables during the Volcker disinflation of the early 1980s. (repec.org)
  • Our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Team analyzes a wide range of economic data and market behavior to synthesize the implications for investors and the potential direction of policy and markets. (guggenheiminvestments.com)
  • These findings suggest that the specific feature of the COVID-19 event system ( economic versus health ) and the target (organizational insiders versus outsiders) matter for shaping helping behavior. (cdc.gov)
  • Finally, increasing the required bank capital ratio in other economies roughly doubles the size and duration of the economic downturn in Canada, compared to the case where the increase is implemented only in the Canadian banking sector. (bankofcanada.ca)
  • Academy of Management Review, 40(4), 515-537) with these two logics ( economic downturn and disaster) to suggest that health and economic threats within the COVID-19 pandemic operate with potentially opposing forces on helping-related outcomes. (cdc.gov)
  • But you cannot possibly understand the debate about the government's budget (and critique the deficit hysteria that has gripped our nation across the political spectrum from right to left) without understanding basic macro accounting. (neweconomicperspectives.org)
  • We explore the link between indicators of financial imbalances and macroeconomic performance, focusing on the experience of the United States. (federalreserve.gov)
  • The survey involves the organizations engaged in the analysis and forecasting of macroeconomic indicators for Kazakhstan. (nationalbank.kz)
  • Each issue also contains a timetable of financial and economic policy events as well as a detailed data monitor of German economic indicators. (dbresearch.de)
  • Based on this method, I construct macro indicators to measure the interactions among these variables in order to capture the critical transitions in the macroeconomic system. (nottingham.ac.uk)
  • Then I employ a standard logit model to study whether these proposed indicators offer a prediction one-month ahead of US economic recessions from September 1980 to December 2014. (nottingham.ac.uk)
  • In particular, the best predictive macro indicators are constructed by employing procyclical factors and factors from six economic groups based on results from both in-sample and out-of-sample analysis. (nottingham.ac.uk)
  • Microeconomic Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Shocks, " Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol 32(3), pages 167-194. (nber.org)
  • Asset value changes of a credit portfolio are linked to a dynamic global macroeconometric model, allowing macro effects to be isolated from idiosyncratic shocks. (repec.org)
  • The macroeconomic performance of any one nation is affected by events, policies and shocks in other countries. (tutor2u.net)
  • By Christine de La Maisonneuve, Economist, Balázs Égert, Senior Economist Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development, Dave Turner, Head, Macroeconomic Analysis Division Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development. (nakedcapitalism.com)
  • While fundamental changes to work that result from new technologies have historically created new jobs and new industries (14-18), these can be slowed by economic, legal, or societal factors, with both positive and negative implications. (cdc.gov)
  • The course analyzes the four main macroeconomic sectors (real, fiscal, external, and monetary) and their interlinkages including macro-fiscal and macro-financial aspects, and how to diagnose macroeconomic imbalances and financial stability risks. (imf.org)
  • With the national unemployment rate running below 4 percent, the possibility that an overheated economy could lead to financial imbalances, which in turn could generate or amplify economic distress, has become more salient. (federalreserve.gov)
  • In an accompanying note, The Relationship between Macroeconomic Overheating and Financial Vulnerability: A Narrative Investigation , we follow a narrative approach to review historical episodes of significant financial imbalances and examine whether these episodes were linked to macroeconomic overheating. (federalreserve.gov)
  • Figure 1 shows the U.S. output gap computed by the Congressional Budget Office and the publicly available historical estimate of the unemployment gap computed by the Federal Reserve staff (top panel) along with the measure of financial imbalances (bottom panel) plotted against the periods of macroeconomic overheating (shaded). (federalreserve.gov)
  • We conduct a comprehensive investigation of the relationship between subjective experiences of economic scarcity, as indexed by low subjective socioeconomic status at the individual level, and income inequality at the national level, and various self-reported measures linked to morality. (nature.com)
  • How to combine monetary and macroprudential policies, given that both affect risk and economic activity? (cepr.org)
  • Where I go full heterodox are in things like the Macroeconomic Uncertainty Index, which is a recent addition to FRED's awesome database. (ritholtz.com)
  • FRED's post on it observed that "Economists Kyle Jurado, Sydney Ludvigson, and Serena Ng use a set of 132 individual macroeconomic time series to calculate forecasting factors and estimate period-specific measures of uncertainty. (ritholtz.com)
  • But "uncertainty" as that word is commonly used on Wall Street 1 seems to be correlated with concerns about faltering economic conditions and/or rising market volatility. (ritholtz.com)
  • When " Uncertainty " rises, it is not because of the challenging macro conditions, but rather because the little narrator in our heads is robbed of his ability to convince us that whatever fairy tale has been operative during the prior months is still working. (ritholtz.com)
  • Measures announced in the Budget to support the economy will reinforce earlier action taken by the BoE-the fiscal/monetary coordination implies more potent macro policy. (youngfabians.org.uk)
  • Since 2015, he has been involved in multistakeholder projects, leading and executing macroeconomic analysis of various policy choices and initiatives (e.g., energy prices, energy demand, and fiscal reforms) for the Kingdom's economy. (kapsarc.org)
  • Established in 2011 by ASEAN+3 Finance Ministers, the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) is an international organization that aims to contribute to the macroeconomic and financial resilience and stability in the ASEAN+3 region. (amro-asia.org)
  • Work with AMRO to contribute to the macroeconomic and financial resilience and stability of the ASEAN+3 region. (amro-asia.org)
  • The primary focus of the research has been historical demography, with an extensive line of research into the economic, social, and demographic aspects of life in pre-industrial Sweden. (lu.se)
  • The model is able to control for firm-specific heterogeneity as well as generate multi-period forecasts of the entire loss distribution, conditional on specific macroeconomic scenarios. (repec.org)
  • The macroeconomic survey does not contain forecasts of the National Bank. (nationalbank.kz)
  • Macroeconomic theory has its origins in the study of business cycles and monetary theory. (wikipedia.org)
  • This marked the beginning of a boom in atheoretical, statistical models of economic fluctuation (models based on cycles and trends instead of economic theory) that led to the discovery of apparently regular economic patterns like the Kuznets wave. (wikipedia.org)
  • Procyclicality and the new Basel Accord - banks' choice of loan rating system ," Economic Theory , Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 26(3), pages 537-557, October. (repec.org)
  • The course provides a deepened overview of macroeconomic theory. (lu.se)
  • Second, certain interesting macroeconomic questions concerning economic fluctuations can only be addressed within HA models, and thus the addition of heterogeneity broadens the range of problems that can be studied by economists. (nber.org)
  • Beginning with William Stanley Jevons and Clément Juglar in the 1860s, economists attempted to explain the cycles of frequent, violent shifts in economic activity. (wikipedia.org)
  • Insight of Bank of Lithuania economists and analysts on key economic issues. (lb.lt)
  • At a micro-level, we examined the relationships between work - hour insecurity and perceived job -related COVID-19 risk-two salient COVID-19-related economic and health threats-and helping customers and coworkers. (cdc.gov)
  • The Global Crisis has shaken the consensus on how to run macroeconomic policy. (cepr.org)
  • The global economic crisis has kept forcing policymakers and academics to rethink macroeconomic policy. (cepr.org)
  • The crisis has also made it clear that sectoral and financial risks can grow under a seemingly calm macroeconomic surface. (cepr.org)
  • Economic crisis research suggests that such events are associated with less helping, whereas disaster research suggests that such events are associated with greater helping. (cdc.gov)
  • Healthcare looks undervalued across several industries, and we believe the sector should hold up well in the backdrop of several macro pressures (Exhibit 3). (morningstar.com)
  • Students shall have the ability to independently and critically assess macroeconomic business cycle analysis. (lu.se)
  • Innovative macro research on the big economic, policy, political and behavioural themes shaping the investment landscape. (abrdn.com)
  • The local labor market also consists of an opportunity structure influenced in part by national and regional macroeconomic forces and also by the local social and economic organization of production. (cdc.gov)
  • As economic concerns have weighed on the market, we believe the defensive nature of healthcare stocks supports the outperformance. (morningstar.com)
  • The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. (nber.org)
  • A key milestone in this endeavor was the foundation of the U.S. National Bureau of Economic Research by Wesley Mitchell in 1920. (wikipedia.org)
  • Establishing an interconnected cross-border and cross-sectoral system of collaboration and delivering a strategic framework for thematic poles for funding institutions to implement well-targeted projects in a macro-region is of great importance. (europa.eu)
  • I use corporate default probabilities in US industrial firms from April 1980 to December 2014 and effective predictors extracted from 92 macroeconomic and financial variables and I propose a framework to determine whether there is a dynamic in effective predictors for US corporate defaults. (nottingham.ac.uk)
  • The platform covers an array of macroeconomic models, including canonical textbook models, models from different economic paradigms, and seminal models from the history of economic thought. (macrosimulation.org)
  • The research was initially aimed at economic policy and money and prices in 18th century Sweden (see Göran Ahlström 1972, 1974, 1989), foreign trade and finance (Gunnar Fridlizius 1959 and 1981) and the history of financial institutions (see Göran Ahlström, Lars Pettersson and Lennart Schön 1989). (lu.se)
  • Scandinavian Economic History Review. (lu.se)
  • Our approach involves a statistical analysis of the link between measures of economic slack and financial system vulnerability. (federalreserve.gov)
  • Statistical information on The People's Republic of China's economic development at national, provincial, city, county, and industrial levels. (lu.se)
  • The European Economic and Social Committee (EESC) is the voice of organised civil society in Europe. (europa.eu)
  • As the COVID-19 pandemic spreads around the world, there is a growing understanding that the economic and social ramifications could last far longer than the disease itself. (fastfuture.com)
  • Subjective experiences of economic scarcity, hereinafter defined as the perceived lack of economic resources as a result of social comparison, are a structural characteristic of modern societies and a persistent cause of concern 1 , 2 . (nature.com)
  • Industry practices in credit risk modeling and internal capital allocations: implications for a models-based regulatory capital standard ," Economic Policy Review , Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 4(Oct), pages 53-60. (repec.org)
  • The authors use simulations within the BoC-GEM-FIN, the Bank of Canada's version of the Global Economy Model with financial frictions in both the demand and supply sides of the credit market, to investigate the macroeconomic implications of changing bank regulations on the Canadian economy. (bankofcanada.ca)
  • The implication of these results is to provide a new quantitative approach for central bankers and policy makers to predict economic recessions one month ahead. (nottingham.ac.uk)
  • RBF provides essential macroeconomic data to policy makers, a broad range of domestic and international stakeholders, including investors, rating agencies and the public enabling easy access to information that RBF has identified as critical for monitoring economic conditions and policies. (rbf.gov.fj)
  • Thus, the optimal rate of taxation, from a macroeconomic point of view, may lead to some underground activity. (imf.org)
  • The engines of commerce and industry continuously generate rich heterogeneous data that reflect financial and economic activity. (umd.edu)
  • Macroeconomic performance is how well a country is doing in reaching important objectives or key targets of government policy. (tutor2u.net)
  • Women and men must be equal recipients reality many communities face, and fails to of capacity-building, including both health account for the economic productivity that and academic literacy, and both men and women can contribute to societies. (who.int)
  • It bridges a gap between intermediate and advanced level macroeconomics by providing detailed yet accessible treatments of seminal macroeconomic models. (macrosimulation.org)
  • In their first 10 years of operation, the four macro-regional strategies served as useful tools for cohesion policy, primarily by enhancing integration and cooperation and identifying important development processes involving citizens and regions. (europa.eu)
  • By ensuring that all its citizens have reliable physical and economic access to sufficient safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences, government will be laying a strong foundation for not only a prosperous nation, but also a more peaceful and secure nation. (who.int)
  • Economic evolution is the process of generic change and re-coordination. (taylorfrancis.com)
  • Using a new data set consisting of six years of real-time exchange-rate quotations, macroeconomic expectations, and macroeconomic realizations, we characterize the conditional means of U.S. dollar spot exchange rates. (aeaweb.org)
  • A large and detailed collection of annual demographic and macroeconomic data about Sweden. (lu.se)
  • The goal of the database is to assemble in one place a large and detailed collection of annual demographic and macroeconomic data about Sweden, and to make these data easily accessible to students, teachers and researchers in Sweden and around the world. (lu.se)
  • The purpose of this conference is to explore to what extent Swedish economic research provides insight and solutions on the ongoing developments in the area of European integration - specifically issues related to eco- nomic developments and economy-related policy areas. (lu.se)
  • WHO (AFR/RC61/CP/2) economic and health situation at · Reinforcing accountability mechanisms that involve civil society. (who.int)
  • No economy is immune to what is happening in the global financial and economic system. (tutor2u.net)
  • Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective ," CESifo Working Paper Series 995, CESifo. (repec.org)
  • Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective ," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(5), pages 1211-1261, August. (repec.org)
  • The macroeconomic survey is aimed at improving the communication of the National Bank with professional market participants. (nationalbank.kz)