• It's the ability to model outcomes that's new here, says American Heart Association president Dr. Mark Creager , a cardiovascular disease expert. (npr.org)
  • Dr. Wong's research focuses on system-level policy modeling, infectious diseases modeling, health services and outcomes research, particularly in hepatitis B and C. His health services and outcomes research interests include quality of life research, costing and return on investment. (uwaterloo.ca)
  • Lead study author Dr Eduardo Nilson, a nutritionist at the University of SĆ£o Paulo, said: 'Consumption of UPFs is associated with many disease outcomes, such as obesity, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, some cancers, and other diseases, and it represents a significant cause of preventable and premature deaths among Brazilian adults. (dailymail.co.uk)
  • Additionally, environmental and policy interventions can come with unintended consequences, where changes in individual behaviour or actions of corporations to influence behaviour may undermine intervention outcomes. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Conclusions Our model can be used to estimate the impact of primary prevention interventions on life expectancy and can assess the impact of interventions on inequalities. (bmj.com)
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (cdc.gov)
  • In this light, effective prevention and management of this disease are among the foremost national healthcare priorities that can be achieved through effective approaches [ 3 ]. (biomedcentral.com)
  • As a result, around 70 per cent of Americans are obese according to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), with 40 per cent classed as obese. (dailymail.co.uk)
  • The editors and I are quite excited about this series, as we feel it could have tremendous impact in informing clinicians about the prevention of cardiovascular disease. (acc.org)
  • IMPORTANCE: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) is updating its 2016 recommendation on the use of aspirin for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and colorectal cancer (CRC). (healthpartners.com)
  • OBJECTIVE: To provide updated model-based estimates of the net balance in benefits and harms from routine use of low-dose aspirin for primary prevention. (healthpartners.com)
  • It aims to stimulate the use of economic modeling as a tool to support the decision-making process for NCD interventions, and to encourage investment in cost-effective strategies for healthy living and NCD prevention in the Region [ā€¦ ] A healthy population is an important factor for sustainable economic growth. (bvsalud.org)
  • Objectives A policy model is a model that can evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interventions and inform policy decisions. (bmj.com)
  • 1 National policies now support targeting of interventions to reduce risk of cardiovascular disease among high risk patients. (bmj.com)
  • She has worked closely with the Dutch HIV cohort data, carried out modelling work, projecting the future non-communicable disease burden of patients ageing with HIV (in particular cardiovascular disease) and evaluating impact of interventions for policy guidance in The Netherlands. (imperial.ac.uk)
  • Simulations and models are used to provide insights into infectious disease trends, quantify likely benefits of public health interventions, and support risk assessment for emerging infectious diseases. (edu.au)
  • Community and policy-level interventions, such as smoke-free worksites, cigarette prices and comprehensive tobacco control programs including education campaigns on cessation resources promote smoking cessation. (acc.org)
  • There are some studies that have evaluated combined individual level and environment or policy level interventions, but more such studies are needed to build evidence about the effectiveness of combining interventions [ 12 ]. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Methods A mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics is used to simulate deployment and predict potential impact of new malaria interventions by considering operational, health-system, population, and disease characteristics. (medrxiv.org)
  • Conclusions Our approach uses disease dynamic models and machine learning to support decision-making and resource investment, facilitating development of new malaria interventions. (medrxiv.org)
  • For example, rapid rises in child and adult obesity - and the related chronic diseases - are now major health issues which federal and State governments find difficult to constrain. (benthamscience.com)
  • Calorie-dense foods such as pizza, cakes and hot dogs are often packed with sugar, salt and fat - which raise the risk of obesity, heart disease and other chronic illnesses. (dailymail.co.uk)
  • We have focused, in particular, on the integration that occurs among different organs during obesity, insulin resistance and cardiovascular disease conditions. (uam.es)
  • Finally, we have recently initiated a research line aimed at deciphering some of the tissue, cell and molecular aspects that differentiate female and male responses to nutrient overload, insulin resistance, obesity and cardiovascular health. (uam.es)
  • Another noteworthy finding of this study was the association between cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and prevalence of CTS, LEPI, and MEPI - providing further evidence of the complex pathologies of these occupational MSDs. (cdc.gov)
  • Her work focuses on utilising large health care cohort data, surveillance data and health system data to construct micro-simulation models of health, especially in high HIV-prevalence countries with two research aims. (imperial.ac.uk)
  • A Model-based framework for chronic hepatitis C prevalence estimation. (uwaterloo.ca)
  • This manuscript is the second in an eight-part health promotion series where each paper will focus on a different risk factor for cardiovascular disease, and given the ongoing prevalence of tobacco use globally, this paper should have particular resonance," said Valentin Fuster, MD, PhD, MACC, editor-in-chief of the Journal of the American College of Cardiology . (acc.org)
  • An increasing prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCD) has been reported to be associated with globalisation e.g. exposure to the global mass media, food technology and innovations and modern marketing techniques have modified dietary preferences [3, 4]. (primecast-inc.com)
  • In Scotland, although mortality rates have declined steadily for decades (eg, coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates for men were 72% lower in 2009 than in 1950), in 2009, Scottish CHD mortality rates for men and women were 39% and 64% higher, respectively, than the average for Western Europe. (bmj.com)
  • Patients identified as high risk with the lifetime risk approach were more likely to be younger, male, from ethnic minority groups, and have a positive family history of premature coronary heart disease than those identified with the 10 year QRISK2 score. (bmj.com)
  • We assumed that implementing a complete ban on the advertising of tobacco products would lead to a 9% reduction in tobacco consumption.The complete ban on advertising could prevent 15,164 deaths over a period of 10 years, of which 2610 would be the result of coronary heart disease and 747 due to stroke. (bvsalud.org)
  • These reductions would mean an annual decrease of 0.46% of total deaths, 0.60% of deaths from coronary heart disease and 0.33% in deaths from stroke. (bvsalud.org)
  • The benefits of quitting smoking begin within hours and the risks of coronary heart disease and stroke are almost eliminated within 15 years. (acc.org)
  • The purposes of this study were to estimate the extent to which the 31% relative increase in PI among 35-64 years old Mexicans between 2006 and 2012 influenced diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality, and to estimate the impact of the World Health Organization recommended 10% and 15% relative decrease in PI on CVD and T2D incidence and mortality by 2025 and 2030, respectively. (bvsalud.org)
  • In 2012, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, cancers, chronic respiratory conditions including asthma, and other NCDs were the cause of 4.5 million deaths in the Americas. (bvsalud.org)
  • Over the 2006- 2015 period, from just three chronic illnesses-heart disease, stroke, and diabetes-the countries of Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico together could face a cumulative combined GDP loss of US$ 13.5 billion.These health and financial losses are not inevitable. (bvsalud.org)
  • Tully S, Feng Z, Grindrod K, McFarlane T, Chan KKW, Wong W.W.L. (2019) Impact of increasing wait-times on overall mortality of Chimeric Antigen Receptor T-cell therapy in large B-cell lymphoma: A discrete event simulation model. (uwaterloo.ca)
  • We generated and validated a case-mix in-hospital mortality prediction model using 50/50 split sample validation. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Since the calculation of risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality is often conducted for benchmarking purposes, whether the risk adjustment model is applicable to hospitals with varying characteristics and case-mix must be clarified. (biomedcentral.com)
  • In this study, we applied a generic case-mix-based risk adjustment model for in-hospital mortality prediction to hospitals with varying characteristics, and evaluated its performance for benchmarking risk-adjusted hospital mortality using a nationwide database of discharge cases. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The purpose of this study is to characterize the histology-specific survival patterns for all primary malignant and nonmalignant primary brain tumors in the United States using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR). (cdc.gov)
  • She specialise as an epidemiologist and mathematical modeller, working on the interface between research and policy. (imperial.ac.uk)
  • Here, we present a quantitative approach to guide intervention development using mathematical models of malaria dynamics coupled with machine learning. (medrxiv.org)
  • This study highlights the role of mathematical models to support intervention development. (medrxiv.org)
  • The Global Burden of Disease Study 1 estimated that in 2010 cardiovascular disease (CVD), including rheumatic heart diseases, hypertensive diseases, ischaemic heart diseases, pulmonary heart disease, other forms of heart disease, cerebrovascular diseases (CBVDs), diseases of arteries and diseases of veins, was the cause of death in approximately 30% of all global deaths. (bmj.com)
  • Mikaela Smit is a Research Fellow at the Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology. (imperial.ac.uk)
  • Firstly, to evaluate the patterns of infectious and non-communicable diseases now and future trends of these. (imperial.ac.uk)
  • Infectious diseases pose a local and global challenge, with substantial human and economic costs. (edu.au)
  • PRISMĀ² will extend existing national modelling capacity and cross-sectoral partnerships to inform infectious disease preparedness, control and response in Australia and our region. (edu.au)
  • Page 2 fibrillation or flutter, previous myocardial infarction, rheumatic valvular heart disease and Author Manuscript prosthetic heart valve) and psychosocial stress/depression [3]. (cdc.gov)
  • The foods have been linked to a jump in diseases like colorectal and kidney cancer, and Alzheimer's in the US, among other diseases. (dailymail.co.uk)
  • Design A state transition model was developed using the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort (SHHEC) linked to Scottish morbidity and death records. (bmj.com)
  • Cox proportional hazards models in the derivation cohort to derive risk equations accounting for competing risks. (bmj.com)
  • Of the 10% of patients in the validation cohort classified at highest risk with either the lifetime risk model or the 10 year risk model, only 18 385(14.5%) were at high risk on both measures. (bmj.com)
  • Now computer models suggest slashing its price by about a third could result in dramatically lower death rates from heart disease and stroke. (npr.org)
  • Now computer models suggest that making that produce more affordable may actually translate into lower death rates from heart disease and stroke. (npr.org)
  • A new review-published today in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology -examines policies to achieve complete cigarette abstinence as part of efforts to reduce the risk of heart disease. (acc.org)
  • METHODS: A discrete event simulation of hypertension care processes projected blood pressure, medication-related adverse events, fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular disease events, and noncardiovascular disease death in LABBPS participants. (bvsalud.org)
  • Scientific basis / background: Stablishing the causes (i.e. aetiology) of cardiovascular conditions such as hypertension is key for their effective and efficient management. (kcl-mrcdtp.com)
  • In this study, we introduce a cardiovascular disease (CVD) policy model which can be used to model remaining life expectancy including a measure of socioeconomic deprivation as an independent risk factor for CVD. (bmj.com)
  • Exposure-response relationships were quantified for the 1995 Moore and Garg Strain Index (SI), the ACGIH TLV for HAL, and the Revised Strain Index (RSI) - a new physical exposure model developed as a part of this study. (cdc.gov)
  • But a smaller study conducted in Massachusetts between 2011-2012 mirrored the findings of the modeling done at Tufts and Imperial College. (npr.org)
  • We did indeed find the incentive worked: Participants purchased more and consumed more fruits and vegetables than SNAP participants that were not receiving the incentive," says Susan Bartlett, principal associate at Abt Associates , a public policy consulting firm that worked on the study. (npr.org)
  • Conclusion Our study showed that an online chat-based AI model has a broad knowledge of CVD racial disparities, however persistent gaps in knowledge about minority groups. (medrxiv.org)
  • The study aimed to explore the experiences of people with cardiovascular disease in patient education. (biomedcentral.com)
  • This qualitative study involved 30 adult patients with cardiovascular disease who were hospitalized or had a history of hospitalization. (biomedcentral.com)
  • This study provides valuable information about the problems of patient education for adults with cardiovascular disease. (biomedcentral.com)
  • This study presents the results of a community-based system dynamics modelling process to increase water consumption and decrease sugar sweetened beverage consumption in Portland, Victoria, a regional town in Australia. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The study used data from the Euromonitor Passport database for analysis of retail sales and consumer expenditure, and from the Mintel Global New Products Database for nutritional analysis using the WHO Southeast Asian Region nutrient profile model. (primecast-inc.com)
  • In this study, we applied a generic prediction model to nationwide discharge data from hospitals with various characteristics. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Techniques and skills: The PhD will develop and apply computational and modelling technologies. (kcl-mrcdtp.com)
  • Objective To develop, validate, and evaluate a new QRISK model to estimate lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease. (bmj.com)
  • METHODS: Reduction in mean U.S. dietary sodium consumption to 2,300 mg/day was implemented in a microsimulation model designed to evaluate prospective cardiovascular disease-related policies in the U.S. POPULATION: The analysis was conducted in 2018-2020, and the microsimulation model was constructed using various data sources from 1948 to 2018. (healthpartners.com)
  • The RSI model provides a foundation for detailed design -level evaluation and decision making. (cdc.gov)
  • Methodology research interests include advanced decision-analytic modeling techniques (such as discrete event simulation models and agent-based models) for health technology assessment, cost-effectiveness analysis, and pharmacoeconomics evaluation studies. (uwaterloo.ca)
  • It constitutes a demographic-epidemiological model, which represents the population between 35 and 95 years of age and uses a logistic regression model based on the Framingham equation to estimate the annual incidence of cardiovascular disease. (bvsalud.org)
  • DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Microsimulation modeling was used to estimate long-term benefits and harms for hypothetical US cohorts of men and women aged 40 to 79 years with up to 20% 10-year risk for an atherosclerotic CVD event and without prior history of CVD or elevated bleeding risks. (healthpartners.com)
  • Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of premature death and a major cause of disability in the UK. (bmj.com)
  • That amounted to nearly 22 per cent of deaths from preventable diseases among that age group, and 10 per cent of all premature deaths. (dailymail.co.uk)
  • Knowing the deaths attributable to the consumption of these foods and modeling how changes in dietary patterns can support more effective food policies might prevent disease and premature deaths. (dailymail.co.uk)
  • We strive to translate our research into effective health policy and practice. (edu.au)
  • In this regard, an extensive body of research supports the use of the andragogy model in patient education. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Participatory approaches to develop community-based system dynamic s models to tackle complexity are promising , but research is needed in how simulation models can be developed with community stakeholders to yield significant system insights. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The conceptual model offers a visual representation of the connections between the pandemic and substance use and related harms, and can be used to identify areas for future research. (canada.ca)
  • Her research focused on examining mechanisms by which environmental agents and therapeutic drugs elicit liver cancer, both in vivo and in vitro rodent models to examine the role of oxidative stress in modulating growth regulatory signaling networks and gene expression elicited by nongenotoxic carcinogens. (cdc.gov)
  • He served as a health economics modeling expert for the province. (uwaterloo.ca)
  • This entry was posted in Equity , Social determinants , Universal health coverage and tagged Chronic Diseases , Decision Making , Health Economics , Health Systems , Inequalities , Latin America , Public Health Policy by Editor Equity/Equidad - DB . (bvsalud.org)
  • In addition, during the same period, it would avoid 6630 acute myocardial infarctions and 2851 strokes (reductions of 1.35% and 0.40%, respectively).We hope that these findings might contribute to the strengthening of sanitary tobacco control policies in Argentina based on the remarkable benefits of banning the advertising of tobacco products in full and in line with current global recommendations. (bvsalud.org)
  • Further sophistication of the generic prediction model would be recommended to obtain optimal indices to region specific conditions. (biomedcentral.com)
  • In March 2020, the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) a pandemic. (canada.ca)
  • Smoke-free laws and policies has been associated with lower odds of smoking among adolescents and young adults. (acc.org)
  • We assessed discrimination, validation and calibration of our model. (bmj.com)
  • Researchers from the U.K. and Tufts University created a tool called the U.S. IMPACT Food Policy Model that included projections of U.S. demographics and cardiovascular death rates to 2030. (npr.org)
  • Methods To assess ChatGPT's responses to topic in cardiovascular disease disparities, we created six questions of twenty sets, with each set consisting of three questions with changes to text prompt based on differences in patient demographics. (medrxiv.org)
  • Taking a competing risk approach, the cause-specific hazards of a first event are modelled using parametric survival analysis. (bmj.com)
  • Survival following a first non-fatal event is also modelled parametrically. (bmj.com)
  • Then, the data were analyzed using directed content analysis and a preliminary framework based on six constructs of the andragogy model. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The ability to cope with limited data (thus making sound population inferences), and to minimise the impact of noise and model assumptions, are two of the main challenges to be addressed in this field. (kcl-mrcdtp.com)
  • With ageing populations, increasing life expectancies and more sedentary lifestyles, today non-communicable chronic diseases are major disabling conditions for people in both developed and developing countries. (benthamscience.com)
  • A simulating system dynamics model was built with stakeholders to inform action planning. (biomedcentral.com)
  • There were consistent themes in incorrect or hedging responses by ChatGPT, with 91% and 79% of incorrect and hedging responses related to a cardiovascular disease disparity that affects a minority or underserved racial group. (medrxiv.org)
  • Given that these models might be used by the general public, caution should be advised in taking responses at face value. (medrxiv.org)
  • A series of group model building workshops with 11 community stakeholders addressing the topic of water and sugar sweetened beverage consumption was conducted in Portland. (biomedcentral.com)
  • A system dynamics model was created to provide insight into water and sugar sweetened beverage consumption in Portland. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The model included six feedback loops describing the causal effects of sugar sweetened beverage consumption habits and norms, water taste, water consumption norms, public water availability, and public health benefits. (biomedcentral.com)
  • For example, the sugar sweetened beverage consumption norm loop modelled how people overestimating others' consumption may motivate an increase in their own consumption, feeding back and further amplifying an increase in sugar sweetened beverage consumption. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The model contributed to the foundation of a strong partnership to improve the taste of water and educate the public on water consumption. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Engaging stakeholders in system dynamics modelling about water and sugar sweetened beverage consumption increased engagement and collaboration to address the problem among community stakeholders. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The concept of feedback loops in system dynamics offers the possibility to consider the complex interactions between individual, policy, and environmental actions to shift SSB consumption to water consumption. (biomedcentral.com)
  • They're doing the modeling that will demonstrate how pricing affects health. (npr.org)
  • and the extent to which chronic diseases impact on life expectancies. (benthamscience.com)
  • The financial impact of NCDs in the Americas is just as dismaying, with chronic diseases posing a growing threat to many nations' economic stability. (bvsalud.org)
  • Using diets to model human disease, our group has studied the response of several metabollicaly-relevant organs and tissues as the heart, adipose tissue or the liver to pathological insults such as nutrient overload. (uam.es)
  • The model allowed the team to simulate the effects of different policies on eating habits. (npr.org)
  • Output from this work helps support policy makers to prepare for future care needs and identify opportunities for service expansion. (imperial.ac.uk)
  • Since 2014, Dr. Wong has served as a modeling expert for various policy makers, including the Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health (CADTH), the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC), and the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care (CTPHC). (uwaterloo.ca)
  • Initiatives to measure healthcare quality attract serious attention from policy-makers and consumers who believe that such measurements can drive improvements in the quality of the service [ 1 ]. (biomedcentral.com)
  • A 2015 National Academy of Science report concludes the policy will likely reduce tobacco initiation amongst adolescents. (acc.org)
  • Additionally, the concept of UPF is being included in national food policies and practices in several countries, for example, the Dietary Guidelines for the Brazilian Population, and other official healthy eating guidelines in countries such as France, Belgium, Canada, Peru, Israel, Ecuador and Uruguay [13]. (primecast-inc.com)
  • Socioecological models create a framework for categorizing these factors into levels of influence: intra-individual, interpersonal, community/organizational and societal/policy. (acc.org)
  • These codes were grouped into nineteen subcategories under the six primary constructs of the andragogy model, i.e., need-to-know, self-concept, prior experience, readiness for learning, orientation to learning, and motivation for learning. (biomedcentral.com)
  • The 2008 version of the DPC system includes 18 major diagnostic categories (MDC) and 506 disease subcategories coded in ICD10. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Cardiovascular disease (CVD) refers to a group of cardiovascular disorders and is currently the first leading cause of death worldwide. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Graphical summary of recent contributions of our group regarding the influence of signaling cascades in the regulation of cellular and tissue processes involved in human pathophysiology (mostly performed in animal models of human disease). (uam.es)
  • The model fits well to a group of hospitals with a wide variety of acute care events, though model fit is less satisfactory for specialized hospitals and those with convalescent wards. (biomedcentral.com)
  • Experience: Experience: Bridge the gap between experimental scientists and statistical researchers by representing the causal mechanisms that are likely to lead to biological damage of policy interest. (cdc.gov)