PREDICT: A simple risk score for clinical severity and long-term prognosis after hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction or unstable angina: the Minnesota heart survey.
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BACKGROUND: We evaluated short- and long-term mortality risks in 30- to 74-year-old patients hospitalized for acute myocardial infarction or unstable angina and developed a new score called PREDICT. METHODS AND RESULTS: PREDICT was based on information routinely collected in hospital. Predictors abstracted from hospital record items pertaining to the admission day, including shock, heart failure, ECG findings, cardiovascular disease history, kidney function, and age. Comorbidity was assessed from discharge diagnoses, and mortality was determined from death certificates. For 1985 and 1990 hospitalizations, the 6-year death rate in 6134 patients with 0 to 1 score points was 4%, increasing stepwise to 89% for >/=16 points. Score validity was established by only slightly attenuated mortality prediction in 3570 admissions in 1970 and 1980. When case severity was controlled for, 6-year risk declined 32% between 1970 and 1990. When PREDICT was held constant, 24% of those treated with thrombolysis died in 6 years compared with 31% of those not treated. CONCLUSIONS: The simple PREDICT risk score was a powerful prognosticator of 6-year mortality after hospitalization. (+info)
Helicobacter pylori in immigrants from East Africa.
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This study determines the prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection in a group of immigrants from East Africa with dyspepsia symptoms. Costs of treatment (including financial costs, adverse effects of treatment, and complexity of care) are compared for empiric treatment and treatment guided by serologic testing. Of the symptomatic patients, 93% had H. pylori antibodies. Empiric treatment of all patients with dyspepsia could reduce the cost of care by approximately half, with minimal risk to uninfected patients. (+info)
Lifestyle and colon cancer: an assessment of factors associated with risk.
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Studies of the etiology of colon cancer indicate that it is strongly associated with diet and lifestyle factors. The authors use data from a population-based study conducted in northern California, Utah, and Minnesota in 1991-1995 to determine lifestyle patterns and their association with colon cancer. Data obtained from 1,993 cases and 2,410 controls were grouped by using factor analyses to describe various aspects of lifestyle patterns. The first five lifestyle patterns for both men and women loaded heavily on dietary variables and were labeled: "Western," "moderation," "calcium/low-fat dairy;" "meat and mutagens," and "nibblers, smoking, and coffee." Other important lifestyle patterns that emerged were labeled "body size," "medication and supplementation," "alcohol," and "physical activity." Among both men and women, the lifestyle characterized by high levels of physical activity was the most marked lifestyle associated with colon cancer (odds ratios = 0.42, 95% confidence interval: 0.32, 0.55 and odds ratio = 0.52, 95% confidence interval: 0.39, 0.69, for men and women, respectively) followed by medication and supplementation (odds ratio = 1.68, 95% confidence interval: 1.29, 2.18 and odds ratio = 1.63, 95% CI 1.23, 2.16, respectively). Other lifestyles that were associated with colon cancer were the Western lifestyle, the lifestyle characterized by large body size, and the one characterized by calcium and low-fat dairy. Different lifestyle patterns appear to have age- and tumor site-specific associations. (+info)
Relationship between urinary albumin excretion, body composition, and hyperinsulinemia in normotensive glucose-tolerant adults.
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OBJECTIVE: Elevated urinary albumin excretion (UAE) has been associated with insulin resistance and is suggested to be elevated in prediabetic individuals. Upper body obesity, especially visceral obesity, predicts insulin resistance and development of type 2 diabetes. We examined whether UAE clusters with obesity-associated insulin resistance traits in healthy glucose-tolerant normotensive subjects. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: There were 49 volunteers with a wide range of body fat and body fat distribution studied. All had normal blood pressure and glucose tolerance and were maintained on a controlled diet for 2 weeks. UAE was assessed from three overnight urine collections, and body composition was assessed by whole-body dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scanning and abdominal computed tomography scanning. RESULTS: Fasting insulin and insulin responses to oral glucose were significantly increased in obese subjects, who also tended to have more dyslipidemia, greater blood pressure, and more visceral fat than lean subjects. These differences were more apparent in upper body obese subjects. UAE was normal in obese and upper body obese subjects and not different from that of lean subjects. UAE ranged from 0.3 to 8.3 micrograms/min in lean subjects and from 0.2 to 7.2 micrograms/min in obese subjects. UAE was not significantly correlated with body composition, plasma insulin, glucose, or lipids. CONCLUSIONS: Obese subjects (even upper body obese subjects) with increased visceral and total body fat, high plasma insulin and triglycerides, and low HDL cholesterol concentrations do not have elevated UAE. This suggests that UAE is not closely associated with these characteristics and implies a later onset of abnormal albuminuria in the course of the insulin resistance syndrome. (+info)
Adolescent alcohol use and the community health agenda: a study of leaders' perceptions in 28 small towns.
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The study assessed leaders' perceptions of adolescent alcohol use as a public health issue in 28 small communities in northern Minnesota, as part of formative evaluation for a community-based intervention to reduce adolescent alcohol access and consumption. One hundred and eighteen leaders from five key community sectors were interviewed about their perceptions of social, health and alcohol-related problems in their communities. Analyses indicated that school representatives and police chiefs perceived adolescent alcohol use and related problems to be serious; newspaper editors mentioned other social problems more often; and mayors and business representatives did not perceive adolescent alcohol problems to be as serious. In relation to efforts to affect local policy, the study suggested government and business sectors in these communities may need to be educated about the problem to build its importance on the community agenda of health issues. Thus community leaders in some sectors may comprise a key target audience for intervention. (+info)
Improving cancer incidence estimates for American Indians in Minnesota.
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OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to estimate cancer incidence for American Indians in Minnesota. METHODS: Indian Health Service enrollment data were linked to the Minnesota tumor registry to identify cancers among American Indians in Minnesota. Incidence rates for the 5 most common cancers in this population, estimated after the linkage, were compared with rates estimated before the linkage and with rates for the total population of Minnesota. RESULTS: The linkage identified 302 cancer cases not previously identified as occurring among American Indians in Minnesota. Postlinkage estimates suggested that incidence rates for prostate and colorectal cancer are similar to those for the total population of Minnesota, but that rates of lung and cervical cancer are significantly higher. Breast cancer rates are slightly lower than those for the total population of Minnesota but more than twice as high as previous estimates for American Indians. CONCLUSIONS: The postlinkage estimates suggest different priorities for cancer education, prevention, and control than might be assumed from either prelinkage estimates or previously published data, and underscore the importance of using accurate and specific data for setting these priorities. (+info)
Exemplary programs on midlife women's health issues in managed care settings.
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OBJECTIVE: To identify exemplary programs on midlife women's health issues that have been developed and implemented in managed care settings. METHODS: Members of The American Association of Health Plans (AAHP) were invited by mail to submit information on their exemplary programs on midlife women's health issues. AAHP and HealthPartners Research Foundation established 12 criteria by which to evaluate the programs submitted. Following telephone interviews with representatives of eligible programs, they were asked to complete an extensive survey about their successful practices. The Women's Health Task Force of AAHP then reviewed and evaluated every program submission and selected 4 model programs on midlife issues for women. RESULTS: The 4 model programs included the use of health assessment questionnaires to assist providers in identifying risk areas and patients' needs for information; group educational sessions focusing on midlife issues related to lifestyle and hormone replacement therapy; a module-based curriculum syllabus; and an osteoporosis disease management program. All groups utilize multidisciplinary teams to develop and promote educational programs. CONCLUSIONS: As study findings add to our knowledge of menopause treatment approaches and as new information and products become available, some managed care plans are using innovative channels of communication to keep women informed. (+info)
The validity of self-reported diabetes quality of care measures.
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OBJECTIVE: First, to test the validity of self-reported quality of care and treatment measures compared with medical records and administrative data for: eye examinations, hemoglobin A1C tests, and use of insulin and oral agents for adult patients with diabetes; and secondly to assess the consistency between medical record information and administrative data for the same measures plus microalbumin testing. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study using data from telephone survey, primary care medical and eye records, and administrative claims. SETTING: Statewide health maintenance organization in Minnesota, USA, 1995. STUDY PARTICIPANTS: Four hundred and forty adults with diabetes, aged 31-64 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Validity++ of self-reported diabetes quality of care measures compared with a criterion standard combining information from primary care and eye records with information from administrative data; and reliability of medical record information compared with administrative data. RESULTS: Although the sensitivity of self-reported eye examination was high (89%), the specificity was low (65%). Self-report of hemoglobin A1C also had high sensitivity (99%) and a lower specificity than that of eye examination (28%). The two information sources (medical records and claims) used in the criterion standard each contained complementary and non-overlapping information. Reliability was highest for microalbumin testing (kappa, 0.75) and lowest for eye examination (kappa, 0.37). CONCLUSIONS: Quality of care measures for diabetes are often drawn from a variety of sources. To the extent that data sources are biased, the measures can be misleading. Self-report is likely to lead to an overestimate of eye screening and the measurement of hemoglobin A1C. Reported rates of quality of care should be inspected carefully. The 'same' rate taken from different sources may vary. (+info)