A Markov chain model to assess the efficacy of screening for non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM).
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BACKGROUND: The high prevalence and severe consequences of non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) in Taiwan calls for urgent measures to detect this disease in the asymptomatic phase. However, the efficacy of early detection of NIDDM is highly dependent on its natural history from the disease-free state, through the asymptomatic to the symptomatic phase and death from NIDDM or other causes. METHODS: In order to project the above progression, a five-state illness-and-death Markov chain model was proposed to estimate these transition parameters using data from two rounds of a blood sugar screening programme for NIDDM in Puli, in central Taiwan. RESULTS: Results showed that the annual incidence for asymptomatic NIDDM was 10.67 per 1000 (95% CI: 8.26-13.79) and the average duration between the asymptomatic and symptomatic phases (the sojourn time) was 8 years (95%CI: 5.74-11.29). The 10-year survival rate for asymptomatic NIDDM (79.35%) was better than that for symptomatic NIDDM (69.45%). Prediction of deaths from NIDDM was performed to assess how the efficacy of screening for NIDDM varied by different screening frequencies (annual, biennial, 4-yearly and the control group). Results indicated there is no substantial difference in mortality reduction from NIDDM among the annual, biennial and 4-yearly screening regimens. However, a 4-yearly screening regimen significantly reduced deaths from NIDDM by 40% (95% CI: 26-51%). CONCLUSIONS: A long sojourn time and the substantial reduction in mortality suggest that a 4-yearly screening regime for NIDDM would be most effective and feasible in Taiwan. The proposed five-state Markov chain model can be applied to other similar NIDDM screening projects. (+info)
Mortality trends of elderly people in Taiwan from 1974 to 1994.
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BACKGROUND: the hypothesis that disability and death will eventually be compressed to a period late in life needs empirical confirmation. OBJECTIVES: we have examined the secular trends of life expectancy and common causes of death in the aged population of Taiwan. METHOD: we compared the life expectancy, causes of death and probability of death for people at birth, at age 65 and at age 85 for both sexes from 1974 to 1994 using data from Taiwan government statistics. RESULTS: there has been a substantial gain in life expectancy, especially for men age 85 and over, in the past 20 years. . Mortality due to stroke, ischaemic heart disease, hypertension and chronic pulmonary disease has declined. There has been a steep increase in cancer deaths and deaths associated with diabetes mellitus. Tuberculosis and injury-related deaths have declined but pneumonia deaths have increased. For elderly people, the probability of dying from cancer and ischaemic heart disease increased with time. However, the probability of dying from stroke decreased. Although there was a decrease in probability of deaths associated with falls, there was an increase of deaths due to 'frailty' (as judged by falls, pneumonia and septicaemia). CONCLUSIONS: cancer is a major cause of death in the elderly population of Taiwan. This rapidly expanding elderly population seemed to suffer from poorer health in the later period of their life. (+info)
Hyperinsulinemia and related atherosclerotic risk factors in the population at cardiovascular risk: a community-based study.
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BACKGROUND: A population-based study was conducted in Taiwan to investigate the prevalence of insulin resistance and high serum insulin concentrations and their relationships with potential atherosclerotic risk factors. METHODS: We studied 2165 subjects, ages >35, from a community cohort. RESULTS: The distributions of fasting insulin were skewed to the right, with higher concentrations in women than in men. As age increased, insulin increased in women, but decreased in men. As fasting insulin concentrations increased, postloading insulin, glucose, blood pressure, body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, total cholesterol, triglycerides, LDL-cholesterol, apoprotein B, plasminogen activator inhibitor 1, tissue plasminogen activator, and fibrinogen increased, but lipoprotein(a), HDL-cholesterol, and apoprotein A1 decreased. Multiple logistic regression showed that obesity, high LDL-cholesterol, and low HDL-cholesterol were significant predictors of hyperinsulinemic status. CONCLUSION: The study subjects with insulin resistance syndrome and related risk factors may be at risk for atherosclerosis, thrombosis, and other coronary heart diseases. (+info)
GB virus C infection in hemodialysis patients: molecular evidence for nosocomial transmission.
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Studies of the prevalence and clinical relevance of GB virus C (GBV-C) infection in 328 hemodialysis (HD) patients were done, and the possibility of nosocomial GBV-C transmission was explored by molecular epidemiology methods. For GBV-C viremic patients in a given HD unit, nucleotide sequences of the envelope region were analyzed by phylogenetic tree constructions. Of 328 HD patients, active hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus (HCV), and GBV-C infection were detected in 13%, 23%, and 17%, respectively. Except for a higher frequency of HCV coinfection, the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with and without GBV-C infection were comparable. In contrast, patients with isolated HCV infection had significantly higher serum transaminase levels, longer time on HD, and more blood transfusions. Phylogenetic analysis showed several distinct clusters of closely related GBV-C isolates from one HD unit, suggesting the possibility of nosocomial transmission. These results suggest that GBV-C plays a minimal role in causing hepatitis in Taiwanese HD patients and in nosocomial transmission. (+info)
Needlestick and sharps injuries among health-care workers in Taiwan.
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Sharps injuries are a major cause of transmission of hepatitis B and C viruses and human immunodeficiency virus in health-care workers. To determine the yearly incidence and causes of sharps injuries in health-care workers in Taiwan, we conducted a questionnaire survey in a total of 8645 health care workers, including physicians, nurses, laboratory technicians, and cleaners, from teaching hospitals of various sizes. The reported incidence of needlestick and other sharps injuries was 1.30 and 1.21 per person in the past 12 months, respectively. Of most recent episodes of needlestick/sharps injury, 52.0% were caused by ordinary syringe needles, usually in the patient units. The most frequently reported circumstances of needlestick were recapping of needles, and those of sharps injuries were opening of ampoules/vials. Of needles which stuck the health-care workers, 54.8% had been used in patients, 8.2% of whom were known to have hepatitis B or C, syphilis, or human immunodeficiency virus infection. Sharps injuries in health-care workers in Taiwan occur more frequently than generally thought and risks of contracting blood-borne infectious diseases as a result are very high. (+info)
Amoebiasis among institutionalized psychiatric patients in Taiwan.
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Although information on amoebiasis among institutionalized psychiatric patients is available, reports on the relationship between behaviour and this infection are not abundant. From July 1995 to June 1996, stool and blood samples were collected from 565 patients in three psychiatric hospitals of North Taiwan. Stool samples were examined using the direct smear and formalin-ethyl acetate sedimentation techniques as well as ProSpecT Entamoeba histolytica Microplate Assay kit. Blood samples were examined by the Amebiasis Serology Microwell ELISA kit. Among these patients, 14 (2.5%) harboured one or two species of intestinal parasites. There were 6 (1.1%) E. histolytica/E. dispar cyst passers: 5 positive in stool ELISA test and 2 with antibodies against E. histolytica. Among demographic factors, type of psychiatric disorder and disability, only a significant sexual difference in seropositivity of E. histolytica was observed. These findings indicate that the infected patients acquired the infections before they entered the hospitals. (+info)
Mutational spectrum of p53 gene in arsenic-related skin cancers from the blackfoot disease endemic area of Taiwan.
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To understand the role of p53 tumour suppressor gene in the carcinogenesis of arsenic-related skin cancers from the blackfoot disease endemic area of Taiwan, we collected tumour samples from 23 patients with Bowen's disease, seven patients with basal cell carcinomas (BCC) and nine patients with squamous cell carcinomas (SCC). The result showed that p53 gene mutations were found in 39% of cases with Bowen's disease (9/23), 28.6% of cases with BCC (2/7) and 55.6% of cases with SCC (5/9). Most of the mutation sites were located on exon 5 and exon 8. Moreover, the results from direct sequencing indicated that missense mutations were found at codon 149 (C-->T) in one case, codon 175 (G-->A) in three cases, codon 273 (G-->C) in three cases, codon 292 (T-->A) in one case, codon 283 (G-->T) in one case, codon 172 (T-->C) in one case and codon 284 (C-->A) in one case. In addition, silent mutations were also found in four cases. These mutations were located at codons 174, 253, 289 and 298 respectively. In immunohistochemistry analysis, p53 overexpression was found in 43.5% (10/23) of cases with Bowen's disease, 14% (1/7) of cases with BCC and 44% (4/9) of cases with SSC. These findings showed that p53 gene mutation rate in arsenic-related skin cancers from the blackfoot disease endemic area of Taiwan is high and that the mutation types are different from those in UV-induced skin cancers. (+info)
Nosocomial pseudoepidemic caused by Bacillus cereus traced to contaminated ethyl alcohol from a liquor factory.
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From September 1990 to October 1990, 15 patients who were admitted to four different departments of the National Taiwan University Hospital, including nine patients in the emergency department, three in the hematology/oncology ward, two in the surgical intensive care unit, and one in a pediatric ward, were found to have positive blood (14 patients) or pleural effusion (1 patient) cultures for Bacillus cereus. After extensive surveillance cultures, 19 additional isolates of B. cereus were recovered from 70% ethyl alcohol that had been used as a skin disinfectant (14 isolates from different locations in the hospital) and from 95% ethyl alcohol (5 isolates from five alcohol tanks in the pharmacy department), and 10 isolates were recovered from 95% ethyl alcohol from the factory which supplied the alcohol to the hospital. In addition to these 44 isolates of B. cereus, 12 epidemiologically unrelated B. cereus isolates, one Bacillus sphaericus isolate from a blood specimen from a patient seen in May 1990, and two B. sphaericus isolates from 95% alcohol in the liquor factory were also studied for their microbiological relatedness. Among these isolates, antibiotypes were determined by using the disk diffusion method and the E test, biotypes were created with the results of the Vitek Bacillus Biochemical Card test, and random amplified polymorphic DNA (RAPD) patterns were generated by arbitrarily primed PCR. Two clones of the 15 B. cereus isolates recovered from patients were identified (clone A from 2 patients and clone B from 13 patients), and all 29 isolates of B. cereus recovered from 70 or 95% ethyl alcohol in the hospital or in the factory belonged to clone B. The antibiotype and RAPD pattern of the B. sphaericus isolate from the patient were different from those of isolates from the factory. Our data show that the pseudoepidemic was caused by a clone (clone B) of B. cereus from contaminated 70% ethyl alcohol used in the hospital, which we successfully traced to preexisting contaminated 95% ethyl alcohol from the supplier, and by another clone (clone A) without an identifiable source. (+info)